New York US House District 20 Poll Results

Dieterichs credentials help 59-6% Tonko 49.8%, Dieterich 30.9% Economy most important issue to 45% of respondents
POLLING METHODOLOGY
This poll was conducted by JMC Analytics and Polling. Our philosophy about which population to use depends on the election, but we are generally comfortable with a likely model (as opposed to a registered model) for most elections. For this poll, we chose a sample of 19,262 households residing in the 20th Congressional District of New York for an automated poll and 610 respondents answered at least one of 6 questions. The poll was conducted September 16. The margin of error, with a 95% confidence interval, was 4%. The geographic breakdown of the respondents was weighted as follows: 10% from the city of Albany, 31% from the suburbs of Albany County, 4% from Montgomery County, 12% Rensselaer County, 20% from Saratoga County, and 21% from Schenectady County. The party breakdown was (by registration) 44% Democrat, 32% Republican, and 24% Independent (this

includes unaffiliated voters and those registered with a third party). POLL RESULTS
Question 1: If the Presidential election were held today, which candidate would you support? Obama 53% Romney 33% Third Party Candidate 2% Undecided 12% Question 2: If the election for US Congress were held today, would you vote to re-elect Democratic incumbent Paul Tonko? Yes 54% No 27% Undecided 19% Question 3: The incumbent congressman voted for healthcare reform (also known as Obamacare). Would that make you more or less likely to support his re-election? More Likely 46% Less Likely 37% No difference 17% Question 4: (Biography of Bob Dieterich is read to the respondent) Would you be more or less likely to support someone with these credentials? More Likely 59% Less Likely 6% No difference 35% Question 5: If the election for U.S. Congress were held today, which candidate would you support? Tonko 49.8% Dieterich 30.9% Undecided 19.3% Question 6: Of the following issues, which one is most likely to influence the way you vote? Economy/jobs 45% Taxes 11% National debt 11% National security 8% Social issues 10% None of these issues 15%