Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SMIF Annual Report 2003-2004
SMIF Annual Report 2003-2004
2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 Director’s Letter
2 SMIF Team Letter
3 OCSIMSF Letter
4 OCSIM & LASFA
5 Economic Analysis
6 Sector Analysis & Benchmark
7 Fixed Income
8 Coca-Cola Bottling/Time Warner Companies, Inc.
9 Equity
11 Commerce Bancorp (NYSE: CBH)
SMIF
12 Corinthian Colleges (NYSE: COCO) 2003-2004
13 Omnicare Corp. (NYSE: OCR) Annual Report
14 Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE: HOV)
15 Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM)
16 Laboratory Corp. of America (NYSE: LH)
17 Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK)
18 Overseas Shipholding Group (NYSE: OSG)
19 Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN)
20 Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO)
21 Portfolio Performance 2003-2004
23 RISE Symposium
24 Meet the SMIF Team
25 Student Managers
29 Acknowledgements
31 References
32 Appendix A
34 Appendix B
35 Glossary
37 Mission Statement
3
To the Readers of the SMIF Annual Report: May 2004
The 2003-2004 academic year marked the ninth year for the Student-Managed Investment Fund (SMIF) at the
California State University, Long Beach. The year contained many challenges, but it was also a year for many
important firsts for the SMIF program that should serve CSULB and its students well as we head into SMIF’s
decennial year.
The start of the academic year saw interest rates at historic lows, with little uncertainty that they would even-
tually start to head back up. The major question with which the SMIF students were faced was when this
would occur – specifically, would the low interest rates hold out through the end of the academic year, when
the SMIF portfolio is liquidated, or would their ascent begin while the portfolio was still invested? This
question led to spirited and well-researched debates during the fall semester regarding what the SMIF portfo-
lio’s target asset allocation should be and what the average duration of its bond holdings should be.
Moreover, the 2003 – 2004 academic year saw the introduction of a number of initiatives designed to improve
the SMIF program and further augment the educational experiences gained by the SMIF students. A grant
from CSULB’s Instructionally Related Activities (IRA) Committee enabled us to procure the Bloomberg
Professional Service (i.e., a “Bloomberg machine”) for use by the SMIF students in conducting their analysis.
This not only provided them with access to the same information and analytical tools used by real-world
professionals but also gave them the opportunity to work toward the resume-enhancing Bloomberg Product
Certification status. The same grant also enabled a number of the SMIF students to travel to the University of
Dayton’s annual RISE symposium, allowing them to interact with student portfolio managers and investment
professionals from around the continent.
Another new initiative was provided by the Orange County Society of Investment Managers Scholarship
Foundation (OCSIMSF), which developed two new programs that have enabled a much greater level of
interaction between the SMIF students and professionals within the Orange County investment community.
The SMIF students as a team were the inaugural winners of OCSIMSF’s first Annual RFP Competition, for
which they have been managing a virtual portfolio under the supervision of members of the OCSIMSF’s
Investment Policy Committee. Moreover, one of this year’s SMIF students, Vu Chu, was also the recipient of
OCSIMSF’s first-ever educational scholarship.
This year’s SMIF students have certainly fulfilled the expectations of the faculty members of the Department
of Finance and Law in creating the SMIF program, to provide a unique opportunity for students to participate
in the management of a “real dollar” portfolio while still in the relative safety of an academic environment,
and we look forward to seeing what these students can accomplish as they venture forth into the real world!
1
Dear Readers of the SMIF Annual Report:
In 2003 and 2004, the Student Managed Investment Fund (SMIF) at California State University Long Beach
(CSULB) has proved that it can perform at an extraordinary level strategically, operationally, and financially.
We made a number of critical decisions with respect to our investment process that guided our approach to
the financial markets, facilitated efficient management of our resources, and demanded absolute excellence
from everyone involved. The result has been transformational. The team has created a dynamic organization
that is committed to disciplined growth and to creating wealth for CSULB in the years to come.
The members of SMIF have worked hard to shape the fund into one capable of performing at the highest
level. We derived our investment philosophy strategically, with realistic monetary growth as an ultimate goal.
With strict adherence to a “Growth at a Reasonable Price” (G.A.R.P.) investment philosophy, the SMIF team
invested the portfolio with great resolve and confidence.after spending much time researching and analyzing
potential holdings to find the diamonds in the rough.
Essentially, the companies that are represented in both the equity the and fixed-income portions of our Fund
have superior growth prospects compared to both their industry and the market as a whole, while maintaining
a price that presents reasonable value over a 3 to 5 year investment horizon.
SMIF is committed to attracting, encouraging, and rewarding talent, providing our people with
opportunities to grow and add ever-increasing value. With that in mind, we have positioned the Fund for
success in the years ahead.
We are delighted to announce that SMIF is the first team ever to manage the Orange County Society of
Investment Managers Scholarship Foundation (OCSIMSF) fund. Against fierce competition, our organization
at CSULB demonstrated an advanced ability and skill set compared to other university participants. This
involvement will certainly perpetuate SMIF’s recognizable presence well into the future.
We are pleased to present to you, in the following pages, the product of combining intelligence,
knowledge, and determination into a clear investment focus.
Sincerely,
2
OCSIMSF LETTER
ORANGE COUNTY SOCIETY OF INVESTMENT MANAGERS
SCHOLARSHIP FOUNDATION
SCHOLARSHIP FOUNDATION May 2004
Orange County Society To the Readers of the CSULB SMIF 2003-2004 Annual Report:
of Investment Managers
Scholarship Foundation The OCSIM Scholarship Foundation (OCSIMSF) was founded in 2003 by the
Orange County Society of Investment Managers to fulfill an important mission,
PMB 359 namely to foster, promote and encourage the development of professionalism by the
211 S. State College Blvd. Orange County investment community; and to heighten public awareness of this
Anaheim, CA 92806 professionalism by:
Phone: 1. Providing educational scholarships for the study of financial investment practice at
949.400.2190 colleges and universities located in Orange County, California; and
E-mail: 2. Supervision of a select group of students of financial investments in the
info@ocsimsf.org management of all or a portion of the investment portfolio of the corporation.
To fulfill this mission, we drafted a plan for a student-managed fund that is unique
BOARD OF TRUSTEES from other such projects around the country. Each year, a group of students from the
local universities will have to draft a response to the foundation’s RFP and make a
presentation to the foundation board on how they propose to manage the foundation’s
funds and why they are the most qualified team to do so, an experience unique to our
Chair
project.
Krista S. Zipfel, CFA
Advisor Solutions Group During Fall 2003, the Foundation sent out Requests For Proposal to local universities
(949) 400-2190 to allow student teams from around Orange County to compete for the opportunity to
manage the Foundation’s portfolio for one year, and we are pleased to announce that
Vice Chair the inaugural winners of the annual portfolio management Request For Proposal
Russell Murdock, CFA competition are the SMIF students of CSULB, and we congratulate them on their
Seabreeze-Capital successful proposal and presentation. Based on the results of this proposal, the team
Management, LLC
of students from CSULB has been managing a $100,000 virtual portfolio for the 2004
(714) 531-0290
calendar year under the supervision and guidance of the OCSIMSF Investment Policy
Committee, and the results and performance for this portfolio will be presented to the
Treasurer Boards of Trustees for both OCSIM and the OCSIM Scholarship Foundation.
Scott Monroe, CFA
Fidelity Investments The second part of our mission is the provision of educational scholarships to
(949) 437-4219 students who are studying investments at Orange County-area universities. The
recipients of these scholarships are announced each January at our Annual Forecast
Secretary Dinner. For 2004, the inaugural year for this scholarship, a $1,000 scholarship was
Michael Rusinas awarded to Mr. Vu Quang Chu, who not only was the most outstanding applicant out
Financial Management of a field of highly qualified applicants, but is also one of the members of the RFP-
Association competition-winning CSULB SMIF team.
(562) 985-5776
We applaud Mr. Chu and all the other students of the 2003-2004 SMIF Team for all
Investment Policy of their efforts. Not only have their achievements been meritorious, but we believe
Committee Chair that the OCSIM Scholarship Foundation’s first year of operations has been much
Peter A. Ammermann, more successful than it might otherwise have been had we not had the participation of
Ph.D. the CSULB SMIF students.
California State
University, Long Beach So, to the SMIF students, congratulations on your successes over the past year, thank
(562) 985-7526 you very much for your participation in the activities of the OCSIM Scholarship
Foundation, and we wish you all the best of luck in the future!
Fund Raising Chair
Eric Kottke Sincerely,
Sophia Orange Hedge
Fund Advisory Krista S. Zipfel, CFA Peter A. Ammermann, Ph.D.
(949) 480-1858 Chair, OCSIM Scholarship Foundation Chair, OCSIMSF Investment Policy Committee
© 2003 Orange County Society of Investment Managers Scholarship Foundation, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
3
OCSIM & LASFA
The CFA Institute® and the Chartered Orange County Society of Investment
Financial Analyst® Program Managers
The Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®)program is The Orange County Society of Investment
a internationally acknowledged standard for Managers (OCSIM) was founded in 1983 by
recognizing professional competency and integrity investment practitioners in the Orange County area
of financial analysts. It is the preeminent and has been affiliated since 1997 with what is now
designation for professionals in the investment- the CFA Institute. In addition to offering programs
management industry. The program requires the similar to those provided by LASFA, a part of the
successful completion of a sequence of three mission of OCSIM is to foster closer ties within the
examinations spanning a multitude of topics, local investment community, and CSULB and the
including ethics, statistics, accounting, and a vari- SMIF program has been a major beneficiary of
ety of asset valuation and portfolio management these efforts. A number of OCSIM executives have
techniques. given presentations to CSULB classes and
organizations and also provided internship opportu-
The CFA designation is a valuable asset in the job nities to SMIF students. Moreover, a major new
market. CFA charter-holders command higher- initiative by OCSIM has greatly enhanced the
than-average salaries and are afforded a wider educational opportunities available to the SMIF
variety of employment opportunities. students. This new initiative was the creation of the
OCSIM Scholarship Foundation (OCSIMSF).
The CFA program is administered and overseen by
the CFA Institute (formerly known as the Associa- SMIF and the OCSIM Scholarship
tion for Investment Management and Research, or
AIMR). The two local organizations that are Foundation
affiliated with the CFA Institute are Los Angeles
In addition to providing scholarships to local
Society of Financial Analysts (LASFA) and the
investment students, the OCSIM Scholarship
Orange County Society of Investment Managers
Foundation, which was established in 2003,
(OCSIM).
sponsors an annual Request for Proposal (RFP)
Because of the prominence of the CFA program competition for student teams from local
and the importance of professional networking for universities. The SMIF students have benefited
obtaining employment in the investment industry, from both of these activities. Namely, the SMIF
the SMIF students are encouraged and required to students collectively were the inaugural winners of
participate in the activities of LASFA and OCSIM. the annual RFP competition, and, as part of their
reward, they will be managing a virtual portfolio
under the supervision of the OCSIMSF Investment
Los Angeles Society of Financial Policy Committee throughout the remainder of the
Analysts year. Moreover, one of this year’s SMIF students,
Vu Chu, was the inaugural recipient of OCSIMSF’s
The Los Angeles Society of Financial Analysts, first educational scholarship.
Inc. (LASFA) is a non-profit organization that
conducts various events in the form of seminars,
presentations, career expositions, dinners, and
luncheons. The topics at these events address
various financial issues such as equity valuation,
fixed-income analysis, tax law, economic analysis,
interest rates, financial strategies, career paths, and
many other aspects of the financial arena.
4
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Unemployment, the percentage of the workforce There are numerous possible reasons for earnings
that is involuntarily out of work, is a good measure growth moving forward. The bear market and
of economic health. A decreasing number of unem- recession have forced companies to severely cut
ployed workers indicates that firms are increasing costs. With lower costs, any growth in sales would
production. Unemployment Rate forecasts for Q4 greatly boost profits. In addition, there is
2003 through Q3 2004 are 6.2%, 6.1%, 6.0%, and increasing overall demand in the market, especially
6.0%, respectively. in the tech sector. Companies that have been
hurting over the past three years have been
Government policy is a strong indicator for the fu- stretching out their replacement cycle for
ture of the economy. The U.S. Government has technology equipment. When these companies
been cutting taxes at all levels to stimulate the significantly start buying new replacements, huge
economy. The Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Recon- earnings growth in the technology sector will
ciliation Act of 2003 (JGTRRA) has boosted follow.
disposable personal income, which may stimulate
expected consumer spending. Further analysis of Not every sector will show the same earnings
fiscal policy reveals that the federal deficit has in- growth, however, in the third quarter. Some lag-
creased by $180 billion in 2002 and is projected to ging sectors in the S&P 500 include utilities, tele-
increased by $360 billion and $520 billion in 2003 com, and basic materials, which are expected to see
and 2004, respectively. earnings decreases compared to a year ago of 4%,
5%, and 1%, respectively. Consumer cyclicals are
The CBO expects that interest rates will be at levels going to add only 3% to earnings growth. The
consistent with those seen in 2002 (1.25%) for the leading sectors driving the earnings growth will
duration of 2004. Marketvector.com expects this probably be tech, energy, and health care, which
movement as early as February 2004. As a result, analysts feel will grow 20%, 42%, and 14%, re-
inflation will remain low. This, coupled with in- spectively.
creased productivity, should help sustain the bull
market through 2004.
5
SECTOR ANALYSIS & BENCHMARK
Sector and Industry Analysis The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index
Based upon our forecasts of the economy and the Widely regarded as the best single gauge of the
stock market, the Student Managed Investment U.S. equities market, this world-renowned index
Fund (SMIF) decided to implement an industry al- includes a representative sample of 500 leading
location strategy that is derived from the research companies in leading industries of the U.S. econ-
provided by The Value Line Investment Survey omy. Although the S&P 500 focuses on the large-
Timeliness Ranking System. cap segment of the market, with over 80% coverage
of U.S. equities, it is also an ideal proxy for the to-
Based upon least-squares regression analysis, time- tal market. For this reason the portfolio managers
liness is the rank of an industry’s probable relative of SMIF chose to use the Standard & Poor’s 500
market performance in the year ahead. It is com- Index as the benchmark for the equity portion of
puted based upon the long-term price and earnings the portfolio. The Index measures a broad spectrum
history, recent price, and earnings momentum. Any of the overall market, the intent of an overall
earnings surprises, positive or negative, are also benchmark for SMIF.
taken into account. Accordingly, 98 industries are
ranked for their performance over the next 12 Lehman US Aggregate Corporate
months, with “1” having the most favorable and
“98” the least favorable performance. The rankings
Total Return Index
are established on a weekly basis using current
For the fixed-income portion of the portfolio, the
forecasts. This lends reliability to The Value Line
SMIF portfolio managers chose the Lehman US
Timeliness Ranking System, as it prevents inves-
Aggregate Corporate Total Return (LACTR) Index
tors from using outdated statistics.
as the benchmark. The Index is an unmanaged in-
dex often utilized as a benchmark for fixed-income
Specifically, we will be focusing on the top 20 in-
mutual funds with an average duration of 6 to7
dustries in the U.S. domestic market, as ranked by
years, comprising of only investment-grade corpo-
Value Line in terms of timeliness. In order to effec-
rate debt. This Index was chosen principally for its
tively utilize this method, the investment team will
average duration and credit quality characteristics.
engage in a continual reevaluation of these rankings
After the SMIF team completed the baseline eco-
in an effort to place our investment strategy at the
nomic and interest-rate-environment analysis we
forefront of a rapidly changing market. We feel that
chose a baseline bond portfolio duration of about
this system will outperform a static, preliminary
4.5 years with maturities ranging from 5 to 6 years .
overview that does not allow for flexibility or dy-
The Lehman US Aggregate Corporate Total Return
namic analyses. The selected industries will be di-
Index is generally considered to be representative
vided into appropriate groupings. These will subse-
of intermediate maturity corporate bond market
quently be distributed among four groups in order
activity. The Index met our criteria and was chosen
to utilize the expertise that is gained by narrowing
as the best relevant gauge.
each group’s focus.
6
FIXED INCOME
Fixed Income: Not Just for Retirees? tional risk began to level out. It was also decided
that a relatively high-coupon issue would be more
With the federal funds rate at a 45-year low of 1%, desirable, as we are only holding the bond for one
and the bond market bracing for falling prices and coupon payment. Another strategy was to look for
higher yields, it did not seem like an opportune companies in sectors we thought would benefit
time to enter the fixed-income market. However, from an improving economy, with a less-than-
SMIF guidelines require 25% to 50% of the portfo- perfect debt rating from Standard & Poors, allow-
lio to be allocated to investment-grade corporate ing us an opportunity for a ratings increase. The
bonds, a hedge against geopolitical risk. Deter- combination low-duration/credit quality approach
mined to learn the skills required for fixed-income was our strategy to outperform the selected bench-
investing, the team endeavored to outperform the mark over our holding period. After meticulous
benchmark we set for ourselves, the Lehman US analysis of the available fixed-income securities,
Aggregate Corporate Total Return (LACTR) Index. SMIF decided to purchase debts of Time Warner
Companies, Inc., and Coca-Cola Enterprises, Inc.
For guidance, the SMIF class invited Mr. Doug
Lopez, Senior Vice President and Portfolio Man-
ager for Bradford and Marzec Inc., to offer his pro-
fessional opinion. Mr. Lopez illustrated some tech- U.S. Treasury Yield Curve
niques used to find corporate bonds with above-
U.S. Treasury Yield Curve
average appreciation potential. The team later used
6%
this advice to choose specific bond issues from the
inventory available to us at Salomon Smith Barney. 5%
4%
Analyzing the yield curve, and taking into consid- 3%
U.S. Treasury Yield
eration our projected rate increase in summer, 2%
2004, we made the decision to position ourselves
1%
from 5 to 6 years out on the yield curve. At this
point on the curve, the marginal return for the addi- 0%
0 5 10 15 20
Fixed-Income Results:
7
Coca-Cola Bottling
Time Warner is a media and entertainment Time Warner had originally aimed to cut its net
company whose businesses include interactive debt to $20 billion by the end of 2004. A year ago,
services, cable systems, filmed entertainment, the debt was as high as $30 billion. It successfully
television networks, music, and publishing. Time met its2003 target ahead of schedule and got ahead
Warner's business interests are classified into six on next year’s goal. In response to strong FCF and
fundamental areas: America Online, which consists non-core asset sales, Time Warner was removed
primarily of interactive services; cable, consisting from S&P’s CreditWatch in October 2003. With
principally of interests in cable systems; filmed en- the expected interest rate rise of 25 bps by summer
tertainment, which consists of interests in filmed 2004, SMIF forecast the price to be 112.746, result-
entertainment and television production; networks, ing in a 1.43% yield during the four months holding
which consists of cable television and broadcast period.
network programming; music, consisting of
recorded music and music publishing; and publish-
ing, which consists of magazine publishing, book
publishing, and direct marketing.
8
EQUITY
Fundamental Equity Tools this goal, the Fund will invest at least 60% of its
assets in equity securities, primarily in the stocks of
The tools used to evaluate prospective equities var- small to medium U.S. growth-oriented companies
ied slightly for each proposed company. For all that the portfolio managers believe are also finan-
equity valuations, however, a discounted cash flow cially stable. “Growth-oriented companies” are
technique was used to determine an intrinsic value those whose earnings are growing at a faster rate
for each common share outstanding. The three than the market as a whole, or have the potential to
measures of cash flow used were the dividend dis- do so. The remaining 40% of the portfolio will
count model, operating free cash flow, and free comprise investment-grade bonds and cash.
cash flow to equity. Each firm’s cost of equity was
calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model In general, the portfolio managers may sell a secu-
(CAPM) using Value Line’s beta, the yield on the rity if they determine that the security no longer
10-year note as the risk-free rate, and an equity risk presents sufficient appreciation potential; this may
premium of 6%. Growth rates were determined be caused by, or be a result of, changes in the in-
using a method relevant to the cash flows and com- dustry of the issuer, loss by the company of its
pany under analysis. competitive position, and/or poor use of resources.
The portfolio manager may also sell a security to
In addition to determining an intrinsic value for take advantage of more attractive investment oppor-
each company, relative valuation techniques were tunities or to raise cash.
also employed. The two most significant ratios
assessed were price-to-earnings and price-to-book. The Student Managed Investment Fund employs a
These valuation ratios were compared to similar team-based approach to construct a portfolio of 8 to
companies in the same industry to determine how 10 growth stocks. The Fund is constructed one se-
the market is valuing the stock within its industry. curity at a time. The team, comprising graduate
Price-to-cash-flow and price-to-sales ratios were and undergraduate finance students at California
also used, although less heavily. State University, Long Beach, will use traditional
sources (e.g., Wall Street analysts, company re-
Internal liquidity and operating efficiency ratios ports, and trade and technical journals) in order to
were also used in comparison with similar compa- form a basis for future forecasts of cash flow gen-
nies. The team attempted to look for the most effi- eration. Additionally, the team members will ana-
cient and profitable companies that seemed under- lyze the durability of a company’s strategic plan,
valued by investors. the quality of its management, and the strength of
its financial foundation, as well as its capital pro-
ductivity. The investment team is responsible for
SMIF 2003-2004 Strategy managing risk, deciding which sectors to weight
more heavily and determining when to sell a posi-
The Student Managed Investment Fund (SMIF)
tion.
seeks short-term capital appreciation through in-
vestments in equity and debt securities. To pursue
9
EQUITY
10
Commerce Bancorp (NYSE: CBH)
Sector: Finance Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 1
Industry: Bank Market Cap: $4.5 Billion
Purchase Price: $59.67 Earnings per Share: $2.61
Customer first
Commerce Bancorp (CBH) provides
personal, commercial, and trust services
through its banking subsidiaries, which
include Commerce Bank, Commerce
Bank / Penns ylvani a, Commerce
Bank/North, and Commerce Bank/Shore.
The 224 full- service retail branch offices
are located in the states of New Jersey,
Pennsylvania, Delaware, and New York.
They provide a range of retail and
commercial banking services for small and
midsize companies. Commerce’s services
include checking, savings, money markets, Commerce plans to open 50 new
and CDs. The banks’ lending and branches and expand into Virginia and
investment activities are funded by retail the District of Columbia. Commerce has
deposits gathered through each bank’s been able to beat out some of the larger
retail branch office network. Lending financial institutions because of their
services are focused on commercial real focus on making the relationship with
estate and commercial and consumer loans “Commerce their customers primary. Commerce’s
to local borrowers. Bancorp’s successful retail banking model will
continue to give the company an edge
unique retail over competitors in the year ahead.
Banking on convenience
Commerce Bancorp’s unique retail strategy has
strategy has produced exceptional A penny saved...
financial performance. Commerce banks produced After our analysis of Commerce Bank
market as growth retailers, not bankers. we felt that it would be a good fit with
exceptional our investment strategy. We felt the
Commerce banks are open on Sundays,
and they open earlier and close later than financial stock offered attractive capital
most bank competitors. Outstanding appreciation potential over the coming 3
performance.” to 5 years. Commerce, with a large
customer service is the core of their strong
campaign to build brand awareness and percentage of noninterest-bearing
make fans out of the clients through deposits, will have less trouble
convenience. The bank is continuing with maintaining margins when rates begin to
its aggressive expansion strategy in 2004. rise.
11
Corinthian Colleges (NYSE: COCO)
Sector: Consumer Discretionary Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 2
Industry: Education Market Cap: $2.7 Billion
Purchase Price: $30.02 Earnings per Share: $1.52
12
Omnicare Corp. (NYSE: OCR)
Sector: Health Care Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 2
Industry: Pharmacy Services Market Cap: $4.39 Billion
Purchase Price: $43.39 Earnings per Share: $1.93
A multisegment marvel
Omnicare, Inc. is a provider of pharmacy
services to long-term care institutions such
as skilled nursing facilities, assisted living
facilities, and other institutional health
care facilities. The company also provides
comprehensive clinical research for the
pharmaceutical and biotechnology
industries. The company operates in two
business segments. The largest segment,
Pharmacy Services, provides distribution
of pharmaceuticals, related pharmacy
consulting, data management services, and
medical supplies to long-term-care Growing market share in a growing
facilities. The company's other business market
segment is contract research organization Omnicare has been aggressively making
services, which is an international provider acquisitions to increase its market share.
of comprehensive product development In 2003 the number of patients it served
and research services to client companies grew over 33%.
in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology,
medical device, and diagnostics industries. “Omnicare has With cash flow per share up 82% to an
estimated $3.12 in 2004, it is ready to
An endless supply of demand for been aggressively capitalize on further acquisitions to fuel
research making growth. We also liked its profit margin
The Pharmacy Services industry which is better than its competitors’.
encompasses two major segments: acquisitions to Some of its margin expansion can be
pharmacy services companies, which attributed to the economies of scale that
increase its
includes pharmacy benefits managers and resulted from its expansion.
clinical services providers, and the large market share.”
drug chains. Pharmacy Services ranks in Omnicare now serves 40% of the people
the top five of all industries reviewed by at nursing homes and assisted-living
Value Line. The industry should do well facilities. Omnicare is four times larger
over the long term, because of the move than its nearest rival, NeighborCare,
toward specialty-disease management and Inc., and is growing at a much faster
rising sales of generic drugs. rate. Long term, OCR appears to have
sustainable growth characteristics and
analyst’s estimate that the market that
Key Statistics OCR serves could grow from $10.5
billion in 2002 to $56.8 billion by 2020.
OCR Industry S&P 500 This, coupled with OCR’s growing slice
Beta (BB numbers) 0.74 0.72 1.00 of the market, will ensure that business
P/E (BB numbers) 17.46 21.30 22.02 remains robust for OCR.
PEG Ratio (Calc. from VL 5-yr) 0.99 1.11 1.61
P/B (mrq) (BB Numbers) 2.27 2.49 3.06
ROE (BB Numbers) 13.17 19.53 14.98%
13
Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE: HOV)
Sector: Consumer Cyclical Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 1
Industry: Homebuilding Market Cap: $2.29 Billion
Purchase Price: $38.78 Earnings per Share: $4.12
14
Humana, Inc. (NYSE: HUM)
Sector: Health Care Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 1
Industry: Medical Services Market Cap: $2.93 Billion
Purchase Price: $21.17 Earnings per Share: $1.41
15
Laboratory Corp. of America (NYSE: LH)
Sector: Health Care Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 2
Industry: Medical Services Market Cap: $5.84 Billion
Purchase Price: $38.21 Earnings per Share: $2.22
16
Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK)
Sector: Technology Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 1
Industry: Communications Equipment Market Cap: $71.91 Billion
Purchase Price: $21.30 Earnings per Share: $0.87
17
Overseas Shipholding Group (NYSE: OSG)
Sector: Transportation Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 2
Industry: Maritime Market Cap: $1.43 Billion
Purchase Price: $34.35 Earnings per Share: $3.54
18
Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN)
Sector: Technology Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 2
Industry: Semiconductors Market Cap: $54 Billion
Purchase Price: $31.35 Earnings per Share: $0.82
19
Winnebago Industries, Inc. (NYSE: WGO)
Sector: Consumer Cyclical Value Line Timeliness Ranking: 1
Industry: Manufactured Housing/RV Market Cap: $1.08 Billion
Purchase Price: $34.37 Earnings per Share: $1.54
RV industry heats up
Demographic trends and a rebounding
stock market serve as a favorable
environment for the relatively small and
segmented RV industry to flourish.
20
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
Portfolio Performance 2003-2004
The SMIF team maintained a bullish outlook in a market that saw a remarkable wartime recovery dating back
to March 2003. Unfortunately, our holding period paralleled an unforeseen correction in the market, and our
holdings suffered a substantial amount of volatility. As a result, the 2003-2004 SMIF portfolio underper-
formed the S&P 500 over our investment period due to our increased equity exposure. The fixed-income port-
folio suffered as well. Speculation that the Fed would raise interest rates in the very near future gave the illu-
sion of rising rates, causing capital losses on bonds, in spite of the fact that the Federal Funds Rate remained
unchanged, as we had anticipated.
• The Equity portion of the SMIF portfolio saw five holdings outperforming the index and five underper-
forming. The overall performance of the portfolio returned -3.1%, which underperformed the S&P 500 by
0.5%. After including transaction costs, the equity portfolio lost a total of 6.2%.
• The Fixed-Income portion of the SMIF portfolio lost a total of $521.29, a return of -4.4%. Our benchmark
showed slight growth, returning 1.4%.
WITHOUT NET
TRANSACTIONS TRANSACTIONS
TOTAL FUND -5.18%
BENCHMARK -1.60%
10 %
5%
S&P 500
SMIF Equities
0%
- 5%
- 10 %
21
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
Equity Results:
Winners / Losers
HOV
OSG
10.00%
LH
COCO
5.00%
0.00%
S&P 500*
CBH
OCR
Return -5.00%
WGO
-10.00%
TXN
HUM
-15.00%
NOK
-20.00%
* S&P 500 return between 2/18/2004 and 4/28/2004. Equity returns calculated before transaction costs.
22
RISE SYMPOSIUM
This year, a number of the SMIF students Lyle Gramley, Senior Economic Advisor with the
represented California State University, Long Schwab Washington Research Group and former
Beach at the Fourth Annual Redefining Investment member of the Board of Governors of the Federal
Strategy Education (RISE) Symposium at the Reserve System.
University of Dayton’s School of Business
Administration. Michael Moskow, President and CEO of the Fed-
RISE is the first symposium of its kind to bring eral Reserve Bank of Chicago and a former U.S.
leading students, faculty, and investment deputy trade representative. The U.S. Senate has
professionals together in an interactive learning confirmed Mr. Moskow for five U.S. government
environment to discuss a range of pertinent issues positions.
facing investment professionals.
Richard Bernstein, chief U.S. strategist for Merrill
RISE 2004 included keynote presentations by Lynch’s global securities research and economics
nationally renowned industry leaders; specialized group, who was named by Fortune magazine as one
breakout sessions focusing on a range of of only 11 “all-star analysts” in 2001 and 2002.
investment, career strategies and academic program
development related issues; security analyst and Don Phillips, Managing Director for Morningstar
portfolio manager workshops; and an optional Inc., the mutual fund industry’s most recognizable
portfolio competition. RISE 2004 drew more than and relied upon independent rating source.
900 students and faculty from approximately 100
colleges and universities from the United States and Robert Hormats, Vice Chairman of Goldman
Canada. Sachs International and Managing Director of
Goldman, Sachs & Co. Mr. Hormats has served as
RISE was co-sponsored by the biggest names in a Senior Staff Member for International Economic
finance: the New York Stock Exchange, The Wall Affairs on the National Security Council and as
Street Journal, CNBC and Deutsche Asset Manage- Senior Deputy Assistant Secretary for Economic
ment, along with UD's School of Business Admini- and Business Affairs at the Department of State.
stration. The event featured 12 keynote speakers,
who spoke about the economy, public policy, cor-
porate governance, and the market. Some of those
speakers included:
23
MEET THE SMIF TEAM
24
STUDENT MANAGERS
Leroy Alveranga
Leroy Alveranga is currently completing a Bachelor’s degree at
CSULB, double majoring in International Business and Finance. He is a
Level Two Certified Tutor in economics, finance, and math. He is a
member of the California Army National Guard with six years of
military experience. He hopes to pursue an MBA in International
Business at the University of California, Berkeley. In addition, he plans
to do research in behavioral finance and ultimately become the Chief
Executive Officer of a global corporation.
Kristian Baney
Kristian Baney is graduating from CSULB with a degree in Finance and
plans to obtain his MBA from a top business school. While attending
college he has been working as the Accounting Manager of Phoenix
Technology, a computer services business. He is currently a Chartered
Financial Analyst (CFA®) Level I candidate and plans to pursue a career
in portfolio management.
Vu Chu
Vu Q. Chu is an undergraduate majoring in Economics and Finance. He
is a member of Beta Gamma Sigma business honor society and is
currently an Assistant Portfolio Manager at an investment management
firm. His responsibilities include evaluating securities and asset
allocation strategies to help meet clients’ objectives, executing trades,
and generating financial models and analysis on prospective
investments. He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®) Level I
candidate, and plans to work toward a Ph.D. in Economics or Finance.
Jeff Clausi
Jeff Clausi is a Finance major with a concentration in Investments at
California State University, Long Beach. He is currently employed at
Boise Cascade as Transportation Supervisor. After graduation, Jeff
plans to pursue a career in corporate finance or financial planning as
well as obtain his MBA and CFP® certification.
25
STUDENT MANAGERS
Julia Dunisch
Julia Dunisch attends California State University, Long Beach, and is
majoring in Business Finance, Real Estate and Law, with concentrations
in both Investments and Financial Management. She plans to attend the
University of California, Irvine, for her post-baccalaureate education.
She will be pursuing a career that will utilize her experience in sales and
education in finance.
Kristine Ikeda
Kristine Ikeda is a second-year MBA student specializing in Finance.
Her scholastic interests include investments, valuation research, and
portfolio management. She is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®)
Level I candidate and is pursuing a career in the Asian financial industry
in corporate valuation and corporate finance strategy consulting. She is
a member of the CSULB chapter for Beta Gamma Sigma, a national
business honor fraternity, and has also been named one of the Dean’s
Top Graduates, ranking in the top 1% of her graduating class.
Arisara Kiusasap
Arisara Kiusasap is currently completing a Bachelor of Science in
Finance with a minor in Business Economics at California State
University, Long Beach. She is on the President’s Honor List. She
intends to pursue a career in corporate finance. She plans to complete
an MBA with a concentration in Finance at the University of Chicago.
Jason Moore
Jason Moore is an undergraduate Finance major with an emphasis in
Investments. He is a member of the Kappa Sigma Fraternity, Long
Beach State Chapter. Jason is also in the College of Business
Administration’s Honors Program, where he is researching the effects of
the 2003 Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act. He is a
Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®) Level I candidate and plans to
pursue a career in portfolio management.
26
STUDENT MANAGERS
Jonas Neubauer
Jonas Neubauer is a published undergraduate at CSULB, where he is
currently working toward a degree in Finance. He hopes to work in the
Portfolio Management field, eventually managing his own hedge fund
based on quantitative modeling of equity markets. His research interests
include statistical aspects of technical analysis as well as applying the
Fibonacci sequence to movements in the S&P 500.
Khai Nguyen
Khai Nguyen is an undergraduate at California State University, Long
Beach, where he is currently working toward his bachelor’s degree in
Finance, with an emphasis in Investments. His research has been
published in several leading refereed journals, including the Journal of
Academy of Business and Economics (JABE). Also an avid investor, he
plans to pursue his career in portfolio management and securities law.
As Chairman of the SMIF Annual Report Committee, he was in charge
of organizing and designing the 2003-2004 SMIF Annual Report.
Cynthia Rafael
Cynthia Rafael is an undergraduate student in the Business Finance
Program at CSULB. She currently is employed at Union Bank as a
Team-Lead in the Commercial Real Estate Loan Administration Group.
Upon graduation she intends to continue her career in the banking
industry.
Juan Rivas
Juan M. Rivas will be completing a Bachelor of Science degree in
Business Administration with an option in Finance. He plans to prepare
himself for the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®) Level I exam and
pursue a career in investment management.
27
STUDENT MANAGERS
Ryan Smith
Ryan Smith will be completing a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance
this year at California State University, Long Beach, with an emphasis
in Investments. He currently directs the national sales activity of Cycle
Support West, Inc., and is a respected figure in the bicycle industry. He
plans to apply his skills and intuition to the world of portfolio
management in the near future.
Mike Thomas
Mike Thomas is a graduating senior studying Finance with a
concentration in Investments. He has been recognized on the President’s
Honor List and was awarded membership in the Golden Key
International Honor Society and CSULB chapter for Beta Gamma
Sigma, a national business honor fraternity. His interests include facets
of technical and relative analysis, derivatives use, and risk management.
Mr. Thomas hopes to one day culminate his efforts into a career as a
sell-side investments broker.
Jana Wennstrom
Jana Wennstrom is currently an undergraduate student at CSULB,
double majoring in Accounting and Finance. She is a member of Beta
Alpha Psi, Alpha Gamma Sigma, and the Golden Key International
Honor Society. Having completed an internship at a local CPA firm, she
will spend the summer as an intern in the tax practice of
PricewaterhouseCoopers’ Los Angeles office. Subsequent to
®
graduation, she plans to become a CPA and obtain a Master of
Business Taxation degree while working in public accounting.
Mark Woerz
Mark Woerz is graduating from CSULB with a degree in Finance. He
has been actively investing in securities for himself and family members
for 15 years. Living in Long Beach with his wife and two children,
Mark is pursuing a career in investments.
28
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The 2003-2004 SMIF managers would like to offer Association for Investment Management Research
our whole hearted thanks and appreciation to the (AIMR)/CFA Institute:
following individuals, whose support and guidance
were instrumental to enhancing and broadening the Ms. Jackie Curran, Administrative Director, Or-
SMIF experience: ange County Society of Investment Managers
(OCSIM)
Fixed-Income Guest Speaker:
Much appreciation for her assistance and support
Mr. Doug Lopez, CFA, Vice President and throughout the year in helping to coordinate the
Portfolio Manager, Bradford and Marzec, Inc. attendance of the SMIF students at the monthly
luncheons.
For taking the time out of his busy schedule to be
our fixed-income guest speaker. His words and Mr. Jay Tsai, CFA, Associate Vice President and
advice were integral to our decisions and proved to Financial Advisor, Morgan Stanley
be of tremendous value.
For inviting SMIF students to participate at the
Career Panel: OCSIM Annual Forecast Dinner.
Mr. Jim Burley, Chief Administrative Officer, Ms. Linda Cahill, Administrator, Los Angeles So-
Bradford and Marzec, Inc. ciety of Financial Analysts (LASFA)
Mr. Bob Boyd, Structured Product Specialist, For helping the SMIF members register and attend
PIMCO monthly LASFA luncheons and the LASFA Career
Expo.
Mr. Doug Wolf, Portfolio Manager, Wells Fargo
Bank OCSIM Scholarship Foundation (OCSIMSF):
For sharing their personal and career-related experi- Ms. Krista Zipfel, CFA, Chair of the OCSIMSF,
ences as well as their inside take on the real world and Principal, Advisors Solutions Group
of investments, securities research, and portfolio
management. Their realistic perspectives are in- Mr. Russell Murdock, CFA, Vice Chair of the
valuable to those of us who wish to pursue a career OCSIMSF, and Principal, Sea-Breeze Capital Man-
in the investment industry. agement, LLC
Mr. Joseph Tinervia, The Writing Center The Members of the OCSIMSF Investment
Policy Committee
For his professional proofreading of the SMIF
2003-2004 Annual Report. His support has al- For awarding the SMIF team the honor of being the
lowed us to reach new levels of excellence. inaugural OCSIMSF fund managers, and for taking
time out of their busy schedules to meet on a
Mr. Khai Nguyen, SMIF Member quarterly basis to discuss the OCSIMSF investment
Mr. James Tran, Graphics Artist portfolio. Their comments and feedback have truly
helped us to grow toward becoming contributing
For designing the cover and layout of the Annual members of the investment community.
Report.
29
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Global Insight tween director and facilitator, providing insight
where applicable while preserving genuine student
For providing their annual, quarterly, and monthly management. The learning experience that is de-
economic forecast reports. rived is incomparable and irreplaceable.
California State University, Long Beach (CSULB): The goal of any investment fund is to add value to
the overall portfolio. With an interminable passion
Dr. Robert Maxson, President, CSULB to acquire, create, and distribute knowledge of fi-
nancial strategy, these fine gentlemen are possibly
CSULB IRA Board the greatest value that could ever be added to the
SMIF Program here at CSULB.
For providing the funding for the Bloomberg Pro-
fessional Service, LCD projector, and student par-
ticipation at the Redefining Investment Strategy
Education (RISE) Symposium in Dayton, Ohio.
Special Thanks:
30
REFERENCES
Professional Services:
• Wieseman, T. & Greelaw, D. (2003). Global
• Bloomberg Professional Service* Economic Forum [Online]. Retrieved
• Global Insight September 29, 2003, from
• 90th Annual Report 2003 – Board of Governors http://www.morganstanley.com/GEFdata/digest
of the Federal Reserve System s/latest-digest.html. MorganStanley.
*Screen grab from Bloomberg Professional Service, illustrating mean reversion timing opportunity of COCO during uptrend.
31
APPENDIX A
Student Managed Investment Fund Guidelines features of the program that will make it a unique
and invaluable experience for all participants
Introduction involved.
32
APPENDIX A
• 50% - 75% to be invested in equities Classroom Mechanics
• 25% - 50% to be invested in debt securities
• Portfolio Beta not to exceed 1.5 Graduate and undergraduate students will be
• Equal mix of income (dividends) and growth organized into groups with three or four students.
(capital gains) stocks
Occasional Guest Speakers/Lecturers:
The following 5 / 10 / 15 rules shall apply:
· Portfolio Managers
• Investment in any security shall constitute at · Securities Analysts
least 5% of the value of the portfolio. · Leaders – Economists
• No more than 10% of the portfolio can be · Corporate Vice Presidents of Finance
invested in any one company.
• No more than 15% of the portfolio can be Three Investment Fund Advisors
invested in any one industry.
· Instructor / Faculty Advisor
Suggested Transactions Guidelines · Corporate Advisor
· Securities Industry Advisor
• Round-lot purchases, when possible within the
above guidelines Field Trips
• Purchase decisions supported by majority of
students · CFA Meeting
• Subject to veto by any of the three fund · Orange County Society of Investment
advisors Managers Monthly Events
• Irrevocable 10% stop-loss provision · Los Angeles Society of Financial Analysts
communicated to the broker at the time of Weekly Events
purchase
• Any bond falling below investment grade is to Three Levels of Security
be sold
· Trades subject to veto by any of the fund
Frequency of Trading advisors
· Monthly statements and quarterly audit
Trades are recommended and voted upon by from the brokerage firm
students and approved by the fund advisors. Classes · Annual Report and record of transactions
meet once a week, and trading decisions are made sent to the major fund benefactors
at that time. In emergency situations any of the
fund advisors may make a sell decision without Commissions
student input.
One of the contributors to the fund representing a
Summer Break Fund Activity major brokerage house conducts the fund’s trades
at or below cost.
The investment fund is liquidated at the end of each
spring semester, or directives may be put into place
to assure orderly and timely liquidation. Fund
assets are used to purchase short-term Treasury
bills or money market instruments. This process
allows each new class the opportunity to start from
scratch without the need to justify any prior
holdings.
33
APPENDIX B
California State University, Long Beach time lecturers. Today, the College of Business
(CSULB) Administration is home to over 5,000 business
majors, including about 400 graduate students—the
CSULB is a large urban comprehensive university largest student population at CSU Long Beach—
in the California State University (CSU) system. and 140 full-time-equivalent faculty and staff.
Los Angeles-Orange County State College opened
its doors on September 28, 1949, to an entering CBA seeks to prepare its students for entry into
group of 169 juniors and seniors. The new school successful careers in business. As each graduate
offered 25 courses taught by 13 faculty members in pursues a successful career, it is anticipated that
support of five undergraduate majors. The campus personal responsibility will be accepted for
consisted of two converted apartment buildings at maintaining and enhancing the quality of the
5381 and 5401 Anaheim Road in Long Beach. society in which business and the individual
Two decades later the rapidly growing institution operate. CBA has five departments: Accountancy;
had earned designation as a university and was the Finance, Real Estate, and Law; Human Resource
second largest in the CSU system. Today more Management and Management; Information
than 30,000 undergraduate and graduate students Systems; and Marketing.
are pursuing degrees and credentials under the
direction of 1600 faculty members, supported by Department of Finance, Real Estate, and Law
1150 full-time and part-time staff. Its mission is
high-quality education leading toward a broad The objective of the finance curriculum is to
range of baccalaureate and graduate degrees prepare students for a successful career in business
spanning the liberal arts and sciences and many with an understanding of the financial decision-
applied and professional fields, with emphasis on making process and its impact within the overall
instruction at the upper-division and graduate framework of the business enterprise. The finance
levels. curriculum offers education in the management
techniques and regulations applicable to financial
College of Business Administration management and investments. The curriculum
draws on fundamental knowledge of statistics,
The College of Business Administration (CBA) is computer logic, and economics to develop
one of the seven colleges of CSULB. The largest of advanced financial concepts. It explores the
the 23 campuses of the California State University historical and current roles of various financial
system, CSULB is a comprehensive four-year institutions and regulatory authorities; details the
institution that was established as the Los Angeles- basic principles, and techniques for valuing
Orange County State College in 1949 to serve the financial instruments, on the basis of fundamental
areas of Orange County and southeastern Los and/or historical price trends; explores the methods
Angeles County. of managing risk; and examines financial principles
that govern international trade.
Business studies at CSULB began in 1949 with 24
business students and four faculty members,
accounting for one-seventh of the campus
population. Business administration was part of the
Social Science Division from its inception until
1957, when the division was renamed Division of
Business and Social Sciences. In 1958, the two
academic areas split, and Business Administration
became a division in its own right, with Dr. S.
Austen Reep as founding dean. By the mid-1960s,
the business school had close to 3,800 business
students, 29 full-time faculty members, and 13 part-
34
GLOSSARY
GLOSSARY
Beta – The measure of a fund's or a stock's risk in Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) – Developed by
relation to the market or to an alternative Marc Chaikin, the Chaikin Money Flow oscillator
benchmark. A beta of 1.5 means that a stock's is calculated from the daily readings of the
excess return is expected to move 1.5 times the Accumulation/Distribution Line. The basic premise
market excess returns. E.g., if market excess return behind the Accumulation/Distribution Line is that
is 10%, then we expect, on average, the stock return the degree of buying or selling pressure can be
to be 15%. Beta is referred to as an index of the determined by the location of the close relative to
systematic risk due to general market conditions the high and low for the corresponding period
that cannot be diversified away. (Closing Location Value). There is buying pressure
when a stock closes in the upper half of a period's
Forward price/earnings ratio – Estimate using the range and there is selling pressure when a stock
current share price divided by the expected closes in the lower half of the period's trading
earnings per share in the next year. range. The Closing Location Value multiplied by
volume forms the Accumulation/Distribution Value
Price/book (P/B) ratio – Ratio of the stock’s price for each period.
to its book value per share.
Commodities Channel Index (CCI) – Identifies
Price/earnings ratio (P/E) – Estimate using the cyclical turns in commodities. The assumption
current share price divided by the earnings per behind the indicator is that commodities (or stocks
share in the most recent financial year. or bonds) move in cycles, with highs and lows
coming at periodic intervals. CCI can be used to
Price/earnings/growth (PEG) ratio – The price- identify overbought and oversold levels. A security
earnings ratio divided by annual earnings per share would be deemed oversold when the CCI dips
growth rate. below -100 and overbought when it exceeds +100.
From oversold levels, a buy signal might be given
Return on Equity (ROE) – An indicator of when the CCI moves back above -100. From
profitability. Determined by dividing net income overbought levels, a sell signal might be given
for the past 12 months by common stockholder when the CCI moved back below +100.
equity (adjusted for stock splits). Result is shown as
a percentage. Investors use ROE as a measure of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) – In order
how a company is using its money. to reduce the lag in simple moving averages,
technicians often use exponential moving averages
Fundamental Analysis Terms: (also called exponentially weighted moving
averages). EMAs reduce the lag by applying more
Dividend Discount Model (DDM) – A formula to weight to recent prices relative to older prices. The
estimate the intrinsic value of a firm by figuring the weighting applied to the most recent price depends
present value of all expected future dividends. on the specified period of the moving average. The
Certain parts of this analysis were conducted on the shorter the EMA's period, the more weight will be
Bloomberg Machine, and feasibility analyses are applied to the most recent price.
conducted to determine how realistic the intrinsic
values really are. Moving Average Convergence Divergence
(MACD) – One of the simplest and most reliable
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) – Future cash indicators available, MACD uses moving averages,
flows multiplied by discount factors to obtain which are lagging indicators, to include some trend-
present values. following characteristics. MACD generates bullish
35
GLOSSARY
signals from three main sources: (1) positive oversold levels. The scale ranges from 0 to -100,
divergence, (2) bullish moving average crossover, with readings from 0 to -20 considered overbought,
and (3) bullish centerline crossover. MACD and readings from -80 to -100 considered oversold.
generates bearish signals from three main sources.
These signals are mirror reflections of the bullish *****
signals. The sources are: (1) negative divergence,
(2) bearish moving average crossover, and (3) Bloomberg Professional Service
bearish centerline crossover. About Bloomberg
Bloomberg L.P., founded in 1981 by Michael R.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) – One of the earliest Bloomberg, is the world’s leading financial
and most popular indicators to measure positive information, news and media company, serving
and negative volume flow, OBV is a relatively customers around the globe. Bloomberg leverages
simple indicator that adds the corresponding its data and news resources through related media
period's volume when the close is up and subtracts products, including television and radio
it when the close is down. A cumulative total of the programming, Web sites, books and publications,
positive and negative volume flow (additions and to meet the financial information needs of
subtractions) forms the OBV line. This line can professionals and consumers globally.**
then be compared with the price chart of the
underlying security to look for divergences or About the Product Certification Program
confirmation. Many financial institutions and corporations
worldwide have adopted the Bloomberg
Relative Strength Index (RSI) – Compares the Professional Service as an essential part of their
magnitude of a stock's recent gains to the business. The increasing complexity of the system
magnitude of its recent losses and turns that as well as their reliance upon it has shown that a
information into a number that ranges from 0 to proficiency benchmark in the use of Bloomberg is
100. Calculation of this index requires the choice of highly desirable. To meet such a need, Bloomberg
the number of time periods to include; 14 periods is has developed the Product Certification Program
the typical recommendation. that offers structured training in Fixed Income,
Equity, and Foreign Exchange. Each track is
Reversion to the mean – A force that compels a offered at three levels, and each level leads to a
stock price to a line of best-fit. In our studies, two Bloomberg Certificate.**
standard deviations were used to qualify a
worthwhile buy signal. Benefits
One of the primary benefits is that participants will
Simple Moving Averages (SMA) – A simple dramatically increase their knowledge of financial
moving average is formed by computing the markets and of Bloomberg functionality. In
average (mean) price of a security over a specified addition, certified users will gain recognition for
number of periods. attaining a high level of competency in using the
Bloomberg Professional Service. Such recognition
Stochastic Oscillators – A momentum indicator will come from their colleagues, superiors, and
that shows the location of the current close relative outside organizations. In an increasingly complex
to the high/low range over a set number of periods. and challenging financial world, this competency
Closing levels that are consistently near the top of may prove to be a saving grace.
the range indicate accumulation (buying pressure),
and those near the bottom of the range indicate Many of the 2003-2004 SMIF Team members have
distribution (selling pressure). completed the Product Certification Program from
levels 1 through 3.
William’s %R – A momentum indicator that
works much like the Stochastic Oscillator. It is **Excerpts from the Bloomberg Professional
especially popular for measuring overbought and Product Certification Program.
36
MISSION STATEMENT
37
38
39