From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

Subject: Cain holds commanding lead in ME-2 Primary

Date: June 4, 2014

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that Emily Cain holds a commanding lead over
Troy Jackson in the Democratic primary for Maines 2nd Congressional District, driven in
part by the wide advantage she has over her opponent when it comes to environmental
issues.
Key findings from the survey include:
-Cain leads Jackson 60-25, with just 15% of voters still undecided. Momentum is on
Cains side as well- since a PPP poll three weeks ago that found her up 50-23, shes
gained 10 points while Jacksons support has gone up only 2. Cain holds commanding
leads with every segment of the electorate- shes over 50% and ahead of Jackson by
double digits with men, women, younger voters, and seniors alike.
-Cain has an extremely positive image with Democratic primary voters, 69% of whom
say they have a favorable opinion of her to just 11% with a negative one. Feelings about
Jackson are more mixed- 42% see him favorably but 26% see him unfavorably, more
than double the number who have a negative perception of Cain.
-Environmental issues and the focus on the contrast between Cain and Jackson on them
has been a key focus of the race, and voters have considerably more faith in Cain than
Jackson on that front. 61% trust Cain more on environmental issues to just 19% for
Jackson.
It appears that Emily Cain is primed for a dominant victory in the Democratic primary on
June 10th.
PPP surveyed 810 like primary voters on June 2nd and 3rd on behalf of the League of
Conservation Voters. The surveys margin of error is +/-3.4%.

Public Policy Polling

2912 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988

Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

Maine 2nd Congressional District Survey Results

Q1

How likely would you say you are to vote in

next weeks Democratic primary for Congress
and other important offices? Will you definitely
vote, probably vote, are the chances 50/50, or
will you probably not vote?

Q4

Favorable........................................................ 42%
Unfavorable .................................................... 26%

Will definitely vote ........................................... 89%

Will probably vote ........................................... 11%

Not sure .......................................................... 32%

Q5

Chances are 50/50 ......................................... 0%

Q2

Which candidate for Congress do you trust

more on environmental issues: Emily Cain or
Troy Jackson?

Will probably not vote...................................... 0%

Emily Cain....................................................... 61%

Not sure .......................................................... 0%

Troy Jackson................................................... 19%

The Democratic candidates for U.S. House are

Emily Cain and Troy Jackson. If the election
was today, who would you vote for?

Not sure .......................................................... 20%

Q6

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Emily Cain....................................................... 60%

Woman ........................................................... 55%

Troy Jackson................................................... 25%

Man................................................................. 45%

Undecided....................................................... 15%

Q3

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Troy Jackson?

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Emily Cain?
Favorable........................................................ 69%
Unfavorable .................................................... 11%
Not sure .......................................................... 19%

Q7

If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 9%
30 to 45........................................................... 21%
46 to 65........................................................... 42%
Older than 65 .................................................. 28%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 810 Democratic primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

June 2-3, 2014

Gender
Base Wom an

Gender
Man

Base Wom an

Cain/Jackson

Man

Cain Favorability

Em ily Cain 60%

67%

52%

Favorable 69%

70%

68%

Troy Jackson 25%

18%

34%

Unfavorable 11%

10%

13%

Undecided 15%

15%

15%

Not sure 19%

20%

19%

Gender

Gender
Base Wom an

Base Wom an

Man

Favorable 42%

36%

50%

Unfavorable 26%

27%

25%

Not sure 32%

38%

25%

Em ily Cain 61%

66%

55%

Troy Jackson 19%

15%

24%

Not sure 20%

19%

21%

Age
Base

Man

Most Trusted on
Enviro

Jackson Favorability

Age

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Cain/Jackson

Base

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Cain Favorability

Em ily Cain 60%

51%

51%

59%

70%

Favorable 69%

64%

69%

67%

74%

Troy Jackson 25%

37%

27%

28%

15%

Unfavorable 11%

18%

12%

13%

6%

Undecided 15%

12%

22%

13%

15%

Not sure 19%

18%

19%

20%

19%

June 2-3, 2014

survey of 810 Democratic primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age
Base

Age

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Jackson Favorability
Favorable 42%

46%

42%

46%

35%

Unfavorable 26%

24%

28%

23%

29%

Not sure 32%

30%

30%

31%

36%

June 2-3, 2014

survey of 810 Democratic primary voters

Base

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Most Trusted on
Enviro
Em ily Cain 61%

58%

50%

63%

68%

Troy Jackson 19%

24%

17%

22%

15%

Not sure 20%

18%

33%

15%

18%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988