Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489

Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:

Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 1 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
Pendulum in KY Senate Race Swings Ever-So-Slightly To McConnell -- With Or Without Libertarian Patterson on the Ballot: Kentucky icon Mitch McConnell leads Democratic challenger
Alison Lundergan Grimes by a nominal 2 points today, both in a head-to-head contest that excludes Libertarian David Patterson, and in a 3-way contest that explicitly includes Patterson. In a
2-person race, it's McConnell 47%, Grimes 45%. In a 3-person race, it's McConnell 41%, Grimes 39%, Patterson 7%. This latest Bluegrass Poll, conducted for the Louisville Courier-J ournal, the
Lexington Herald-Leader, WHAS-TV and WKYT-TV, the 3rd Bluegrass Poll of 2014, is the most favorable yet to the U.S. Senate Minority Leader. A survey in February showed Grimes ahead by 4
points. A survey in May showed Grimes ahead by a nominal 1 point. Neither of the previous 2 polls explicitly mentioned the Libertarian candidate. It is not fair to say, from these numbers, that
Patterson hurts one candidate more than the other. But it is fair to say that Patterson throws a wrench into the mix: with his name included in the poll question, the number of undecided voters
increases from 8% to 13%. Beyond the number who say they are undecided, 1 in 4 voters say they might change their mind before the 11/04/14 election. McConnell's favorability is up, from 29%
ten weeks ago to 36% today. In fact, McConnell's favorability today is exactly the same as Grimes's, 36%. The difference is: McConnell's unfavorability today is 10 percentage points higher than
Grimes, 43% to 33%. As a point of reference, President Barack Obama's favorability number in Kentucky is 28% today. 3 key issues highlight how Kentucky sees the candidates: Voters by a
narrow margin say that McConnell will do a better job balancing the state's coal interests with the need for cleaner air. Voters by a narrow margin say that Grimes will do a better at creating jobs.
Voters split evenly on which candidate will keep Medicare stable. Kentucky by 48% to 40% says that Republicans would do a better job than Democrats controlling the U.S. Senate. Whether
McConnell is re-elected to a 6th term will go a long way toward determining which party does have control of the Senate in the next Congress. Cell-phone respondents and home-phone
respondents included in this survey: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of Kentucky adults 07/18/14 through 07/23/14. Of the adults, 714 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 604 were
determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 election for U.S. Senate. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home
telephone (73% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of likely
voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
1
If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were ... Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes ... who would you
vote for?
604 Likely Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
McConnell 47% 49% 46% 49% 42% 45% 54% 45% 49% 48% 27% 51% 42% 82% 20% 33%
Lundergan Grimes 45% 43% 47% 44% 44% 50% 40% 44% 45% 44% 64% 48% 37% 13% 74% 50%
Undecided 8% 8% 8% 6% 13% 5% 6% 11% 5% 8% 9% 1% 21% 5% 6% 17%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 16% 29% 29% 26% 45% 55% 92% 5% 70% 25% 41% 42% 18%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 2 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
1
If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the only two names on the ballot were ... Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes ... who would you
vote for?
604 Likely Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
McConnell 47% 75% 34% 18% 53% 45% 46% 44% 52% 43% 42% 49% 49% 46% 44% 54%
Lundergan Grimes 45% 17% 58% 75% 39% 47% 46% 48% 43% 47% 45% 45% 44% 47% 47% 39%
Undecided 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 6% 10% 14% 6% 7% 7% 9% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 39% 41% 18% 23% 36% 41% 38% 40% 22% 27% 73% 22% 27% 34% 17%
2
What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for?
604 Likely Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
McConnell 41% 43% 39% 37% 37% 39% 49% 37% 44% 42% 17% 49% 25% 73% 17% 23%
Lundergan Grimes 39% 39% 39% 36% 35% 45% 38% 35% 42% 37% 68% 46% 21% 9% 66% 42%
Patterson 7% 7% 7% 12% 9% 5% 4% 10% 5% 7% 8% 3% 18% 8% 4% 14%
Undecided 13% 11% 15% 15% 19% 11% 8% 18% 10% 14% 7% 2% 35% 10% 13% 21%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 16% 29% 29% 26% 45% 55% 92% 5% 70% 25% 41% 42% 18%
2
What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for?
604 Likely Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.1% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
McConnell 41% 68% 28% 12% 45% 39% 40% 34% 46% 38% 31% 44% 41% 38% 39% 49%
Lundergan Grimes 39% 13% 49% 72% 31% 40% 42% 41% 36% 42% 35% 40% 44% 40% 40% 28%
Patterson 7% 7% 9% 6% 7% 10% 6% 9% 7% 5% 8% 7% 3% 10% 7% 9%
Undecided 13% 12% 14% 11% 17% 12% 13% 16% 10% 15% 25% 9% 12% 13% 15% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 39% 41% 18% 23% 36% 41% 38% 40% 22% 27% 73% 22% 27% 34% 17%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 3 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
3
Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind between nowand November?
604 Likely Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Mind Is Made Up 70% 73% 67% 59% 57% 75% 85% 58% 80% 69% 77% 100% 0% 70% 75% 56%
Might Change Your Mind 25% 24% 26% 37% 35% 19% 13% 36% 16% 26% 14% 0% 100% 25% 19% 42%
Not Sure 5% 4% 7% 4% 8% 6% 2% 6% 4% 5% 9% 0% 0% 5% 6% 2%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 48% 52% 16% 29% 29% 26% 45% 55% 92% 5% 70% 25% 41% 42% 18%
3
Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind between nowand November?
604 Likely Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Mind Is Made Up 70% 70% 65% 81% 67% 68% 73% 64% 73% 72% 49% 78% 76% 69% 67% 69%
Might Change Your Mind 25% 25% 30% 14% 24% 26% 25% 29% 23% 22% 43% 18% 18% 27% 27% 27%
Not Sure 5% 5% 5% 5% 9% 7% 2% 7% 4% 5% 8% 4% 6% 4% 6% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 39% 41% 18% 23% 36% 41% 38% 40% 22% 27% 73% 22% 27% 34% 17%
4
Is your opinion of Mitch McConnell... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Favorable 36% 33% 39% 35% 32% 34% 45% 33% 39% 36% 27% 43% 31% 65% 16% 21%
Unfavorable 43% 45% 42% 41% 40% 49% 42% 41% 46% 44% 46% 47% 43% 19% 67% 43%
Neutral 18% 21% 16% 19% 26% 15% 11% 23% 13% 18% 19% 10% 25% 15% 14% 32%
No Opinion 2% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 8% 1% 2% 1% 3% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 4 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
4
Is your opinion of Mitch McConnell... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Favorable 36% 56% 30% 14% 40% 35% 35% 33% 39% 34% 32% 38% 37% 32% 35% 43%
Unfavorable 43% 24% 51% 69% 36% 45% 47% 43% 44% 47% 45% 43% 39% 47% 46% 39%
Neutral 18% 20% 17% 14% 19% 19% 17% 20% 16% 18% 21% 17% 22% 17% 18% 16%
No Opinion 2% 1% 2% 4% 5% 1% 1% 4% 1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
5
Is your opinion of Alison Lundergan Grimes ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Favorable 36% 35% 37% 36% 34% 40% 34% 35% 38% 35% 57% 44% 28% 13% 61% 33%
Unfavorable 33% 37% 28% 26% 27% 38% 39% 27% 38% 34% 19% 38% 25% 55% 14% 25%
Neutral 24% 22% 26% 30% 29% 19% 18% 30% 18% 24% 16% 14% 40% 24% 19% 33%
No Opinion 7% 6% 8% 8% 9% 3% 9% 9% 6% 7% 8% 4% 7% 8% 6% 9%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
5
Is your opinion of Alison Lundergan Grimes ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Favorable 36% 14% 47% 63% 28% 36% 42% 37% 35% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 37% 31%
Unfavorable 33% 57% 21% 11% 34% 31% 33% 28% 35% 35% 25% 36% 37% 30% 30% 35%
Neutral 24% 21% 28% 19% 25% 26% 21% 24% 24% 24% 34% 20% 19% 26% 24% 26%
No Opinion 7% 9% 4% 7% 13% 7% 4% 11% 6% 2% 6% 8% 6% 6% 8% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 5 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
6
Is your opinion of Barack Obama ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Favorable 28% 25% 30% 24% 26% 31% 29% 25% 30% 25% 66% 34% 13% 6% 50% 25%
Unfavorable 55% 59% 51% 53% 55% 55% 56% 54% 55% 57% 30% 53% 61% 83% 30% 49%
Neutral 15% 13% 16% 22% 15% 12% 11% 18% 12% 15% 3% 11% 21% 8% 17% 23%
No Opinion 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
6
Is your opinion of Barack Obama ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Favorable 28% 7% 34% 59% 22% 28% 32% 28% 27% 30% 25% 29% 27% 34% 29% 16%
Unfavorable 55% 85% 43% 22% 58% 58% 49% 53% 57% 52% 53% 56% 56% 47% 53% 69%
Neutral 15% 7% 21% 15% 14% 12% 17% 14% 15% 15% 20% 13% 13% 16% 17% 10%
No Opinion 3% 1% 2% 4% 6% 2% 2% 5% 1% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
7
Control of the U.S. Senate will be determined in the November election. Which party would do a better job if it was in control of the Senate? Republicans or Democrats?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Republicans 48% 50% 46% 52% 43% 42% 57% 46% 49% 49% 23% 49% 50% 89% 17% 29%
Democrats 40% 39% 41% 33% 40% 46% 39% 37% 43% 39% 62% 46% 31% 6% 75% 38%
Not Sure 12% 11% 13% 15% 18% 12% 4% 17% 8% 12% 15% 5% 20% 5% 8% 34%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 6 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
7
Control of the U.S. Senate will be determined in the November election. Which party would do a better job if it was in control of the Senate? Republicans or Democrats?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Republicans 48% 82% 32% 14% 49% 47% 47% 44% 50% 48% 43% 50% 46% 43% 47% 59%
Democrats 40% 12% 49% 75% 39% 37% 44% 41% 38% 45% 37% 41% 38% 44% 42% 31%
Not Sure 12% 6% 19% 10% 12% 16% 8% 15% 12% 7% 20% 9% 16% 13% 11% 10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
8
Do Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes have an obligation to debate each other during the campaign? Or not?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Do 66% 71% 61% 71% 72% 66% 54% 72% 60% 65% 66% 65% 75% 64% 67% 68%
Do Not 20% 16% 23% 15% 14% 22% 28% 14% 25% 20% 16% 24% 13% 22% 19% 18%
Not Sure 15% 13% 16% 14% 14% 12% 18% 14% 15% 14% 19% 11% 12% 15% 14% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
8
Do Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes have an obligation to debate each other during the campaign? Or not?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Do 66% 61% 72% 66% 63% 66% 68% 62% 67% 72% 71% 63% 63% 68% 65% 67%
Do Not 20% 26% 16% 16% 19% 18% 22% 17% 20% 23% 11% 23% 21% 18% 20% 20%
Not Sure 15% 13% 12% 18% 19% 16% 10% 20% 13% 5% 18% 13% 16% 14% 14% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 7 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
9
Coal is an issue in the U.S. Senate race. Which candidate do you trust more to strike the right balance between protecting jobs in the coal industry and protecting the environment from
pollution caused by coal-fired power plants? Republican Mitch McConnell or Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes ...
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
McConnell 43% 47% 40% 43% 37% 43% 51% 39% 47% 44% 26% 48% 39% 76% 20% 26%
Lundergan Grimes 39% 37% 41% 37% 37% 46% 36% 37% 41% 38% 57% 45% 34% 12% 65% 40%
Undecided 18% 17% 18% 20% 26% 12% 13% 24% 12% 18% 17% 7% 27% 12% 15% 34%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
9
Coal is an issue in the U.S. Senate race. Which candidate do you trust more to strike the right balance between protecting jobs in the coal industry and protecting the environment from
pollution caused by coal-fired power plants? Republican Mitch McConnell or Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes ...
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
McConnell 43% 71% 29% 18% 46% 42% 42% 39% 46% 44% 34% 47% 45% 37% 42% 52%
Lundergan Grimes 39% 14% 52% 65% 34% 39% 44% 41% 37% 41% 36% 41% 36% 44% 40% 34%
Undecided 18% 15% 19% 17% 20% 20% 14% 20% 17% 16% 31% 12% 19% 20% 17% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
10
Healthcare is also an issue. Which candidate do you trust more to keep the Medicare systemfinancially stable and affordable for seniors?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
McConnell 42% 45% 40% 43% 35% 40% 52% 38% 46% 43% 23% 49% 34% 72% 19% 29%
Lundergan Grimes 42% 40% 43% 40% 42% 46% 37% 41% 42% 41% 50% 47% 36% 13% 69% 42%
Undecided 16% 15% 18% 18% 23% 13% 11% 21% 12% 16% 27% 4% 31% 15% 12% 29%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 8 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
10
Healthcare is also an issue. Which candidate do you trust more to keep the Medicare systemfinancially stable and affordable for seniors?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
McConnell 42% 69% 32% 15% 43% 40% 43% 35% 46% 45% 32% 46% 44% 40% 40% 47%
Lundergan Grimes 42% 15% 53% 73% 35% 41% 47% 43% 41% 43% 41% 42% 40% 48% 42% 35%
Undecided 16% 16% 16% 12% 22% 19% 10% 22% 13% 11% 26% 12% 16% 13% 18% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
11
Which candidate do you trust more to create jobs?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
McConnell 37% 40% 34% 38% 29% 38% 45% 32% 41% 37% 25% 46% 31% 63% 18% 24%
Lundergan Grimes 41% 40% 42% 43% 39% 46% 37% 41% 42% 41% 59% 46% 33% 17% 67% 38%
Undecided 22% 20% 23% 19% 32% 16% 18% 27% 17% 22% 16% 8% 36% 21% 14% 38%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
11
Which candidate do you trust more to create jobs?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
McConnell 37% 61% 27% 12% 39% 32% 40% 29% 44% 37% 30% 40% 40% 34% 36% 40%
Lundergan Grimes 41% 16% 52% 70% 36% 45% 41% 45% 38% 45% 40% 42% 39% 45% 44% 34%
Undecided 22% 23% 21% 18% 25% 22% 19% 26% 19% 18% 30% 18% 21% 21% 21% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 9 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
12
Are you more likely to vote for a candidate who wants to change the lawto make it more difficult for women to get an abortion? Or would you favor a candidate who backs the lawas it is
now?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Candidate Who Wants To Change T 39% 41% 38% 41% 40% 35% 43% 40% 39% 40% 30% 38% 43% 56% 28% 31%
Candidate Who Backs The Law 43% 44% 42% 37% 41% 49% 42% 40% 46% 43% 39% 48% 40% 27% 56% 47%
Not Sure 18% 15% 20% 22% 19% 17% 14% 20% 16% 17% 31% 14% 17% 17% 16% 22%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
12
Are you more likely to vote for a candidate who wants to change the lawto make it more difficult for women to get an abortion? Or would you favor a candidate who backs the lawas it is
now?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Candidate Who Wants To Change T 39% 61% 27% 22% 51% 36% 36% 43% 34% 40% 38% 40% 34% 33% 44% 47%
Candidate Who Backs The Law 43% 22% 52% 67% 33% 43% 49% 34% 49% 51% 37% 45% 47% 47% 40% 37%
Not Sure 18% 17% 22% 11% 16% 21% 15% 23% 17% 8% 25% 15% 20% 20% 16% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
13
The Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that corporations who object for religious reasons do not have to include contraception as a health-care benefit. Do you agree with this
Supreme Court ruling? Or disagree?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Agree 46% 55% 38% 49% 42% 47% 45% 45% 46% 46% 43% 45% 48% 65% 26% 47%
Disagree 40% 34% 45% 39% 43% 42% 36% 41% 39% 41% 27% 44% 40% 21% 59% 39%
Not Sure 14% 11% 17% 12% 15% 11% 19% 14% 15% 13% 29% 10% 12% 14% 15% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489
Geography: Kentucky Sponsor:
Data Collected: 07/18/2014 - 07/23/2014 The Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, (Louisville, KY)
Release Date: 07/25/2014
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21489 - Page 10 2014 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
13
The Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that corporations who object for religious reasons do not have to include contraception as a health-care benefit. Do you agree with this
Supreme Court ruling? Or disagree?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Agree 46% 72% 37% 16% 45% 44% 47% 40% 49% 50% 46% 45% 42% 42% 48% 51%
Disagree 40% 17% 48% 70% 33% 42% 43% 39% 41% 42% 42% 39% 41% 41% 42% 34%
Not Sure 14% 12% 14% 14% 22% 14% 9% 21% 10% 8% 12% 15% 17% 17% 10% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%
14
Do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry in Kentucky?
714 Registered Voters
All
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Mind Made Up? Party Affiliation
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Made U Might C Republi Democr Indepen
Favor 37% 35% 39% 49% 40% 38% 25% 43% 32% 38% 32% 38% 40% 21% 48% 50%
Oppose 50% 50% 50% 39% 45% 50% 65% 43% 57% 50% 51% 51% 48% 69% 41% 31%
Not Sure 12% 15% 10% 12% 15% 11% 10% 14% 11% 12% 16% 11% 12% 10% 11% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 47% 53% 18% 30% 28% 24% 48% 52% 92% 6% 70% 25% 39% 40% 20%
14
Do you favor or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry in Kentucky?
714 Registered Voters
All
Ideology Education Income Cell Phone / Lan Region
Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.7% Conser Modera Liberal High Sc Some C 4-year <$40K $40K - >$80K Cell Ph Landlin Wester Louisvill North C Eastern
Favor 37% 16% 45% 67% 27% 38% 44% 36% 39% 40% 50% 33% 30% 46% 40% 28%
Oppose 50% 77% 38% 21% 62% 46% 47% 50% 50% 49% 37% 56% 53% 43% 47% 64%
Not Sure 12% 7% 17% 12% 11% 16% 9% 14% 11% 11% 13% 12% 18% 10% 13% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 41% 18% 25% 39% 37% 42% 38% 20% 29% 71% 23% 26% 34% 17%