P R E S S R E L E A S E

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 31, 2014 Contact: Steve Mitchell

248-891-2414

Moolenaar and Mitchell Still in Dead Heat
in 4
th
Congressional District Primary
Mitchell 38% -Moolenaar 38%

LANSING, Mich. After two nights of polling in the 4
th
Congressional District, a Mitchell Poll
shows that John Moolenaar and Paul Mitchell continue to be in a statistical dead heat at 38%.
After two nights of polling Moolenaar leads by 1 vote, 187-186, or 38%-37.8%. Peter Konechty
a third candidate receives 9% with 15% undecided. The automated survey of N=492 likely
voters in the August Republican Primary Election was conducted July 29-30, 2014 by Mitchell
Research & Communications, Inc. and has a Margin of Error + or 4.42% at the 95% level of
confidence.

This is an incredibly close race. Moolenaar has erased a 23% lead Mitchell had earlier
in the campaign and is peaking at the right time. Clearly, the endorsement of Congressman
Dave Camp and Attorney General Bill Schuette, who preceded Camp in Congress from this
district, has had an impact in cutting into the lead Mitchell had an one time, Steve Mitchell,
chairman of Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. said.

By spending early Paul Mitchell was able to put some early absentee votes in the bank.
However, all the polling I have done around the state over the last 2 months has shown that
absentee voters are holding onto their ballots longer. I attribute this to the fact there are no
contested primaries on either side of the aisle at the top of the ticket. This will certainly help
minimize the effect of Paul Mitchells early lead, concluded Steve Mitchell.

A look at key demographics in the governors race shows:

By Absentee Voters:
o Mitchell lead Moolenaar 45.9% -36% among Absentee Voters

By Election Day Voters:
o Mitchell trails Moolenaar 35.4%-38.6% among Election Day Voters

Page 2 of 2 Mitchell Poll Release, July 31, 2014

By Gender:
o Mitchell leads Moolenaar 38.7%-37.5% among Men
o Mitchell trails Moolenaar 36.9%-38.5% among Women

By Area:
o Mitchell leads in Clinton, Montcalm, Isabella 41.5%-37.4%.
o Mitchell trails in Clare, Mecosta, Gratiot 31.3%-40%.
o Mitchell trails in Ogemaw, Gladwin, Midland 34.3%-39%
o Mitchell and Moolenaar are tied in Wexford, Missaukee, Roscommon, Osceloa
35.6%-35.6%
o Mitchell leads in Saginaw and Shiawassee 44.7%-38.3%


[This poll was not paid for by any of the candidates or any organizations supporting any of
the candidates in this election. Steve Mitchell is no relation to Paul Mitchell]