M E M O R A N D U M

To: Interested Parties

From: Kiley & Company

Re: Results of New Hampshire Tracking Survey

Date: September 5, 2014
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Kiley & Company interviewed a representative sample of 602 New
Hampshire voters who are likely to cast ballots in the November election.
Respondents were randomly selected from a file of all voters in the state, and
were interviewed on both landlines and cell phones. The party breakdown of
the sample is: 30% Republican; 27% Democratic; and 43% Independent/
Other. The margin of error for these results is +/- 4%.

Key Findings

Jeanne Shaheen has a stable, majority-level lead over Scott
Brown.

Shaheen leads Brown, 50% to 42% the same eight-point lead
we saw in our initial survey in August.
Shaheen benefits from a sizeable gender gap. She leads by 21
points among women; Brown leads by seven points among men.
Shaheen leads, 91% to 6%, among Democrats and by 51% to
39% among Independents. Brown leads, 80% to 12%, among
Republicans.

Shaheen is substantially more popular than Brown.

52% of voters express a favorable view of Jeanne Shaheen, and
42% express an unfavorable view.
Scott Browns ratings are net-negative: 38% express a favorable
view of Brown, while 53% express an unfavorable view.

Shaheen is widely viewed as being more committed to New
Hampshire; Brown is seen as closer to the special interests.

In direct comparisons on key areas, Shaheen enjoys her biggest
lead +33 points on being committed to New Hampshire.
Shaheen also leads by large margins on protecting Medicare and
Social Security (+26) and doing more for New Hampshire (+14).
Browns biggest lead is in a negative area: by a margin of +25
points, he is seen as the candidate who is too close to wealthy
special interests.