Rees real (leech ee) Predicted Disabled Persons Voting: Disability Intelligence Survey (1 December 2014) by Current Majority (2010 data) Author: Harry Tayloromee |e | ee SD un T Survey Headlines 1.1706 Respondents took parton an anonymous random survey using SurveyMonkey and promoted by Twitter disability community. 2, 95.8% of participants believed they were dsabled under the Equality Act 2010 3. 35.2% of participants believed that The Labour Party best understood the issues facing disabled persons; 11.3% beleved The Green Party {id; 2% believed The Conservative Party dis and 3% believed The Liberal Democrats Party dl, 4, Inthe 2010 General Election, disabled persons voted: 45.1% voted Labo 25.1% voted ather 5. In the 2035 General Election, dsabled persons indicated they would vote: 57.8% would vote Labour (up 12.7%); 09% would vote Conservative and 1.1% would vote Liberal Democrat; 8.5% would vate Green; 12% would vote other and 19.7% would abstain aut of protest 16.9% voted Liberal Democrats; 15 49% voted Conservative and The full analysis ofthe survey is contained within the https/thinkableste wordoress.com/2018/01/28/the-uk-general-slection-2016 disability toolkit/ and https/thinkablesite wordpress com/2015/01/30/leaming-from the-2010-general-slection seats wor-by-iowest. turnout Description of column labels. 10DPV-L Predicted number dsabled persons voted Labour in 2010 Genera Election 10DPV-C__ Predicted number dsabled persons voted Conservative in 2010 General lection A0DPV-LD Predicted number dsabled persons voted LibDem in 2010 General Election 10DPV-0 Predicted number disabled persons voted Other in 2010 General Election ASDPV-L__ Predicted number lsabled persons indieting voting Labour in 2015 General Election ASDPV-C_ Predicted number deabled persons indiating voting Conservative in 2025 General lection 1SDPV-LD Predicted number disabled persons indicating voting IBDEM in 2015 Genera Election 1SDPV-0 Predicted number disabled persons indicating voting Other n 2015 General Election 1SDPV-G Predicted number disabled persons indicating voting Greens 2015 General Election SSOPV-P Predicted number disabled persons indicating abstaining out of protest 2015 General Election ‘© hitps://thinkablesite wordpress.com 2015 2etemainy | | tired | ed |, | at ‘oni ort ary. ory sone ame ory on asm HOR oe See ST wey Me | a ee Me ge ee “The analysis does nat take nto account the potential connected influence of carer, friend and family of disabled persons, oF the effect on persion credit changes, lone parent changes, tax credit changes, orto other welfare or income changes. Refer to the Disability Toolkit for detaled analysis ofthe potential additional assocated-aisabllty voter intelligence. Summary of predicted disability votes on marginal seats Lst vulnerable seats, ifthe predictions ae re-validated from baseline-evidence and disabled voter engagement. ‘Uk Parliamentary Seat waaay 22 Canoe Snh ‘oe ‘© hitps://thinkablesite wordpress.com 2015 3- cesere ere Er =| = : iT 4 H Wea Hall 4 t 3 | i i i a ais esasPEE eee Er ous = se é ; H 5 4 pe SEES2B588 i he i rm H | I : i i ' # 5 a z i U i }PEE eee Er =| = le 4 12 Lobo i aPEE eee Er =| = 1 bum Opie mee 1s Geebanes|= cerere ere Er =| = i ae 15 fey tte ue 1 al saeEr =| PEE eee = [| 1 conte 118 copeon ‘an oesPEE eee Er =| = | i A MedEr =| PEE eee = 22 tr Sone i i : 5 li He 1 4 i i ih # | : f i ‘© hitps://thinkablesite wordpress.com 2015“eno < eT au ‘© hitps://thinkablesite wordpress.com 2015 2etemainy | | tired | ed |, | at oru one Mon om Marv SOR some MorY HOR om CCemmey So Mace att | Sead aay SM Mag | Mg Me ewe age See ee UK Parliamentary Seats by lowest majority and associated OD! Disability Predicted Voting Potential ‘oe xsl aml + nnn MOM Mt tte com ps ames Sm 299 ame ames) ass int seo s3575 ro 6608 [commie 5851 ua | 2065) 3056 6s | aw sass yam 202 eres ana sams | am a4 [commie 520 tama | ase 7361 8 to 358s ager 2500 fendonées us 6386 aa 46h 813 Lem 5m 200 om 7a kam ame nae ° 20sSei Lf Sex 20s ase ueSex 20s EEEEEE 15Sex SEE EE EGE E EEEEE 20s aan EEEESE 16sae one Sershrehook Sex 20s Spd ay WLf Sex “ft P28: ESEPEESEE EE RES EEGEGE a & 3 18Sex “ft 20s a0 ibis EEE EE 10Steer. 20s Spd ay sas EEGs 25S 20eae Lf Sex “ft a t 7 EERE EG EEE EEE san ERGs Gs atoe Sex “ft #3 i FEERSeee eee 8 BEES 20s a aki EEEEEEE ERs e t fase 2Sex “ft GEES E28 & BE 20s EREE EE 2Sex a Fyito waste Sex “ft gee BEE SS 228 6 2222288 888 a ue 25rm Sex “ft BEEEES2 ¢ 8228 a 26etemainy | | tired | ed |, | at oru one Mon om Marv SOR some MorY HOR om —— ace en Spd aay SMM ae Be ge See eee Gantt 92 aaa TAB S80 2018 2 aes ww ASH a8 “no Pee ee ee) 602 23m nen sm ga eas name ao Aaiumors sani. 38 | me 2130 Som 1951 200 | ogo sat | seam 3487 you _ 2055 font an 7651 hm a2 Gs 200 2a nor ass mae aa aa ° 20sSatoh Sea Lf Sex “ft aie PERS 282 EEE EEEEE EE 8on Sorat ator Lf Sex 20s a uae a 29Sex 20s a 30etemainy | | tired | ed |, | at oru one Mon om Marv SOR some MorY HOR om CCemmey So Mace att | Sead aay SM Mag | Mg Me ewe age See ee om mm 7500? 108 sour 257 ume Gk 2m aa aS) waa ae oe sos asa no sos 2 June srr 190 a3 | asm rm | se ase yor _ aan sete eae sonra 2075 | a7 saat | commie 93> 3218 53 | 520 Dame oa 24D 4708400. ingen ge ssa ain a amas 260) 3365 sue im esas ype aus Notegun aoa me some I500 sso ass 228 ames us Ass ya aas Grice” sss amaze aera za00 | ter rou 2ato 2600 907 ass wea as ° 20sSex “ft 20s a 32Set ay Sex “ft 20s a 33Se Sto Sex “ft 20s Spd ay SEGEEE EEE i EEEEEES a 4Sex “ft 20s a sass ai é 35won ed Sex “ft 20s a 36‘aoe sae Lf Sex “ft 20s a 37Sex “ft 20s a 38Sex “ft 20s 39ees seo Sex “ft 20s a aa 0‘© hitps://thinkablesite wordpress.com 2015 a