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School Committe Mayoral Academy Presentation 8-29-2011 Rev 1
School Committe Mayoral Academy Presentation 8-29-2011 Rev 1
The Mayor has presented a distorted view of the Districts finances, only looking at the
additional revenue that is to be received under the RI Education fair funding formula
to make his case that the Mayoral Academy will not have a fiscal impact on the School
District.
What matters is not how much additional money the School District will be receiving
from the State (an uncertain proposition, since the state could change its mind in
subsequent years), but how does the receipt of that additional money affect the
overall finances of the School District.
By analogy, take a Rhode Island family with both husband and wife working,
who are considering the affordability of purchasing a new car. While making
the showroom rounds, the husband is laid off and the wife receives a raise.
How would you make the decision? Would you make it solely based upon the
wifes raise, or would you take a look at the big picture? More importantly,
does the wifes raise exceed the loss in income from the husbands layoff?
The Mayors fiscal analysis ignores the context of the Citys and
Districts overall finances: Can the School District and the City afford
the loss of revenue to the Mayoral Academy. Are there enough cost
savings to mitigate the loss of revenue?
In March 2011, the Mayor retained two auditors to review this budget and issue a report. The
report was complimentary of the submitted budget and praised the suggested funding proposals for
promoting dialogue.
The report did not contain any criticism of the forecasted budget projections.
The Increase in State Aid that the District will receive under the fair funding
formula. In fiscal 2012 and into the future, this is projected at $2,349,234.
The revenue that will follow each child that exits the Cranston School
District and enrolls in the Mayoral Academy. This starts at $1,046,945 in
FY 2013 and grows to $6,240,406 by FY 2017 (See table that follows).
While the per pupil costs are subject to future change, the estimates
appear reasonable and will be used in this Fiscal Impact analysis.
The rest of the report is irrelevant. The analysis and conclusions are
flawed, as discussed earlier.
FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018
2,349,234
4,698,468
7,047,702
9,396,936
11,746,170
14,095,404
16,444,638
FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
FY2017
5,791
5,791
5,791
5,791
5,791
4,137
4,137
4,137
4,137
4,137
6,685
7,241
7,798
8,354
8,354
12,476
13,032
13,589
14,145
14,145
10,822
11,378
11,935
12,491
12,491
31
77
106
133
161
57
142
196
246
299
88
219
302
379
460
1,046,945
2,727,229
3,929,050
5,141,552
6,240,406
Adopted Budget
Adopted
Proposed
2010-2011
2011-2012
Adopted
Amendments
Forecasted
2011-2012
Increase
2012-2013
2013-2014
2014-2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
% Inc.
REVENUES
State General Aid
State Aid, Increase for RI Funding Formula
State Aid, other
Federal Thru State
City of Cranston Appropriation
City carryovers
Other revenue
Total
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
0.00%
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
1,500,000
1,500,000
1,500,000
3,000,000
4,500,000
6,000,000
7,500,000
9,000,000
10,500,000
7,234,421
7,965,243
7,965,243
730,822
10.10%
6,434,979
6,434,979
6,434,979
6,434,979
6,434,979
6,434,979
1,600,000
1,600,000
200,000
1,800,000
200,000
12.50%
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
89,213,637
93,005,217
93,005,217
3,791,580
4.25%
94,685,532
96,395,077
98,134,470
99,627,668
101,646,364
103,705,645
2,440,995
2,327,533
2,327,533
(113,462)
-4.65%
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
200,000 131,093,318
6,108,940
4.89%
132,778,836
135,988,381
139,227,774
142,220,972
145,739,668
149,298,949
678,454
1.02%
68,259,389
69,283,280
70,322,529
71,377,367
72,448,028
73,534,748
1.5%
124,984,378 130,893,318
Surplus / (Deficit)
66,572,176
68,697,789
(1,447,159)
67,250,630
3,638,669
3,663,550
3,663,550
24,881
0.68%
3,700,186
3,737,187
3,774,559
3,812,305
3,850,428
3,888,932
1.0%
2,939,858
3,124,655
3,124,655
184,797
6.29%
3,155,902
3,187,461
3,219,335
3,251,529
3,284,044
3,316,884
1.0%
2,343,749
2,460,587
(90,966)
2,369,621
25,872
1.10%
2,393,317
2,417,250
2,441,423
2,465,837
2,490,495
2,515,400
1.0%
1.0%
5,144,750
5,148,723
5,148,723
3,973
0.08%
5,200,210
5,252,212
5,304,734
5,357,782
5,411,360
5,465,473
20,845,810
22,766,205
(838,170)
21,928,035
1,082,225
5.19%
22,606,815
23,505,909
24,436,808
25,146,632
25,876,191
26,626,065
7,230,170
9,213,560
(187,364)
9,026,196
1,796,026
24.84%
10,391,384
11,777,049
13,183,500
13,897,274
14,621,754
15,357,101
5,299,792
6,342,134
(119,333)
6,222,801
923,009
17.42%
6,471,713
6,730,582
6,999,805
7,279,797
7,570,989
7,873,828
1,031,350
1,227,948
1,227,948
196,598
19.06%
1,240,227
1,252,630
1,265,156
1,277,808
1,290,586
1,303,492
1.0%
1,645,634
1,728,831
1,728,831
83,197
5.06%
1,746,119
1,763,581
1,781,216
1,799,028
1,817,019
1,835,189
1.0%
6,027,751
6,346,827
(793,961)
5,552,866
(474,885)
-7.88%
5,719,452
5,891,036
6,067,767
6,249,800
6,437,294
6,630,412
3.0%
2,264,669
2,275,571
2,275,571
10,902
0.48%
2,298,327
2,321,310
2,344,523
2,367,968
2,391,648
2,415,564
1.0%
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
(1,903,062) 131,093,318
6,108,940
4.89%
134,756,932
138,693,377
142,715,247
144,283,126
147,489,835
150,763,091
(1,978,096)
(2,704,996)
(3,487,473)
(2,062,155)
(1,750,167)
(1,464,142)
124,984,378 132,996,380
(2,103,062)
2,103,062
4.0%
Adopted Budget
Proposed
2011-2012
Surplus / (Deficit)
(2,103,062)
Amendments
2,103,062
Adopted
2011-2012
Forecasted
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
-
The School Committee presented, to the Mayor, a balanced budget for 20112012 forecasting deficits into the future for the next six years. The future
forecasts were based upon prior expense history, existing contracts, and
revenue increases as follows:
Increase in State Aid under the fair funding formula of $1,500,000 per year for seven years, based
upon initial projections from the Governors office and beginning in the current fiscal year.
The City to bear increases for the current and future fiscal years for pension increases and 75% of
special education tuition increases, as these were non-controllable expenses to the School District.
For the current fiscal year, these increases were recommended by the Mayor and adopted by the
City Council.
Proposed
Adopted
2010-2011
2011-2012 Amendments
2011-2012
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
0.00%
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
2,349,234
2,349,234
2,349,234
4,698,468
7,047,702
9,396,936
11,746,170
14,095,404
16,444,638
Increase
2012-2013
2013-2014
2014-2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
% Inc.
REVENUES
State General Aid
7,234,421
7,197,279
7,197,279
(37,142)
-0.51%
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
1,600,000
1,600,000
200,000
1,800,000
200,000
12.50%
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
93,005,217 (2,122,565)
90,882,652
1,669,015
1.87%
92,537,502
94,220,741
95,932,957
98,100,904
100,799,859
103,556,098
89,213,637
City carryovers
Other revenue
2,440,995
2,327,533
2,327,533
(113,462)
-4.65%
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
4,067,645
3.25%
131,561,310
135,593,783
139,655,233
144,172,414
149,220,603
154,326,076
Total
335,830
0.50%
67,911,626
68,930,300
69,964,255
71,013,719
72,078,925
73,160,108
1.50%
3,663,550
3,663,550
24,881
0.68%
3,700,186
3,737,187
3,774,559
3,812,305
3,850,428
3,888,932
1.00%
2,939,858
3,124,655
3,124,655
184,797
6.29%
3,155,902
3,187,461
3,219,335
3,251,529
3,284,044
3,316,884
1.00%
2,343,749
2,460,587
(90,966)
2,369,621
25,872
1.10%
2,393,317
2,417,250
2,441,423
2,465,837
2,490,495
2,515,400
1.00%
1.00%
Administrative Salaries
66,572,176
68,697,789 (1,789,783)
66,908,006
3,638,669
5,144,750
5,148,723
(6,269)
5,142,454
(2,296)
-0.04%
5,193,879
5,245,817
5,298,275
5,351,258
5,404,771
5,458,819
Benefits / Taxes
20,845,810
22,766,205
(839,161)
21,927,044
1,081,234
5.19%
22,596,451
23,495,239
24,425,827
25,135,410
25,864,726
26,614,352
Certified Pension
7,230,170
9,213,560
(187,364)
9,026,196
1,796,026
24.84%
10,384,429
11,763,035
13,162,320
14,582,594
16,024,172
17,487,375
5,299,792
6,342,134
(732,100)
5,610,034
310,242
5.85%
5,834,435
6,067,813
6,310,525
6,562,946
6,825,464
7,098,483
4.00%
Tuitions, Other
1,031,350
1,227,948
1,227,948
196,598
19.06%
1,240,227
1,252,630
1,265,156
1,277,808
1,290,586
1,303,492
1.00%
Instructional Consumables
1,645,634
1,728,831
1,728,831
83,197
5.06%
1,746,119
1,763,581
1,781,216
1,799,028
1,817,019
1,835,189
1.00%
Overheads
6,027,751
6,346,827
(793,961)
5,552,866
(474,885)
-7.88%
5,719,452
5,891,036
6,067,767
6,249,800
6,437,294
6,630,412
3.00%
Utilities
2,264,669
2,275,571
2,275,571
10,902
0.48%
2,298,327
2,321,310
2,344,523
2,367,968
2,391,648
2,415,564
1.00%
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
- (1,078,644)
(1,078,644)
(1,078,644)
1,078,644
4,067,645
3.25%
133,748,240
137,646,549
141,629,073
144,948,846
147,759,571
151,725,011
(2,186,930)
(2,052,766)
(1,973,840)
(776,432)
1,461,032
2,601,065
Deficit Reduction
Deficit Restructuring
Total
Surplus / (Deficit)
- (2,021,792)
2,021,792
Adopted
Proposed
2010-2011
Increase
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
0.00%
2,349,234
2,349,234
2,349,234
7,234,421
7,197,279
7,197,279
(37,142)
-0.51%
1,600,000
1,600,000
200,000
1,800,000
200,000
12.50%
93,005,217 (2,122,565)
90,882,652
1,669,015
1.87%
REVENUES
State General Aid
State Aid, Increase for RI Funding
Formula
89,213,637
City carryovers
Other revenue
2,440,995
2,327,533
2,327,533
(113,462)
-4.65%
4,067,645
3.25%
Total
Adopted
2010-2011
Proposed
2011-2012
Amendments
Increase
66,572,176
68,697,789
(1,789,783)
66,908,006
335,830
0.50%
3,638,669
3,663,550
3,663,550
24,881
0.68%
2,939,858
3,124,655
3,124,655
184,797
6.29%
2,343,749
2,460,587
(90,966)
2,369,621
25,872
1.10%
Administrative Salaries
5,144,750
5,148,723
(6,269)
5,142,454
(2,296)
-0.04%
Benefits / Taxes
20,845,810
22,766,205
(839,161)
21,927,044
1,081,234
5.19%
Certified Pension
7,230,170
9,213,560
(187,364)
9,026,196
1,796,026
24.84%
5,299,792
6,342,134
(732,100)
5,610,034
310,242
5.85%
Tuitions, Other
1,031,350
1,227,948
1,227,948
196,598
19.06%
Instructional Consumables
1,645,634
1,728,831
1,728,831
83,197
5.06%
Overheads
6,027,751
6,346,827
(793,961)
5,552,866
(474,885)
-7.88%
Utilities
2,264,669
2,275,571
2,275,571
10,902
0.48%
Deficit Reduction
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
Deficit Restructuring
(1,078,644)
(1,078,644)
(1,078,644)
124,984,378
132,996,380
(3,944,357)
129,052,023
4,067,645
3.25%
(2,021,792)
2,021,792
Total
Surplus / (Deficit)
Forecasted
2012-2013
2013-2014
2014-2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
24,495,325
4,698,468
7,047,702
9,396,936
11,746,170
14,095,404
16,444,638
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
5,667,015
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
1,800,000
92,537,502
94,220,741
95,932,957
City carryovers
Other revenue
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
2,363,000
REVENUES
State General Aid
State Aid, Increase for RI Funding
Formula
Total
2012-2013
2013-2014
Forecasted
2014-2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
% Inc.
67,911,626
68,930,300
69,964,255
71,013,719
72,078,925
73,160,108
1.50%
3,700,186
3,737,187
3,774,559
3,812,305
3,850,428
3,888,932
1.00%
3,155,902
3,187,461
3,219,335
3,251,529
3,284,044
3,316,884
1.00%
2,393,317
2,417,250
2,441,423
2,465,837
2,490,495
2,515,400
1.00%
Administrative Salaries
5,193,879
5,245,817
5,298,275
5,351,258
5,404,771
5,458,819
1.00%
Benefits / Taxes
22,596,451
23,495,239
24,425,827
25,135,410
25,864,726
26,614,352
Certified Pension
10,384,429
11,763,035
13,162,320
14,582,594
16,024,172
17,487,375
5,834,435
6,067,813
6,310,525
6,562,946
6,825,464
7,098,483
4.00%
Tuitions, Other
1,240,227
1,252,630
1,265,156
1,277,808
1,290,586
1,303,492
1.00%
Instructional Consumables
1,746,119
1,763,581
1,781,216
1,799,028
1,817,019
1,835,189
1.00%
Overheads
5,719,452
5,891,036
6,067,767
6,249,800
6,437,294
6,630,412
3.00%
Utilities
2,298,327
2,321,310
2,344,523
2,367,968
2,391,648
2,415,564
1.00%
Deficit Reduction
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,573,891
1,078,644
Deficit Restructuring
Total
Surplus / (Deficit)
133,748,240
137,646,549
141,629,073
144,948,846
147,759,571
151,725,011
(2,186,930)
(2,052,766)
(1,973,840)
(776,432)
1,461,032
2,601,065
Projected state revenue for the current year within approximately $10,000 of funding adopted by
the General Assembly.
School Committee is working on negotiating concessions from its collective bargaining groups for
FY2012 and FY2013. As of this date about $2.6 million have been obtained. Additional concessions
are expected to allow for a partial payment against the deficit reduction plan in FY2012.
School Committee has implemented all recommendations of the Performance audit, except
transportation and custodial services, both of which are under review.
Additional cost cutting measures (which are limited and are in process),
To evaluate the fiscal impact, the information from the Mayors Fiscal
Impact analysis will now be combined with the School Districts budget
forecasts.
44
44
73
73
73
75
75
76
76
75
75
76
76
47
77
77
77
77
76
76
88
219
302
349
460
2013
K
1
2
3
4
5
6
1.3
1.3
-
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
-
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
1.3
-
2017
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
-
2014
2015
2016
2017
1.0
1.0
1.0
-
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
-
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
-
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
-
3
71,500
214,500
2
6
71,500
429,000
4
8
71,500
572,000
6
11
71,500
786,500
Forecasted
2014-2015
2015-2016
139,655,233
144,172,414
141,629,073
144,948,846
2012-2013
131,561,310
133,748,240
2013-2014
135,593,783
137,646,549
(2,186,930)
(2,052,766)
(1,973,840)
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
(1,420,541)
2016-2017
149,220,603
147,759,571
2017-2018
154,326,076
151,725,011
(776,432)
1,461,032
2,601,065
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
(1,286,377)
(1,207,451)
(10,043)
2,227,421
3,367,454
(1,046,945)
-
(2,727,229)
214,500
(3,929,050)
429,000
(5,141,552)
572,000
(6,240,406)
786,500
(6,240,406)
1,022,500
(2,467,486)
(3,799,106)
(4,707,501)
(4,579,595)
(3,226,485)
(1,850,452)
(5,598,546)
(1,234,400)
(3,900,000)
(5,718,347)
(1,252,900)
(3,900,000)
(5,696,619)
(1,271,700)
(3,900,000)
(5,728,082)
(1,290,800)
(3,900,000)
(5,706,243)
(1,310,200)
(3,900,000)
(5,684,079)
(1,329,900)
(3,900,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(718,000)
(1,478,000)
(2,178,000)
(2,618,000)
(2,618,000)
(2,618,000)
(14,200,432)
(16,430,352)
(18,035,819)
(18,398,478)
(17,042,928)
(15,664,431)
Forecasted
2014-2015
2015-2016
139,655,233
144,172,414
141,629,073
144,948,846
2012-2013
131,561,310
133,748,240
2013-2014
135,593,783
137,646,549
(2,186,930)
(2,052,766)
(1,973,840)
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
(1,420,541)
2016-2017
149,220,603
147,759,571
2017-2018
154,326,076
151,725,011
(776,432)
1,461,032
2,601,065
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
416,389
350,000
(1,286,377)
(1,207,451)
(10,043)
2,227,421
3,367,454
(1,046,945)
(2,727,229)
(3,929,050)
(5,141,552)
(6,240,406)
(6,240,406)
214,500
429,000
572,000
786,500
1,022,500
(2,467,486)
(3,799,106)
(4,707,501)
(4,579,595)
(3,226,485)
(1,850,452)
2013-2014
2014-2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
(2,467,486)
(3,799,106)
(4,707,501)
(4,579,595)
(3,226,485)
(1,850,452)
(5,598,546)
(5,718,347)
(5,696,619)
(5,728,082)
(5,706,243)
(5,684,079)
(1,234,400)
(1,252,900)
(1,271,700)
(1,290,800)
(1,310,200)
(1,329,900)
BEP underfunding
(3,900,000)
(3,900,000)
(3,900,000)
(3,900,000)
(3,900,000)
(3,900,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(282,000)
(718,000)
(1,478,000)
(2,178,000)
(2,618,000)
(2,618,000)
(2,618,000)
(16,430,352) (18,035,819)
(18,398,478)
(17,042,928)
(15,664,431)
Capital Projects
(14,200,432)
The School District is driven into deficit in the fiscal years FY2013 through FY 2018
from $2.4 million to $4.7 million until the deficit reduction plan is completed. After the
deficit reduction plan is completed, the deficit narrows, but does not go below $1.8
million. Future cost cutting within the District is limited, these deficits will be financed
either through additional concessions or tax increases.
Inhibits the ability of the District/City to fund full day kindergarten. Estimated
additional cost: $1.25 million
Inhibits the ability of the District/City to comply fully with BEP requirements. Current
underfunding estimated at $3.9 million.
Inhibits the ability of the City to implement asset protection and renovate science labs
on School District facilities. Estimated cost ranges from $1.0 million to $2.9 million
per year in future years.
Uncertainty regarding pension reform may impact the School District, and
ultimately the City with additional costs in FY 2013 of $5.6 million, over an
already budgeted increase of $1.46 million. Without pension reform, the School
District faces an increase of $7.0 million in FY2013.
The School District and the City cannot afford the loss of revenue to
the Mayoral Academy. The School Committee prepared a budget to
fund its operations internally and fulfill the deficit reduction plan,
excepting pensions and special education tuitions (being controlled and
mandated at the State level).
Although the School District will be receiving additional funding from
the State, it is not available to fund a Mayoral Academy, but rather it is
the minimum needed to maintain the current educational level and full
its deficit reduction obligations.
The loss of revenue places greater financial strain on the City and its
taxpayers in maintaining School District asset protection requirements,
RIDE current and future mandates (BEP requirements and full day
kindergarten), and potential increased pension contributions.
Necessitating tax increases or withdrawals from the General Fund to
pay for the resulting deficits.