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GOP Primary Convention Delegate Projection
GOP Primary Convention Delegate Projection
Primary (semi-closed)
Primary (open)
Primary (closed)
Caucus
Primary (nonbinding)b
Caucus
Caucus
Caucus
Caucus
Primary (closed)
Unbound
Delegates
28
0
0
0
0
0
40
36
24
9
0
Bound
Delegates
0
12
25
50
28
0
0
0
0
0
29
Michigan#
Primary (closed)
30
03/03/12
03/06/12
Washington
North Dakota
Caucus
Caucus
3
28
40
0
03/06/12
Vermont
Primary (open)
17
03/06/12
03/06/12
03/06/12
03/06/12
Idaho
Alaska
Massachusetts
Oklahoma
Caucus
Caucus
Primary (semi-closed)
Primary (closed)
9
3
3
3
23
24
38
40
03/06/12
Virginia
Primary (open)
46
03/06/12
Tennessee
Primary (open)
55
03/06/12
Ohio
Primary (semi-closed)
63
03/06/12
03/08/12
03/10/12
Georgia
Wyoming
U.S. Virgin Islands
Primary (semi-closed)
Caucus
Caucus
0
29
9
76
0
0
03/10/12
Kansas
Caucus
40
03/13/12
03/13/12
03/13/12
03/13/12
03/17/12
03/18/12
03/20/12
American Samoa
Hawaii
Mississippi
Alabama
Missouri
Puerto Rico
Illinois
Caucus
Caucus
Primary (open)
Primary (open)
Caucus
Primary (open)
Primary (open)
9
3
3
3
0
3
69
0
17
37
47
52
20
0
Date
Location
Type
01/03/12
01/10/12
01/21/12
01/31/12
02/04/12
02/07/12
02/07/12
02/07/12
02/11/12
02/18/12
02/28/12
Iowa
New Hampshire#
South Carolina#
Florida#
Nevada
Missouri
Minnesota
Colorado
Maine
Guam
Arizona#
02/28/12
Delegate
Allocation
N/A
Proportional
Proportional
Winner-take-all
Proportional
N/A
N/Aa
N/A
N/A
N/A
Winner-take-all
Proportional (AL)
Winner-take-all (CD)
Conventionc
N/A
Proportional (AL)d
Winner-take-all (CD)
Proportional
Proportional
Proportional
Proportionald
Proportional (AL)d
Winner-take-all (CD)
Proportionale
Proportional (AL)d
Winner-take-all (CD)
Proportional
N/A
N/Af
Proportional (AL)
Winner-take-all (CD)
N/Aa
Proportional
Proportional
Proportionald
Conventionc
Winner-take-all
N/A
Newt Gingrich
9%
40%
10%
35%
47%
36%
15%
25%
50%
15%
15%
25%
25%
25%
15%
40%
35%
55%
55%
75%
45%
25%
45%
25%
25%
65%
65%
50%
%
15%
0
23
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
15
6
0
5
6
6
6
16
17
31
35
57
0
0
18
0
5
25
31
26
0
0
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
39%
28%
100%
85%
30%
31%
36%
65%
25%
100%
7
2
50
24
0
0
0
0
0
29
50%
15
65%
65%
26
0
15%
15%
65%
12
5%
60%
60%
75%
35%
14
15
29
14
10%
10%
5%
15%
35%
17
20%
35%
20
5%
35%
23
5%
20%
35%
25%
16
0
0
3%
15%
25%
30%
12
15%
25%
55%
15%
25%
30%
100%
65%
0
10
6
12
16
20
0
25%
15%
15%
5%
15%
%
15%
9%
17%
3%
30%
15%
20%
12%
25%
Ron Paul
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
23%
15%
%
2%
5%
7%
8%
8%
25%
%
0
6
0
%
5%
5%
1
2
2
2
6
5%
5%
5%
5%
10%
9
3
10%
5%
3
2
0
0
5%
2%
5%
25%
6
0
3
6
2
8
0
0
10%
25%
5%
5%
5%
5%
%
5%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
5
3
3
2
0
0
4
0
1
2
2
3
0
0
03/24/12
Louisiana
Primary (closed)
21
25
04/03/12
04/03/12
04/03/12
04/03/12
04/24/12
04/24/12
04/24/12
Washington, D.C.
Maryland
Wisconsin
Texas
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Delaware
Primary (closed)
Primary (closed)
Primary (open)
Primary (open)
Primary (closed)
Primary (semi-closed)
Primary (closed)
3
3
3
3
72
3
0
16
34
39
152
0
16
17
04/24/12
Connecticut
Primary (closed)
25
04/24/12
New York
Primary (closed)
92
05/08/12
Indiana
Primary (open)
19
27
05/08/12
05/08/12
05/15/12
05/15/12
05/22/12
05/22/12
06/05/12
06/05/12
06/05/12
06/05/12
06/05/12
06/26/12
07/31/12
West Virginia
North Carolina
Oregon
Nebraska
Arkansas
Kentucky
Montana
New Mexico
South Dakota
New Jersey
California
Utah
Northern Mariana Is.
Primary (semi-closed)
Primary (semi-closed)
Primary (closed)
Primary (nonbinding)b
Primary (open)
Primary (closed)
Primary (nonbinding)b
Primary (closed)
Primary (closed)
Primary (semi-closed)
Primary (closed)
Primary (semi-closed)
Caucus
3
3
3
3
3
3
26
3
3
0
3
3
9
28
52
25
32
33
42
0
20
25
50
169
37
0
521
1765
TOTAL
2286
REQD
1144
Proportional (AL)
Unbound (CD)
Winner-take-all
Winner-take-all
Winner-take-all
Proportional
N/A
Proportional
Winner-take-all
Proportional (AL)d
Winner-take-all (CD)
Proportionald
Winner-take-all (CD)
Unbound (AL)
Proportional
Proportional
Proportional
Conventionc
Proportionald
Proportional
N/A
Proportional
Proportional
Winner-take-all
Winner-take-all
Winner-take-all
N/A
NEEDED
SPLIT SANTORUM/PAUL
SPLIT SANT/PAUL/UNAC
MAJORITY S/P/U to NEWT
45%
100%
65%
30%
25%
25%
35%
45%
45%
45%
35%
55%
65%
55%
40%
35%
35%
100%
69%
12
0
0
39
99
0
4
0
7
33
13
13
24
9
18
22
24
0
7
9
0
0
0
0
25%
20%
100%
100%
30%
35%
65%
100%
16
34
0
46
0
11
17
50%
13
15%
45%
42
15%
35%
10
15%
25%
30%
45%
30%
20%
35%
35%
45%
45%
100%
100%
100%
7
16
12
10
7
15
0
9
12
50
169
37
0
20%
15%
15%
10%
10%
5%
15%
15%
15%
5%
30%
5%
5
0
0
0
8
0
1
0
10%
%
%
%
%
5%
5%
%
4
14
10%
5%
4
6
8
4
3
3
2
0
3
4
0
0
0
0
5%
10%
10%
5%
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
5%
%
%
%
%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
5
1
3
5
1
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
664
929
131
70
480
764.5
1010.5
1142.17
215
1029.5
1275.5
1143.83
1013
1074
UNACCOUNTED
492
CHECKSUM 2286
# NH, SC, FL, AZ and MI were penalized for breaking RNC schedule guidelines. The penalty cuts the delegation number in half and removes voting privileges from the party leader delegates.
a The state, district or territory convention can vote to bind some or all of the delegates.
b This is simply a high-profile strawpoll. The real contest happens later.
c The delegation will be elected on the floor of the state convention based on stated presidential preference.
d If any candidate receives more than 50% of the votes it becomes a Winner-take-all contest.
e If any candidate receives more than 66% of the votes it becomes a Winner-take-all contest.
f Delegates are bound if they declare themselves for a candidate.