IN-Sen Global Strategy Group For Joe Donnelly (May 2012)

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Copyright 2012

Indiana Statewide Survey

May 10 - 13, 2012

Q1. Are you at least


[READ ADDRESS]?

18 years old and registered to vote at this address

602 Interviews
Margin of Error: +/- 4.0%

VOL:

Yes .................................................................................. 100%


(No/Don't know/Refused) ................................................
-

VOL:

Definitely ..........................................................................
Probably ..........................................................................
Chance 50-50 ..................................................................
Probably not vote.............................................................
Definitely not vote ............................................................
(Don't Know/Refused) .....................................................

90%
10
-

VOL:

Strong Democrat .............................................................


Weak Democrat ...............................................................
Independent / Closer to the Democrats...........................
Independent.....................................................................
Independent / Closer to the Republicans ........................
Weak Republican ............................................................
Strong Republican ...........................................................
(Don't Know/Refused) .....................................................

25%
5
9
14
12
7
24
4

DEMOCRAT (NET) .........................................................


INDEPENDENT (NET) ....................................................
REPUBLICAN (NET) .......................................................

30%
39
31

DEMOCRAT W/ LEANERS (NET) ..................................


REPUBLICAN W/ LEANERS (NET)................................

39%
43

Q2. As you may know, in November, there will be an election for President,
Senator, Congress and other offices. How likely are you to vote in this
election: Will you definitely vote, probably vote, are the chances 50-50, will
you probably not vote, or will you definitely not vote?

No matter how you are planning to vote, when it comes to politics, do


you generally think of yourself as a strong Democrat, a not very strong
Democrat, a strong Republican, a not very strong Republican, or an
Independent? [IF INDEPENDENT] Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Democratic Party or the Republican Party?

Q3.

Q4. I'm going to read you a list of people or groups in public life. For each, please tell me if you have a strongly favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or strongly unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of them, please tell me.
FAVORABLE
Strong

UNFAVORABLE

NET

Some

Some

Strong

(CR)

NH

(DK/Ref.)

FAV

UNFAV

FAMILIAR

Richard Mourdock .......................................... 18%

18
13
11

15
12
8

22
10
11

17
18
24

7
40
37

2
2
5

36%
19%
16%

37
21
19

73
40
35

Tea Party Movement ..................................... 17%

16
22
23

11
12
14

33
32
28

15
14
13

4
8
5

3
1
3

34%
33%
38%

44
43
42

77
76
80

Joe Donnelly..................................................... 12%

16
12
14

7
5
7

5
6
4

23
16
27

32
54
36

5
2
5

28%
17%
20%

12
11
12

40
28
31

March
December

March
December

March
December

6%
4%

10%
15%

5%
6%

And if the election for United States Senate were held today and the
candidates were Joe Donnelly, the Democrat, and Richard Mourdock, the
Republican, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] If you had to
decide, which candidate would you lean towards supporting?
VOL:
Q5.

Joe Donnelly ....................................................................


Lean Joe Donnelly ...........................................................
Richard Mourdock ...........................................................
Lean Richard Mourdock ..................................................
(Undecided/Refused) ......................................................

35%
5
35
5
20

DONNELLY (NET)...........................................................
MOURDOCK (NET).........................................................

40%
40

Now I'd like to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, I'd like you to tell me which statement comes closest to your own
views.
Republican Richard Mourdock says that Washington doesn't need more bipartisan compromise, what it needs is more people standing
on principle.
Democrat Joe Donnelly says that the problem with Washington is that there is too much partisan bickering and not enough working
across party lines to get things done.
Q6. Which statement comes closest to your own views? [IF CHOICE] Do you
feel that way strongly or just somewhat?
VOL:

More standing on principle - Strongly ..............................


More standing on principle - Somewhat ..........................
Too much bickering - Somewhat .....................................
Too much bickering - Strongly.........................................
(Don't know/Refused) ......................................................

28%
7
13
44
9

MORE STANDING ON PRINCIPLE (NET) .....................


TOO MUCH BICKERING (NET) .....................................

34%
56

Global Strategy Group

Indiana Statewide Survey

Page 2/2

Finally, I would like to ask you a few final questions for statistical purposes only.

VOL:

18-29 ...............................................................................
30-44 ...............................................................................
45-54 ...............................................................................
55-64 ...............................................................................
65+...................................................................................
(Refused) .........................................................................

13%
23
21
20
20
3

VOL:

Some grade school .........................................................


Some high school ............................................................
Graduated high school ....................................................
Technical/Vocational .......................................................
Some college ...................................................................
Graduate college .............................................................
Graduate professional .....................................................
(Refused) .........................................................................

*
4
25
2
22
28
16
3

VOL:

Very liberal.......................................................................
Somewhat liberal .............................................................
Moderate .........................................................................
Somewhat conservative ..................................................
Very conservative ............................................................
(Refused) .........................................................................

10%
11
29
24
19
6

LIBERAL (NET) ...............................................................


CONSERVATIVE (NET)..................................................

21%
44

Black/African-American ...................................................
White/Caucasian .............................................................
Hispanic/Latino ................................................................
Asian-American ...............................................................
Other (SPECIFY) .............................................................
(Refused) .........................................................................

8%
85
2
*
2
3

Gender [BY OBSERVATION]

Male .................................................................................
Female.............................................................................

47%
53

Region [FROM SAMPLE]

Chicago/Lafayette DMA ..................................................


Evansville/Terre Haute DMA ...........................................
South Bend/Fort Wayne DMA .........................................
Cincinnati/Louisville DMA ................................................
Indianapolis DMA - Marion County..................................
Indianapolis DMA - Doughnut Counties ..........................
Indianapolis DMA - Rest ..................................................

15%
11
20
10
13
15
15

INDIANAPOLIS DMA ......................................................

43%

D101. What is your age?

D102. What is the last grade that you completed in school?

D105. When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as very


liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, very
conservative?

D300. And just to make sure we have a representative sample of voters,


could you please tell me your race? [IF BLACK/WHITE/OTHER] Do you
consider yourself a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking American?
VOL:

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