NBC News/WSJ/Marist Florida Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll
October 30, 2016

Florida Questionnaire
Residents: n=1,134 MOE +/- 2.9%
Registered Voters: n=990 MOE +/- 3.1%
Likely Voters: n=779 MOE +/- 3.5%
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Florida?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

LIKELY VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
October 30, 2016

47
48
5
100
October 9, 2016
48
47
5
100
REGISTERED VOTERS
October 30, 2016

47
47
6
100
October 9, 2016
48
46
6
100
RESIDENTS
October 30, 2016

48
44
8
100
October 9, 2016
49
43
7
100
October 30, 2016

46
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans
Neither
Other
Undecided
Total
46
4
3
1
100
October 9, 2016
46
44
6
1
3
100
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
October 30, 2016

45
October 9, 2016
46
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

Neither
Other
Undecided
Total
45
6
3
2
100
41
9
1
3
100
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Florida Poll October 30, 2016; Page 1
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or
do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
October 30, 2016

70
October 9, 2016
74
27
2
1
100
22
3
1
100
October 30, 2016

68
October 9, 2016
70
28
3
1
100
26
4
1
100
October 9, 2016
45
Donald Trump, the Republican

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
October 30, 2016

45
44
5
2
3
2
100
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
October 30, 2016

44
October 9, 2016
45
42
5
2
3
3
100
39
6
3
2
4
100
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
42
5
3
1
4
100
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary

Clinton?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
October 30, 2016

39
58
4
100
October 9, 2016
40
October 30, 2016

37
October 9, 2016
40
58
5
100
55
5
100
October 30, 2016

38
55
6
100
October 9, 2016
39
54
6
100
October 30, 2016

38
57
6
100
October 9, 2016
39
56
5
100
REGISTERED VOTERS
October 30, 2016

36
58
6
100
October 9, 2016
36
58
6
100
RESIDENTS
October 30, 2016

33
59
8
100
October 9, 2016
35
59
6
100
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald
Trump?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
56
4
100
If November's election for U.S. Senate in Florida were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided
yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Patrick Murphy, the Democrat
Marco Rubio, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Patrick Murphy, the Democrat
Marco Rubio, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
October 30, 2016

43
51
4
2
100
October 9, 2016
46
48
2
4
100
October 30, 2016

42
50
4
3
100
October 9, 2016
46
47
2
5
100
October 30, 2016

52
October 9, 2016
54
43
4
1
100
38
7
1
100
October 30, 2016

50
October 9, 2016
52
44
5
2
100
39
8
2
100
Somewhat support
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Unsure
Total
Are you male or female?

LIKELY VOTERS
October 30, 2016

46
54
100
October 9, 2016
46
54
100
REGISTERED VOTERS
October 30, 2016

48
52
100
October 9, 2016
47
53
100
RESIDENTS
October 30, 2016

48
52
100
October 9, 2016
48
52
100
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total
Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Florida Poll of 1,134 Adults

This survey of 1,134 adults was conducted October 25th and October 26th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in
partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Florida were
contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline
telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Florida from
ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its
population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample
was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of mobile phone numbers from Survey Sampling International.
Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were
combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region,
except for race, which is from the 2010 Census. Results are statistically significant within 2.9 percentage points. There are
990 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.1 percentage points. There are 779 likely
voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016
Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this
subset are statistically significant within 3.5 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and
increases for cross-tabulations.
For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Florida Poll

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NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

October 30, 2016

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

October 30, 2016

October 30, 2016

October 30, 2016

October 30, 2016

October 30, 2016

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans