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********************************

.8, 2011

v.

2030-

.
:

2000


,
,


,


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,


,

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,
,

,
,

,

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,




.

.
,
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2000

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4000

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( Dynamics of Geo-political and Market forces), "


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2.

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3.



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v.

2030-

(1 Century AD)

.
,


,

,


,



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,
40


4700

(two uranium
minerals, pitchblende and torbernite (also known as chalcocite).)

2
,


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.



.

4

.

,
,

.

,
.


,
.




,


. 2020

. ,

60 ,

2020
, 2030


.

,
,

.
,
. ,


.

,

,


,

,

,


,
,


.
,

,



.

,


.
1. Nuclear Criticality Safety

2. Radiation Safety -

3. Thermal Hydraulic safety -


4. Structural integrity Safety?





,

,

,


,


. 3




.



.

.

,


,

,
,
,

,

,
,
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Environmental
Impact Assessment (EIA),


2006


AERB Code of Practice on
Safety in Nuclear Power Plant Sitting
,





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.



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.



(Exclusion and sterilization zone)


1.5


,

,

,




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, 5


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,


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(PHRS)

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PHRS

. "thermo siphon effect"
,



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,

"core catcher"



.

(Reactor pressure vessel),


,

(Boron)

Matrix


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,
.
1.20


,


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,


12



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6



,
154

.


,

.


,

.



400


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,


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,

20
, Spent Fuel Storage Pond
(SFSP)
,

54



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, 582
8


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75








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75





6


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7
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40




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30

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5

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7


,
7 , National Institute of
Oceanography (NIO), Central Electro Chemical Research Institute
(CECRI)
,

.
,

,


,


.

,

.



.

Earthquake Zone 2 .

Earthquake Zone 4 ,


. Earthquake Zone 2

,





.
Earthquake Zone 4


.


Earthquake Zone 4



,

.
.

, , Earthquake Zone 2

,

, 6

(0.15g Acceleration)

88

4.3 2


,
.

. Earthquake
Zone 2
,

.
2004

,

,
,

.


40

.
,

,


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, 8


.

,

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, 2011

0.4 ,

. , 11
2011

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3

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,

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2004 1300

(SUNDA ARC)

.
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,
.

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(tsunamigenic fault)


1500


(Chagos Ridge)

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,




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,
1300

SUNDA ARC

,

2004


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5.44

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,

7.65


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6
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13



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Earthquake Zone 2


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400%

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Passive Heat Removal
System (PHRS)
,




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,
,


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,






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.


,
.
.

.


BRIC (BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA, CHINA)
, ,

2018




.

,

,
,

2020

. 21

10

,
36.3 BRIC

.
2020 , BRIC ,
(in PPP
terms) 3

49


.


10

,



.



, 75
6
,


.



. 2008

, $1


.

,

. 2016
$2

, 2025 $4


.
2020


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,

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,


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,

10

,


.

150,000

,
3
.

2020 400,000



. 2030 950,000


,



4 1
. 2050

.
2050
,

6000
.

2030

2030


,(Energy
Security to Energy Independence)

. ,

, ,


2030 400,000


.


89


56%,
25%,
.

3%,
5%,
0.2%
. 12%
,

,
,



,
400,000

.
,
80,000

?

MW
200,000 MW
,

50,000 MW
,
64000 MW
,

55000
MW
,
51000 MW


50,000 MW


.

,

,

5000
.

50,000 MW

40 20



. 16

.
,
,
. 2004
,
.

,

.
,

,
,



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.


.
1945 ,


60


Atomic Bombing Casualty
Commission (ABCC)
Radiation Effects Research Foundation
(RERF)

,







.


,


,


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.

2011 , 29 , 529

3,78,910

.


# 14000

. (#



.
74 %
, 51%
, 51%
,
39 %
, 29 %
,
28%
,
19 %
,
2.85 %


.
.

.

.



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2022
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2022



2022

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3332

, 68


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,

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100

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Rs 20/kWh, Rs
10/kWh 30 50 .

Rs 1/kWh ,

Rs 3/kWh ,

Rs 3/kWh .

30
,


, 30
GHGs (Green
House Gases)


. IPCC

26%

,
,
,

,

,


,
,
,


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WHO

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20


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1986

4000

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UNSCEAR

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1000


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2004





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,

. .
2004 1300

(SUNDA ARC)

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.


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2004

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,


(tsunamigenic fault)

1500

(Chagos Ridge)

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,

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, ,

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,

,







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,
,

,
,

50,000


2030


.
,


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,

, ,


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, ,
,


,


.


.

.
:

2015

,
, 50 ? 60

, 1

,

[Koodankulam PURA (Providing


Urban Amenities in Rural Areas)] 200

,
.

1.

30

,
4

4

.
2. 10000


30

60


.

, 25




.
3.
500


.


,2

.
4. CBSE


5.

,
.



,
.

6.




,



,

.
7.

10

,


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,

,
,


,

,
1000
,



,


.
...

source : www.abdulkalam.com


:
apj@abdulkalam.com
vponraj@gmail.com
By, Dr. APJ Abdulkalam

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