Grahn 1

Crime Statistics
This report compares the probability of commission of certain classes of crime by white and black people. It assumes that each crime was committed by a unique offender, and does not consider Hispanic origin. The crime categories considered are homicide, rape/sexual assault/aggravated assault, and hate crimes.

Data Sources
Population: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States. Table 3. 2009. <http://www.census.gov/popest/national/asrh/NC-EST2009srh.html>. Homicide: Easy Access to the FBIs Supplementary Homicide Reports. <http://ojjdp.ncjrs.gov/ojstatbb/ezashr/>. Rape/Sexual Assault/Aggravated Assault: Criminal Victimization in the United States Statistical Tables. Victims and Offenders. 2004. <http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/index.cfm? ty=dcdetail&iid=245>. Hate Crimes: Hate Crime Statistics. 2008. <http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/hc2008/data/table_03.html>.

Data
Population by race Year 2004 2006 2008 Black Alone 37,395,645 38,260,797 39,204,596 White Alone 235,550,306 239,046,846 242,685,070

Homicides by race of offender Year 2004 2006 6,125 6,139 Black 6,474 7,813 White

Grahn 2 Single offender Rape/Sexual Assault/Aggravated Assault by perceived race of offender (3 significant figures) Year 2004 233,772.95 Black 510,938.48 White

Hate Crimes by race of offender Year 2008 1,092 Black 3,752 White

Analysis
Probability of Homicide by Race of Offender Year 2004 2006 1.637E-04 1.605E-04 Black 2.748E-05 3.268E-05 White

Probability of Rape/Sexual Assault/Aggravated Assault by Perceived Race of Offender Year 2004 6.25E-03 Black 2.17E-03 White

Probability of Hate Crimes by Race of Offender Year 2008 2.785E-05 Black 1.546E-05 White

Comparisons
In 2004, black people were 5.957 times more likely to commit homicide than were white people. In 2006, black people were 4.911 times more likely to commit homicide than were white people. In 2004, black people were 2.88 times more likely to commit rape, sexual assault, or aggravated assault than were white people. In 2008, black people were 1.801 times more likely to commit hate crimes than were white people.

Conclusion
Math is racist.