Professional Documents
Culture Documents
VolatilityIndexQRG2012 01 30
VolatilityIndexQRG2012 01 30
January 2012
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) calculates and updates the values of more than a dozen volatility indexes designed to measure the 30-day implied volatility of different securities. These volatility indexes are key measures of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by listed option prices. Futures and options contracts now are available on some of these volatility indexes. CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), based on S&P 500 Index Options, is considered by many to be the worlds premier barometer of investor sentiment and market volatility. www.cboe.com/vix
VIX AVERAGE DAILY CLOSING VALUE PER YEAR (1990 - 2011)
32.7
31.5
27.3
25.6
24.4
25.8
24.2
23.3
22.4
22.5
22.0
23.1 1990
18.4 1991
15.4 1992
13.9 1994
12.4
16.5
12.7 1993
15.5
12.8
12.8
17.5
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Hig h clo s e 8 0 .8 6 o n 2 0 -N o v -0 8
1800
60
1200
SPX
30
600
0
1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Sources: CBOE and Bloomberg
1990
1993
1996
Many investors are intrigued by the VIX Index because it has a negative correlation of returns vs. many other stock indexes. The high volatility of VIX is attractive to many traders and investors.
NEGATIVE CORRELATIONS
for Daily Returns of VIX vs. S&P 500
-0.5 -0.6 -0.7
VIX (spot)
VIX Near-term Futures
139.9%
132.0%
127.3%
-0.75
83.3%
115.7%
97.0%
94.2%
88.9%
88.9%
78.5%
74.9%
69.2%
45.8%
56.0%
-0.84
-0.86
2007 2008
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Source: CBOE
www.cboe.com/Volatility
In the years following the 1993 introduction of the VIX Index, many investors inquired about the investability of the VIX Index. VIX futures were launched in 2004 and VIX options began trading in 2006. Investors are cautioned that they should study the pricing of VIX futures and options before investing (please visit www.cboe.com/VIX and see the Pricing graphs at the bottom of this page).
VIX FUTURES
VIX OPTIONS
47,744
388,845 247,826
17,430 1,731
2006
132,255
4,169
2007
4,301
2008
4,543
2009 2010 2011
Source: CFE
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
KEY SPECIFICATIONS
VIX FUTURES
Exchange Ticker Multiplier Last Day of Trading Expiration Date CFE VX $1000 (and $100 for Mini-VIX Futures)
Investors who are - Bullish on VIX, and Bearish on stocks* might consider Long VIX Call Options Long VIX Call Spreads Short VIX Put Credit Spreads Long VIX Futures Investors who are - Bearish on VIX, and Bullish on stocks* might consider Long VIX Put Options Long VIX Put Spreads Short VIX Call Credit Spreads Short VIX Futures * Caution - sometimes VIX and stock prices move in the same direction. Please visit www.cboe.com/VIX for more information about prices and strategies.
Generally on Tuesday, the day before expiration date. Generally on Wednesday 30 days prior to the 3rd Friday of calendar month immediately following the expiring month. 47,744 125,881 388,845 3,100,814
PRICING FOR VIX SPOT AND SELECT VIX FUTURES - Daily Closing Values in Late 2008 and Late 2011
August - December 2008
90
VIX Index (spot) VIX Nov. '08 Futures VIX Feb. '09 Futures
60
60
30
30
Valuations of VIX Futures and Options are based on expected values of VIX at expiration, rather than the current, or spot VIX value. This explains why VIX Futures and Options do not move in lock step with the spot VIX. Note that: On November 20, 2008 -- the VIX Index (spot) reached its highest daily close of 80.86, but the VIX Feb. 2009 futures were priced at 54.67 (reflecting investors expectations of the value of VIX three months in the future). On August 8, 2011 -- the VIX Index (spot) rose 50%, the VIX Aug. 2011 futures rose 25%, and the VIX Nov. 2011 futures were up 10%.
In 2009 a paper entitled VIX Futures and Options: A Case Study of Portfolio Diversification During the 2008 Financial Crisis was published in The Journal of Alternative Investments and it found that investable VIX products could have been used to provide some much needed diversification during the 2008 financial crisis. The paper analyzed the impact of an addition of VIX futures and options to a portfolio. Here are two graphs from the paper --
www.cboe.com/VIX
The CBOE VIX Tail Hedge IndexSM (VXTHSM) tracks the performance of a hypothetical portfolio that Buys and holds a portfolio of stocks designed to replicate the performance of the S&P 500 (total return) index (the total return index, with dividends reinvested), and Buys one-month 30-delta VIX call options. New VIX calls are purchased monthly, a procedure known as the roll. The weight of the VIX calls in the portfolio varies at each roll depending on the perceived likelihood that a black swan event could occur in the near future.
Re-scaled to 1 on 3/31/06
$1.45 $1.13
31-Mar-2006
23-Feb-2009
11-Jan-2012
Sources: Bloomberg and CBOE
www.cboe.com/VXTH
Ticker VIX RVX VXD VXN VXO EVZ GVZ OVX VXEEM VXEWZ VXFXI VXGDX VXSLV VXXLE VXAPL VXAZN VXGOG VXGS VXIBM
Webpage www.cboe.com/VIX www.cboe.com/RVX www.cboe.com/VXD www.cboe.com/VXN www.cboe.com/VXO www.cboe.com/EVZ www.cboe.com/GVZ www.cboe.com/OVX www.cboe.com/VXEEM www.cboe.com/VXEWZ www.cboe.com/VXFXI www.cboe.com/VXGDX www.cboe.com/VXSLV www.cboe.com/VXXLE www.cboe.com/VXAPL www.cboe.com/VXAZN www.cboe.com/VXGOG www.cboe.com/VXGS www.cboe.com/VXIBM
2011 Year-end Value 23.4 31.64 21.42 23.13 22.98 14.67 23.24 38.74 32.74 34.88 33.23 38.02 45.16 29.56 32.69 45.12 32.71 44.13 25.33
VOLATILITY INDEXES
70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 01-Jun-10
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
16-Mar-11 16-Jun-11 16-Sept-11 16-Dec-11
01-Mar-11
01-Dec-11
June 1, 2010 - Dec. 30, 2011
www.cboe.com/Volatility
Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options (the ODD). Copies of the ODD are available from your broker, by calling 1-888-OPTIONS, or from The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Drive, Suite 500, Chicago, Illinois 60606. Futures and options on CBOEs volatility indexes have several unique features that distinguish them from most equity and index options, and investors are strongly encouraged to closely read and understand the ODD and the VIX options FAQ at http://www.cboe.com/micro/vix/vixoptionfaq.aspx and other informational material before investing. Supporting documentation for claims, comparisons, statistics or other technical data is available by calling 1-888-OPTIONS, sending an e-mail to institutional@cboe.com, or by visiting www.cboe.com. The information in this document is provided solely for general education and information purposes. This document contains comparisons, assertions, and conclusions regarding the performance of indexes based on backtesting, i.e., calculations of how the indexes might have performed in the past if they had existed. Backtested performance information is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Backtested performance does not represent actual performance, and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. No statement within this document should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a security or a futures contract or to provide investment advice. CBOEs financial products based on the CBOE DJIA Volatility Index are not sponsored, endorsed, marketed or promoted by Dow Jones and Dow Jones makes no representations regarding the advisability of investing in such products. The CBOE Nasdaq-100 Volatility Index (Index) is not derived, maintained, published, calculated or disseminated by The Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc. or its affiliates (collectively, the Corporations). Neither the Index nor any Derivative Product based on the Index has been passed on by the Corporations as to its legality or suitability. Such Derivative Products are not issued, endorsed, sold, sponsored, marketed or promoted by the Corporations. The Corporations make no warranties and bear no liability with respect to the Index. The methodologies of the CBOE volatility indexes are owned by CBOE and may be covered by one or more patents or pending patent applications. CBOE, Chicago Board Options Exchange, CBOE Volatility Index, CFE, and VIX are registered trademarks and CBOE Futures Exchange, SPX, RVX, VXD, VXN, VXO, OVX, GVZ, EVZ, VXEEM and VXTH are service marks of CBOE. S&P and S&P 500 are registered trademarks of Standard & Poors Financial Services, LLC and are licensed for use by CBOE and CFE. All other trademarks and service marks are the property of their respective owners. Copyright 2012 Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.