PA12 Poll

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August 3, 2012 To: Interested Parties Fr: Anzalone Liszt Research Re: Polling Results among Likely Voters

in Pennsylvanias 12th Congressional District Roughly three months before Election Day, Congressman Mark Critz is well positioned to win re-election in Pennsylvanias 12th Congressional District. Critz currently leads Republican challenger Keith Rothfus by ten points and is earning 50% of the vote (50% Critz / 40% Rothfus). Mark Critz leads Keith Rothfus by ten points and is already polling at 50% Critz holds a ten-point lead over Keith Rothfus (50% Critz / 40% Rothfus)

Though the Presidential election tilts to Mitt Romney, Senator Casey leads his Republican opponent, and Republicans in Congress are extremely unpopular President Obama trails Mitt Romney by nine points (42% Obama / 51% Romney) However, these voters split their tickets, and Senator Casey leads his Republican opponent 51% to 43%. That's a similar margin to Critz's lead over Rothfus. Republicans in Congress are extremely unpopular in this district (31% favorable / 51% unfavorable) o This includes only 9% of voters who say they are very favorable towards Republicans in Congress while 29% of voters say they are very unfavorable towards Republican in Congress

Anzalone Liszt Research conducted N=400 live telephone interviews with likely 2012 general election voters in Pennsylvanias 12th CD. Interviews were conducted between July 31 August 2, 2012. Respondents were selected at random, with interviews apportioned geographically based on past voter turnout. Expected margin of sampling error is 4.9% with a 95% confidence level.

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