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    AZ-02 Grove Insight For DCCC (Sept. 2012)

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    Daily Kos Elections
    Ron Barber holds a 14-point lead over Martha McSally in a recent poll of 400 likely voters in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District. The poll found Barber garnering 54% support to McSally's 40%, with 6% undecided. Barber is seen favorably by 51% of voters and unfavorably by 32%, while McSally is more divisive with only 38% seeing her favorably and 32% unfavorably. Given Barber's lead and the district's Democratic lean, the analysis concludes Barber is well positioned to retain his seat in November.

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    AZ-02 Grove Insight For DCCC (Sept. 2012)

    Uploaded by

    Daily Kos Elections
    43 views1 page
    Ron Barber holds a 14-point lead over Martha McSally in a recent poll of 400 likely voters in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District. The poll found Barber garnering 54% support to McSally's 40%, with 6% undecided. Barber is seen favorably by 51% of voters and unfavorably by 32%, while McSally is more divisive with only 38% seeing her favorably and 32% unfavorably. Given Barber's lead and the district's Democratic lean, the analysis concludes Barber is well positioned to retain his seat in November.

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    AZ-02 Grove Insight for DCCC (Sept. 2012)

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    Ron Barber holds a 14-point lead over Martha McSally in a recent poll of 400 likely voters in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District. The poll found Barber garnering 54% support to McSally's 40%, with 6% undecided. Barber is seen favorably by 51% of voters and unfavorably by 32%, while McSally is more divisive with only 38% seeing her favorably and 32% unfavorably. Given Barber's lead and the district's Democratic lean, the analysis concludes Barber is well positioned to retain his seat in November.

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    43 views1 page

    AZ-02 Grove Insight For DCCC (Sept. 2012)

    Uploaded by

    Daily Kos Elections
    Ron Barber holds a 14-point lead over Martha McSally in a recent poll of 400 likely voters in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District. The poll found Barber garnering 54% support to McSally's 40%, with 6% undecided. Barber is seen favorably by 51% of voters and unfavorably by 32%, while McSally is more divisive with only 38% seeing her favorably and 32% unfavorably. Given Barber's lead and the district's Democratic lean, the analysis concludes Barber is well positioned to retain his seat in November.

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    TO: FROM:

    Interested Parties Lisa Grove, Ben Patinkin and Jessica Paulson Grove Insight, Ltd. Recent polling in AZ-02 shows Ron Barber well ahead of Martha McSally October 1, 2012

    RE: DATE:

    This analysis is based on 400 interviews among likely 2012 general election voters in Arizonas 2nd Congressional District. The survey was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.
    Ron Barber is well placed to win in Arizonas 2nd Congressional District. Ron Barber currently holds a 14-point lead over Martha McSally. Barber garners a majority
    If the election for U.S. Congress were being held today for whom would you vote?
    Barber McSally Undecided 54% 40% 6%

    (54%), while McSally trails with only 40% of the vote. Few voters (6%) remain undecided and

    up-for-grabs in this race.

    Barber is a popular figure in this district, while voters are more divided and undecided over McSally. Voters know who Barber is, and like what they see. A majority (51%) say they have favorable impressions of him, while only 32% dislike the Congressman.

    On the other hand, McSally is a much more divisive figure. Only 38% have favorable opinions of her, while 32% dont like her. candidate. Another 17% cant rate the Republican

    Given these findings and the slight Democratic tilt in a district where Obama leads by seven-points and voters are much more fond of him, than Romney, Barber is in a good position to hold onto his seat in November.

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