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ปฏิสัมพันธ์ของโลกที่เสี่ยงภัยกับการเปลี่ยนแปลงทางประชากร
0.
1.
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21
23
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7,000
1 2012
1.
2.
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1.
(Ulrich Beck) 1
2
(BSE)
(uncalculated and unpredicted)
1
2
3
1. (De-localization) :
omnipresent
2. (incalculableness):
3. (Non-compensatibility) :
( )
3
3
1. (Spatial):
2. (Temporal):
3. (Social):
(Global risk report)
2007 (. 2550)
(multistakeholder approach)
3 5
1
2553
2554
2555
2550
2551
2552
: Global Risk Report 2012 .12
internet
4 5
1
2551
2552
2550
2553
2554
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6 ( )
.. 2540 ..2551 ( subprime)
(center of gravity)
(critical connection)
2.
2.1
Occupy
(demographic
transformation)
( .1968 )
17 .. 2553
80
45
Robert M. Danin and other (2011) The Arab World's 'Unprecedented' Protests
http://www.cfr.org/egypt/arab-worlds-unprecedented-protests/p23908 ( 2 .. 2555)
4
(2011) http://prachatai.com/journal/2011/11/37910
2 .. 2555
10
5 Arab Spring
: http://wacsfschools.wordpress.com/2011/07/28/summer-institute-2011-week-four-721-assessing-the-arabspring-a-cairo-perspective/
11
2.6
2.6
..-.. 3
(GPIF)
1.37 13
GPIF
GPIF 1.85% ..-.. 5.11%
2.069 (2.634 )
5.48 ..-..
108.2 .. 113.61 ..
: . 1 2555 http://bit.ly/QLqNgE
Occupy Wall
Street
15 .. 2554
(corporation)
(1%) (99%)
12
: http://www.occupytogether.org/blog/downloadable-posters/
-
3
1 3 5.2
13
3 .. 2573
7
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18
http://www.matichon.co.th/news_detail.php?newsid=1334746022&grpid=01&catid=09&subcatid=0901
14
: 2050 2
6.2 ( 70% 8.9 ) 40
4,000 60 760
2009 2 2050 2.6%
10 24
2009 2% 2 27
, ,
ILO lost
generation
.. 2555
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/28/europes-lost-generation-young-eu
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jul/02/lost-generation-will-cost-more
15
2.2
7
2011 ( ..2554)
2000 50
200
8 1990 2011 ()
Debby Guha-Sapir and others (2011) Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2010 : The numbers and trends.
16
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()
( )
()
(-)
(-)
19,847
1,439
900
813
604
509
467
354
247
204
25,384
: Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2010 : The numbers and trends. .16
9 10
: Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2010 : The numbers and trends. .16
17
.. 2554
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) 10 (2001-2010) 563.4%
(geophysical disaster ///) 17.4
212 (hydrological
disaster) (meteorological disaster
) (climatological disaster ) 10
: 14.46 . 11 .. 2554
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32
.. 2443
40.5 ( 16
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350,000
: 3 .. 2554 45,7000
144,300
29,500 12,500 2,400
.. 2554 http://goo.gl/dH541
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20 300 11
24-25
10 Natori
: http://www.abc.net.au/news/specials/japan-quake-2011/
11 Arahama Sendai
: http://www.abc.net.au/news/specials/japan-quake-2011/
19
: 12 .. 2554
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30-50
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12
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maha) 144 2011 2 10
6
http://www.matichon.co.th/news_detail.php?newsid=1345115667&grpid=01&catid=01
10
David Mark, Mark Willacy (April 1, 2011). "Crews 'facing 100-year battle' at Fukushima"
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2011-04-01/crews-facing-100-year-battle-at-fukushima/2634110
11
16 2555
170,000
12
http://www.greenpeace.org/seasia/th/news/blog1/54-reactors-down-japan-breaks-free-of-nuclear/blog/40315/
20
200,000
2022
12
climate change
internet
digital
21
3.
1)
3 1) 2) 3)
2)
3)
(
)
4) (scale):
top-down approachs bottom-up approachs
( global, regional and
local) (Marston et al.,2005)
1)
2) 3)
(multilevel)
5) : (global problem)
22
6) ( ) :
(best case scenario)
(worst-case scenario) Rosentrater (2010: 257)
, Liverman Roman Cuesta (2008)
Occupy Wall
street
offline
online
23
Debby Guha-Sapir and others (2011) Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2010 : The numbers and trends.
Center for Research on Epidemiology and Disasters. Universit catholique de Louvain Brussels,
Belgium
Debby Guha-Sapir and others (2012) Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2011 : The numbers and trends.
Center for Research on Epidemiology and Disasters. Universit catholique de Louvain Brussels,
Belgium
Femke Vos and others (2010) Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2009 : The numbers and trends. Center for
Research on Epidemiology and Disasters. Universit catholique de Louvain Brussels, Belgium
Karen OBrien (2010) Responding to environmental chabge: A new age for human geography. In Progress
in Human Geography. 35(4). P.542-549.
Liverman DM and Roman Cuesta (2008) Human interactions with the Earth system: People and pixels
revisited. Earth Surfade Process and Landform 33:1458-1471
Marston et al.,(2005) Human geography without scale. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographer.
30:416-432
Rosentrater (2010) Representing and using scenarios for responding to climate change. WIRES Climate
Change 1:253-259
Ulrich Beck. (1992). Risk Society: Towards a New Modernity.(translated by Mark Ritter) London, Newbury,
New Delhi: SAGE Publications.(introduction pp.1-8)
Ulrich Beck (2006) Living in the world risk society. in Economy and Society. 35(3) August. P.329-345
World Economic Forum (2012) Global Risks 2012 7th Edition.
http://www.weforum.org/reports/global-risks-2012-seventh-edition
(2544) : 10
.
http://www.reocities.com/datamid2002/newpage1.html
. - (2555) .
: .
http://www.greenpeace.org/seasia/th/Global/seasia/report/2012/fukushima-report.pdf
24
/ /
Robert M. Danin and other (2011) The Arab World's 'Unprecedented' Protests
http://www.cfr.org/egypt/arab-worlds-unprecedented-protests/p23908 ( 2 .. 2555)
(2011)
http://prachatai.com/journal/2011/11/37910 (2 .. 2555)
2.6 : . 1
2555 http://bit.ly/QLqNgE (2 .. 2555)
" " -- - : . 18
2555
http://www.matichon.co.th/news_detail.php?newsid=1334746022&grpid=01&catid=09&subcatid=0901
Europe's lost generation: how it feels to be young
and struggling in the EU http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/28/europes-lost-generationyoung-eu This lost generation will cost us more than the cuts save
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jul/02/lost-generation-will-cost-more
" " "" : . 16 2555
http://www.matichon.co.th/news_detail.php?newsid=1345115667&grpid=01&catid=01 (2 .. 2555)
David Mark, Mark Willacy (April 1, 2011). "Crews 'facing 100-year battle' at Fukushima"
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2011-04-01/crews-facing-100-year-battle-at-fukushima/2634110 (2 .. 2555)
54 :
(8 2555)
http://www.greenpeace.org/seasia/th/news/blog1/54-reactors-down-japan-breaks-free-of-nuclear/blog/40315/
: .. 2554 http://goo.gl/dH541 (2 .. 2555)
http://www.abc.net.au/news/specials/japan-quake-2011/
http://www.occupytogether.org/blog/downloadable-posters/
Arab Spring http://wacsfschools.wordpress.com/2011/07/28/summer-institute-2011week-four-721-assessing-the-arab-spring-a-cairo-perspective/