Flujo de Caja Probabilidad

F
P(F)

100
200
300
promedio
Riesgo

0.3
0.6
0.1
180
60

F*P(F)

Varianza
V

30
120
30
=SUMA('F*P(F)')
=SUMA('V')^(1/2)

1,920
240
1,440

=('F'-(SUMA('F*P(F)')))^2*'P(F)'

Probabilidad
P(F)

0.3
0.6
0.1

Acumulada
P(F)ac

0
0.3
0.9

=ALEATORIO()
=BUSCARV(D9;C5:D7;2)

Flujo de Caja
F

100
200
300
0.125051668
100

Registro
0
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48
49
50

valor

promedio

desvio

200
200
166.666667
175
180
183.333333
185.714286
187.5
188.888889
190
190.909091
183.333333
184.615385
185.714286
193.333333
193.75
194.117647
188.888889
189.473684
185
185.714286
186.363636
186.956522
187.5
188
188.461538
188.888889
192.857143
189.655172
190
190.322581
190.625
190.909091
188.235294
185.714286
186.111111
186.486486
186.842105
184.615385
182.5
185.365854
185.714286
183.72093
184.090909
184.444444
184.782609
185.106383
185.416667
183.673469
182

#DIV/0!

=PROMEDIO($B$3:B3)
200
200
100
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
100
200
200
300
200
200
100
200
100
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
300
100
200
200
200
200
100
100
200
200
200
100
100
300
200
100
200
200
200
200
200
100
100

0
57.7350269
50
44.7213595
40.824829
37.7964473
35.3553391
33.3333333
31.6227766
30.1511345
38.9249472
37.5533808
36.313652
45.7737708
44.2530602
42.8746463
47.1404521
45.8831468
48.9360485
47.8091444
46.7562529
45.7696587
44.8427203
43.9696865
43.1455497
42.3659273
46.5758754
48.8790606
48.0660465
47.2922736
46.5546852
45.8505477
47.7665147
49.3657248
48.7136108
48.0865086
47.4828711
48.87396
50.0640615
52.730331
52.132236
53.1405708
52.5763313
52.0295177
51.4992613
50.9847522
50.4852341
51.4252644
52.2552605

=DESVEST($B$3:B3)

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100
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102

100
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200
200
300
200
100
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100
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100
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100
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300
200
300
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
100
100
100
100
200
200
200
200

180.392157
182.692308
183.018868
183.333333
185.454545
185.714286
184.210526
184.482759
183.050847
183.333333
183.606557
183.870968
184.126984
185.9375
186.153846
186.363636
185.074627
185.294118
185.507246
187.142857
187.323944
187.5
187.671233
189.189189
188
188.157895
187.012987
187.179487
186.075949
185
185.185185
186.585366
186.746988
188.095238
188.235294
188.372093
188.505747
188.636364
188.764045
188.888889
189.010989
189.130435
189.247312
189.361702
188.421053
187.5
186.597938
185.714286
185.858586
186
186.138614
186.27451

52.9890851
55.0263888
54.5465541
54.0789081
55.8376676
55.3618557
56.0276516
55.5726935
56.1787246
55.7435614
55.3182546
54.9024422
54.4957803
55.9682095
55.5566239
55.1539486
55.7421861
55.3542348
54.9742248
56.2639447
55.8814497
55.5066295
55.1392315
56.2956179
56.8544847
56.4909556
57.01027
56.6579492
57.141698
57.5886768
57.2518801
58.2929916
57.9551642
58.9154221
58.5779186
58.2461403
57.9199274
57.5991263
57.2835893
56.9731741
56.667744
56.3671671
56.0713164
55.7800695
56.2349893
56.6615065
57.0614909
57.4366527
57.1608918
56.8890467
56.6210261
56.3567415

103
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153
154

200
200
200
200
200
200
200
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100
200
200
300
200
200
100
100
100
300
300
200
200
300
100
200
200
200
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200
200
200
100
100
100
200
200
100
100
200
200
200
200
100
100
200
200
200
200
200
200
200
300
100

186.407767
186.538462
186.666667
186.792453
186.915888
187.037037
187.155963
187.272727
186.486486
186.607143
186.725664
187.719298
187.826087
187.931034
187.179487
186.440678
185.714286
186.666667
187.603306
187.704918
187.804878
188.709677
188
188.095238
188.188976
188.28125
188.372093
188.461538
188.549618
188.636364
187.969925
187.313433
186.666667
186.764706
186.861314
186.231884
185.611511
185.714286
185.815603
185.915493
186.013986
185.416667
184.827586
184.931507
185.034014
185.135135
185.234899
185.333333
185.430464
185.526316
186.27451
185.714286

56.0961075
55.8390411
55.585462
55.3352926
55.0884574
54.8448834
54.6044996
54.3672374
54.7498219
54.517599
54.2882926
55.0789472
54.8487971
54.6214999
54.9897507
55.3392864
55.6711201
56.4098646
57.1113648
56.8859506
56.6631778
57.3247452
57.6418307
57.4207528
57.2021939
56.9861065
56.7724446
56.5611631
56.3522184
56.1455677
56.4580751
56.7564932
57.0414879
56.8413302
56.643257
56.9184703
57.1815708
56.9884862
56.7973343
56.6080831
56.4207017
56.6781491
56.9246999
56.7419637
56.5609642
56.3816741
56.204067
56.0281169
55.8537984
55.6810866
56.2639732
56.5090905

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200
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100
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200
200
200
200
200
100
300
200
200
200
300
200
200
200
200
100
200
200
200
100
100

185.806452
185.25641
185.350318
185.443038
184.90566
185
185.093168
185.802469
185.276074
185.365854
184.848485
184.939759
184.431138
184.52381
184.023669
184.117647
184.210526
184.302326
183.815029
183.333333
182.857143
182.954545
183.050847
183.146067
182.681564
182.777778
182.320442
182.417582
181.967213
182.065217
182.162162
182.258065
182.352941
182.446809
182.539683
182.631579
182.198953
182.8125
182.901554
182.989691
183.076923
183.673469
183.756345
183.838384
183.919598
184
183.58209
183.663366
183.743842
183.823529
183.414634
183.009709

56.3370074
56.5736599
56.4043172
56.2364768
56.4662768
56.3010774
56.1373095
56.686217
56.9092073
56.7460195
56.961755
56.8010562
57.0098786
56.8516246
57.0538543
56.8980011
56.743407
56.5900555
56.7881662
56.9791903
57.1633789
57.0144662
56.8666973
56.720058
56.9009019
56.7564192
56.9319972
56.7896314
56.9601655
56.8198773
56.6806047
56.5423359
56.405059
56.2687624
56.1334349
55.9990651
56.1706254
56.6647739
56.5305563
56.397276
56.2649222
56.738496
56.6055229
56.4734711
56.34233
56.2120894
56.3835479
56.254977
56.1272723
56.0004243
56.1689397
56.3323752

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300
100
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200
100
100
200
100
100
100
200
200
100
200
200
200
200
300
200
300
200
100
200
200
100
100
300
200
300
200
100
200
100
100
200
200
200
200
100
200
200
200
200
200
200
100
200
100
200
200
200
200

183.574879
183.173077
183.253589
183.333333
182.938389
182.54717
182.629108
182.242991
181.860465
181.481481
181.56682
181.651376
181.278539
181.363636
181.447964
181.531532
181.61435
182.142857
182.222222
182.743363
182.819383
182.45614
182.532751
182.608696
182.251082
181.896552
182.403433
182.478632
182.978723
183.050847
182.700422
182.773109
182.426778
182.083333
182.157676
182.231405
182.304527
182.377049
182.040816
182.113821
182.186235
182.258065
182.329317
182.4
182.47012
182.142857
182.213439
181.889764
181.960784
182.03125
182.101167
182.170543

56.7807309
56.9390627
56.8139491
56.6896473
56.8447426
56.9952409
56.8732329
57.0200263
57.1624924
57.3007539
57.1817797
57.063531
57.1992337
57.0824489
56.9663637
56.8509713
56.7362649
57.1588703
57.0435645
57.4533285
57.3375194
57.4734017
57.3589423
57.2451551
57.378584
57.5083475
57.9035344
57.790594
58.1743215
58.0609874
58.1884624
58.0763991
58.2010594
58.3223739
58.212184
58.1026078
57.9936398
57.8852743
58.0057795
57.8986029
57.7920098
57.685995
57.5805535
57.4756802
57.3713701
57.4921736
57.3889706
57.5072744
57.4051634
57.3035861
57.202538
57.1020145

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310

100
100
100
200
100
200
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100
200
100
200
200
300
200
300
100
200
100
200
200
300
100
200
300
100
200
200
100
200
200
100
200
100
300
200
100
200
200
200
200
300
300
300
300
200
200
100
100
200
200

181.853282
181.538462
181.226054
181.29771
180.988593
181.060606
181.132075
181.203008
181.273408
180.970149
181.040892
180.740741
180.811808
180.882353
181.318681
181.386861
181.818182
181.521739
181.588448
181.294964
181.362007
181.428571
181.850534
181.560284
181.625442
182.042254
181.754386
181.818182
181.881533
181.597222
181.6609
181.724138
181.443299
181.506849
181.228669
181.632653
181.694915
181.418919
181.481481
181.543624
181.605351
181.666667
182.059801
182.450331
182.838284
183.223684
183.278689
183.333333
183.061889
182.792208
182.847896
182.903226

57.219502
57.3341023
57.445883
57.3474581
57.457019
57.3596164
57.262698
57.1662599
57.0702983
57.1792556
57.084271
57.1911246
57.0971038
57.0035357
57.3535627
57.2595464
57.6007815
57.7064947
57.6125579
57.7162802
57.6232629
57.530686
57.8618343
57.9640788
57.871596
58.194735
58.2951091
58.2027474
58.1108169
58.2097995
58.1187353
58.0280904
58.1257203
58.0359228
58.1318082
58.4444641
58.3547835
58.4489943
58.3601397
58.2716827
58.1836202
58.0959495
58.3987136
58.6953041
58.9858855
59.2706159
59.1808477
59.0914823
59.1862526
59.2790206
59.1908056
59.102979

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100
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200
200
100
200
200
100
200
200
100
200
100
200
100
200
300
100
100
200
200
200
200

182.636656
182.692308
182.747604
182.802548
182.857143
182.594937
182.9653
183.018868
183.0721
182.8125
182.866044
183.229814
183.281734
183.333333
183.384615
183.435583
183.486239
183.536585
183.586626
183.333333
183.383686
183.433735
183.483483
183.832335
183.880597
184.22619
184.272997
184.615385
184.660767
184.705882
184.750733
184.795322
184.83965
184.593023
184.637681
184.682081
184.43804
184.482759
184.527221
184.285714
184.330484
184.090909
184.135977
183.898305
183.943662
184.269663
184.033613
183.798883
183.844011
183.888889
183.933518
183.977901

59.1945383
59.1074682
59.020777
58.9344618
58.8485201
58.9396288
59.2146016
59.1288463
59.0434586
59.1334697
59.0487944
59.3170108
59.2321824
59.1477135
59.0636015
58.9798439
58.8964384
58.8133824
58.7306736
58.8215924
58.7395451
58.6578368
58.5764653
58.8348993
58.7533978
59.0066733
58.9250655
59.1733359
59.0916445
59.0102883
58.929265
58.8485723
58.7682081
58.8604869
58.7807245
58.7012833
58.7924098
58.71356
58.6350242
58.7250265
58.6470719
58.7357085
58.6583297
58.7456306
58.6688223
58.9081432
58.9941817
59.0786761
59.0023024
58.9262216
58.850432
58.7749316

363
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300
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100
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100
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200
100
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200
200
200

184.297521
184.065934
184.109589
184.153005
184.196185
184.23913
184.281843
184.594595
184.366577
184.408602
184.182306
183.957219
183.733333
183.510638
183.554377
183.333333
183.377309
183.157895
183.2021
183.507853
183.550914
183.59375
183.376623
183.419689
183.462532
183.505155
183.547558
183.589744
183.887468
183.928571
183.969466
184.010152
183.797468
183.838384
183.879093
183.919598
183.9599
184
184.0399
184.079602
184.119107
183.910891
183.950617
183.990148
184.029484
184.068627
184.107579
183.902439
183.941606
183.980583
184.01937
184.057971

59.0087518
59.0928302
59.0174964
58.9424477
58.8676824
58.7931987
58.7189948
58.9471581
59.0310533
58.9570151
59.0397079
59.120981
59.2008575
59.2793603
59.2065698
59.283968
59.2116874
59.2880034
59.2162282
59.439629
59.3677587
59.2961463
59.3719383
59.3008182
59.2299507
59.1593344
59.0889677
59.0188493
59.2364027
59.1662014
59.096247
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59.7422443
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