Perception_vs_Projection@Nov_3

Perception Vs Projections : Findings of UPI/Cvoter Poll

Sample Size 3633 LV; CATI Dates 15th October to 31st October 2012

PRO-ROMNEY STATES
State And Electoral College Votes

No
1
2
3
4
11
13
15
17
18
19
25
26
27
28
35
37
41
42
43
44
45
49
51

State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
Georgia
Idaho
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming

Total_ECV
9
3
11
6
16
4
11
6
8
8
6
10
3
5
3
7
9
3
11
38
6
5
3

UPI/CVOTER Vote Share

Projections As On Today
Obama
40
39
44
40
44
38
47
41
41
40
42
46
44
41
43
38
43
43
42
43
38
42
36

Romney
57
57
52
55
52
58
51
55
55
56
55
51
51
55
53
60
53
54
55
53
57
54
60

Regardless of the candidate or party you wish to

support; which candidate do you think is going to
win the US presidency?
Can't Say
20%
32%
11%
9%
14%
5%
10%
14%
2%
8%
13%
13%
23%
15%
0%
4%
14%
0%
10%
9%
5%
21%
9%

Obama
39%
32%
37%
35%
51%
40%
53%
49%
55%
54%
44%
47%
31%
46%
40%
37%
46%
70%
48%
45%
28%
42%
64%

Romney
41%
37%
51%
56%
36%
55%
37%
38%
43%
39%
44%
40%
46%
39%
60%
60%
40%
30%
42%
46%
67%
38%
27%

Regardless of the candidate you think eventually win

the US presidency; which candidate in your opinion
will WIN in YOUR OWN state?
Can't Say
7%
16%
7%
6%
5%
0%
5%
11%
2%
6%
9%
10%
0%
4%
20%
4%
14%
0%
3%
3%
0%
13%
9%

Obama
25%
11%
13%
15%
31%
10%
23%
22%
23%
32%
22%
23%
15%
23%
30%
23%
30%
40%
24%
23%
5%
17%
36%

Romney
68%
74%
80%
79%
64%
90%
72%
68%
75%
62%
69%
66%
85%
73%
50%
73%
56%
60%
73%
74%
95%
71%
56%

Perception_vs_Projection@Nov_3

Perception Vs Projections : Findings of UPI/Cvoter Poll

Sample Size 3633 LV; CATI Dates 15th October to 31st October 2012
PRO-OBAMA STATES
State And Electoral College Votes

No
5
7
8
12
14
20
21
22
23
31
32
33
38
40
46
48

State
California
Connecticut
Delaware
Hawaii
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Oregon
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington

Total_ECV
55
7
3
4
20
4
10
11
16
14
5
29
7
4
3
12

UPI/CVOTER Vote Share

Projections As On Today
Obama
53
54
54
58
54
52
54
54
52
52
52
54
51
55
58
51

Romney
42
43
42
38
42
44
42
41
44
45
46
42
44
41
38
44

Regardless of the candidate or party you wish to

support; which candidate do you think is going to
win the US presidency?
Can't Say
10%
8%
44%
15%
12%
0%
15%
8%
7%
14%
17%
9%
15%
0%
8%
11%

Obama
61%
64%
44%
60%
62%
57%
56%
63%
53%
46%
63%
60%
48%
80%
67%
47%

Romney
29%
28%
13%
25%
26%
44%
29%
29%
41%
41%
21%
31%
37%
20%
25%
42%

Regardless of the candidate you think eventually win

the US presidency; which candidate in your opinion
will WIN in YOUR OWN state?
Can't Say
6%
7%
13%
5%
5%
17%
7%
6%
8%
9%
4%
6%
10%
7%
8%
10%

Obama
85%
65%
81%
85%
78%
48%
79%
81%
58%
72%
83%
80%
67%
80%
67%
75%

Romney
10%
28%
6%
10%
16%
35%
13%
13%
34%
19%
13%
14%
23%
13%
25%
15%

Perception_vs_Projection@Nov_3

Perception Vs Projections : Findings of UPI/Cvoter Poll

Sample Size 3633 LV; CATI Dates 15th October to 31st October 2012
TOSS-UP STATES
State And Electoral College Votes

No
6
10
16
24
29
30
34
36
39
47
50

State
Colorado
Florida
Iowa
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Wisconsin
Grand Total : USA

Total_ECV
9
29
6
10
6
4
15
18
20
13
10
538

UPI/CVOTER Vote Share

Projections As On Today
Obama
50
48
50
50
51
50
46
48
51
49
51
49%

Romney
48
51
48
47
46
48
51
47
47
49
45
48%

Regardless of the candidate or party you wish to

support; which candidate do you think is going to
win the US presidency?
Can't Say
14%
13%
12%
18%
2%
21%
14%
9%
13%
8%
9%
11%

Obama
51%
39%
49%
58%
52%
36%
42%
49%
50%
46%
54%
50%

Romney
36%
48%
39%
25%
45%
43%
44%
42%
37%
46%
37%
39%

Regardless of the candidate you think eventually win

the US presidency; which candidate in your opinion
will WIN in YOUR OWN state?
Can't Say
12%
11%
12%
9%
5%
14%
9%
7%
9%
7%
8%
7%

Obama
54%
39%
55%
77%
57%
29%
30%
48%
61%
41%
54%
51%

Romney
34%
50%
33%
14%
38%
57%
60%
45%
30%
52%
38%
42%