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Production Forecasts

Rashid Ali Shaikh

Geologic Factors

Factors Affecting
Therefore a production forecast must be based upon understanding of geologic factors and the knowledge of the plan for development of the reservoir.

Rock Depth Thickness Properties of hydrocarbons

Development of hydrocarbon reservoir


Rate of development Well density Wellbore size Completion techniques Method of production No. of producing wells

Other factors Availability of a market for the produced hydrocarbons esp gas The price to be received at the point of sale. Conservation of reservoir energy Determine the max rate at which a reservoir may be produced.

Economic limit

Field analogies

Abandonment

Decline curve analysis

Graphical methods of production forecasting

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