X l v phn tch s liu sn sng chi tr (WTP)

PGS.TS. Hong Vn Minh i hc Y H Ni

Mc tiu
Phng php lng gi sn sng chi tr Phng trnh tnh ton mc sn sng chi tr X l v phn tch s liu lng gi ngu nhin ph thuc (Contingent valuation-CV) X l v phn tch s liu phn tch kt hp (Conjoint analysis-CA) Nghin cu trng hp s dng CV v CA

o lng s a thch thc t (Revealed Preference-RP)

o lng s a thch l thuyt (Stated Preference-SP)

o lng s a thch l thuyt (Stated Preference-SP)

Lng gi ngu nhin ph thuc (Contingent valuation-CV)

Phn tch kt hp (Conjoint analysis-CA)

Mc chi tr cho ton b gi hng ha

Mc chi tr theo c tnh ca hng ha

Lng gi ngu nhin ph thuc (CV)

Trc tip (Direct/ Open-ended question)
Hi trc tip mc sn sng chi tr

C-khng (Dichotomous choice)

a ra cc mc gi v hi c mua hay khng

u gi (Interative bidding game)

Hi c chi tr mc X khng. Nu c th hi tip c tr X+d khng? Nu khng th hi tip c tr X-d khng.

Th chi tr (Payment card)

Th chi tr c hng lot mc gi v hi mc gi no sn sng chi tr

C-khng
C X
Khng C X+1D Gii thiu v hng ha X+2D Khng C

Khng
C X+nD Khng
7

u gi

X+D X-D

C Khng C Khng

X
Khng

Phn tch kt hp (CA)

La chn (Choice format) Xp th t (Ranking) So snh (Rating)

CA: La chn

CA: Xp th t

B > A > C >D

CA: So snh

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S liu t cu hi m

Trc tip (m)

Kt hp

CV
u gi

C khng

S liu t cu hi ng

Phn tch s liu CV

S liu CV

S liu cu hi m

S liu cu hi ng

(Open-ended)

(Close-ended)

Trc tip

Phng trnh

Phng trnh (CV)

S liu CV t cu hi m(Trc tip + Kt hp)

Sn sng chi tr bao nhiu tin cho dch v X?

17

S liu CV t cu hi m (Trc tip + Kt hp)

1. Thng k m t sum table tabstat histogram graph box twoway scatter 2. Thng k suy lun ci ranksum corr, spearman regress
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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 1 mc (C-khng)

Sn sng u ni nc sch?
C 100
Khng C 200 Gii thiu v hng ha 3000 Khng C

Khng
C 1000 Khng
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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 1 mc

probit choice bid

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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 1 mc
probit choice bid di -_b[_cons]/_b[bid] nlcom -_b[_cons]/_b[bid]

21

S liu CV t cu hi ng- 1 mc
1. Tnh WTP theo trnh vn ha 2. Tnh WTP theo loi nh v sinh hin c

22

S liu CV t cu hi ng- 2 mc

25 15

C Khng C Khng

20
Khng

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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 2 mc
ID La chn 1
2 3 4

Start 20
20 20 20

Lower 25
20 . 15

Upper .
25 15 20

Y-Y
Y-N N-N N-Y

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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 3 mc

C C 30

C
20

25 Khng C

Khng

Khng

15 Khng 10

C Khng

25

S liu CV t cu hi ng- 3 mc

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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 3 mc
ID 1 2 3 4 5 6 La chn Y-Y-Y Y-Y-N Y-N N-N-N N-N-Y N-Y Start 20 20 20 20 20 20 Lower 30 25 20 . 10 15 Upper . 30 25 10 15 20

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S liu CV t cu hi ng- 3 mc
intreg lowerbid upperbid commune agegr gender edu hhsize poor toilet income
gen wtp=(_b[_cons] + _b[commune]*commune + _b[agegr]*agegr + _b[gender]*gender + _b[edu]*edu + _b[hhsize]*hhsize + _b[poor]*poor+ _b[toilet]*toilet + _b[income]*income) replace wtp=. if wtp<=0
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Bi tp
1. Tnh trung bnh, trung v, lch chun ca wtp chung, theo 2 x v theo 2 nhm kinh t 2. So snh gia 2 x v gia 2 nhm kinh t 3. Phn tch tng quan gia wtp v thu nhp 4. Phn tch cc yu t lin quan n wtp

S liu CA
Hiu lc vaccine
Gim 99% nguy c (R99) Gim 70% nguy c(R70) Gim 50% nguy c(R50)

Thi gian hiu lc

Sut i (DL) 10 nm (D10) 2 nm (D2)

Chi ph 3 mi
100,000 (M100) 500,000 (M500) 2,000,000 (M2000) 6,000,000 (M6000)
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S liu CA

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S liu CA

Effects Coding
Risk Reduction Risk Reduction = 99% Risk Reduction = 70% Utility Dummy-Coded Variables 99% 70% 1 0 0 1 o + 99% o + 70%

50%

0
Effects-Coded Variables

o?

99% 70% 50%

1 0 -1

0 1 -1

99% 70% 99% 70%

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S liu CA

S liu CA
gen risk99 = cervi == "CERVI9" replace risk99 = -1 if cervi == "CERVI5" gen risk70 = cervi == "CERVI7" replace risk70 = -1 if cervi == "CERVI5" gen duratL = durat == "DURATL" replace duratL = -1 if durat == "DURAT2" gen durat10 = durat == "DURAT10" replace durat10 = -1 if durat == "DURAT2" gen cost = price/1000000 egen grpvar = concat(s1q1 set), punct(_) clogit choice cost risk99 risk70 duratL durat10, group(grpvar) cluster(s1q1)