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  • Exponential Smoothing

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    Kamran Peter
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    This document contains a table comparing actual time series data values to forecasted values using exponential smoothing. It shows the actual values fluctuating between 925-962 over 16 periods while the forecasted values smooth the fluctuations. The table also reports error metrics for the exponential smoothing forecast, including a mean absolute error of 11.3034, mean absolute percentage error of 1.20%, and mean squared error of 216.931. A graph below the table plots the actual versus forecasted values over the 16 periods.

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    This document contains a table comparing actual time series data values to forecasted values using exponential smoothing. It shows the actual values fluctuating between 925-962 over 16 periods while the forecasted values smooth the fluctuations. The table also reports error metrics for the exponential smoothing forecast, including a mean absolute error of 11.3034, mean absolute percentage error of 1.20%, and mean squared error of 216.931. A graph below the table plots the actual versus forecasted values over the 16 periods.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xls, pdf, or txt
    25 views1 page

    Exponential Smoothing

    Uploaded by

    Kamran Peter
    This document contains a table comparing actual time series data values to forecasted values using exponential smoothing. It shows the actual values fluctuating between 925-962 over 16 periods while the forecasted values smooth the fluctuations. The table also reports error metrics for the exponential smoothing forecast, including a mean absolute error of 11.3034, mean absolute percentage error of 1.20%, and mean squared error of 216.931. A graph below the table plots the actual versus forecasted values over the 16 periods.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xls, pdf, or txt
    of 1

    I

    970
    Actual
    960

    Forecast

    950
    940
    930
    Z

    A B
    C
    D
    E
    F
    G
    H
    1 Exponential Smoothing
    2
    3
    MAE
    MAPE
    MSE
    4
    w
    0.4
    11.3034
    1.20%
    216.931
    5
    2
    6
    t
    Zt
    Forecast
    |Error| %Error Error
    7
    1
    925
    925
    8
    2
    940
    925
    9
    3
    924
    931
    7
    0.76%
    49
    10
    4
    925
    928.2
    3.2
    0.35%
    10.24
    11
    5
    912
    926.92
    14.92
    1.64% 222.606
    12
    6
    908
    920.952
    12.952 1.43% 167.754
    13
    7
    910
    915.771
    5.7712 0.63% 33.3067
    14
    8
    912
    913.463
    1.46272 0.16% 2.13955
    15
    9
    915
    912.878
    2.12237 0.23% 4.50445
    16
    10
    924
    913.727
    10.2734 1.11% 105.543
    17
    11
    943
    917.836
    25.1641 2.67% 633.23
    18
    12
    962
    927.902
    34.0984 3.54% 1162.7
    19
    13
    960
    941.541
    18.4591 1.92% 340.737
    20
    14
    958
    948.925
    9.07544 0.95% 82.3635
    21
    15
    955
    952.555
    2.44526 0.26% 5.9793
    22
    16
    953.533
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    32
    33
    34
    35

    920
    910
    900
    890
    880
    1

    9
    t

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

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