Term I, 10/11

STAT 101 INTRODUCTORY STATISTICS - GROUPS 2, 3, & 4 Class Exercise 8 Solutions 1. Let be the population mean amount in ounces. (i) H0 : = 8.17 H1 : = 8.17 Since the sample size (n = 60 > 30) is sucient large, by the Central Limit Theorem, the sampling distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal 2 i.e. X N(, ). We do not need any assumption. The test statistic is 60 approximately t-distributed with 59 degrees of freedom. It is given that n = 60, x = 8.159 and s = 0.051. The test statistic is t = 8.159 8.17 = 1.6707 0.051/ 60

Reject H0 if t > t0.025,59 = 2.0010 or t < 2.0010 Since 2.0010 < t < 2.0010, we do not reject H0 . The data do not provide sucient evidence to show the mean amount is dierent from 8.17 ounces.

(ii) Since |t| = 1.6707 which is between 1.6711 and 1.2961, the upper tail percentiles of 0.05 and 0.1, respectively, it implies that p-value is between 0.1 and 0.2 from the t-table. The exact p-value is 0.100078 (by PH Stat output). If the population mean is indeed = 8.17, the probability that a sample provides an absolute value of test statistics which is more than 1.6707 is 0.100078 (i.e. P (|t| 1.6707) = 0.100078). (iii) A Type I error in part (i) is committed if we reject H0 : = 8.17 when the true value of is 8.17 ounces. (iv) A Type II error in part (i) is committed if we do not reject H0 : = 8.17 when the true value of is not equal to 8.17 ounces.

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