134495941.xls.

ms_office

Field 88 - Block 99 ; Reservoir 100 : STOIIP (MM STB)

1.0
P90 = 61.3 MM STB
P50 = 66.0 MM STB
P10 = 71.0 MM STB

0.9
0.8

Probability

0.7

0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
56.7

58.7

60.6

62.5

64.4

Page 1

66.4

68.3

70.2

72.1

74.1

58.844
59.037
59.229
59.422
59.615
59.807
60.000
60.193
60.386
60.578
60.771
60.964
61.157
61.349
61.542
61.735
61.928
62.120
62.313
62.506
62.699
62.891
63.084
63.277
63.470
63.662
63.855
64.048
64.240
64.433
64.626
64.819
65.011
65.204
65.397
65.590
65.782
65.975
66.168
66.361

134495941.xls.ms_office

66.553
66.746
66.939
67.132
67.324
67.517
67.710
67.903
68.095
68.288
68.481
68.673
68.866
69.059
69.252
69.444
69.637
69.830
70.023
70.215
70.408
70.601
70.794
70.986
71.179
71.372
71.565
71.757
71.950
72.143
72.336
72.528
72.721
72.914
73.107
73.299
73.492
73.685
73.877
74.070
74.263
74.456
74.648
74.841
75.034
75.227
75.419
75.612
75.805

Page 2

134495941.xls.ms_office

99-100-STOOIP

P90 = 61.3 MM STB

P50 = 66.0 MM STB
P10 = 71.0 MM STB

74.1

10
P90
61.25
99-100 STOIIP
Frequency
(MM STB)
White
56.724
0.9930
0.9000
56.916
0.9930
0.9000
57.109
0.9920
0.9000
57.302
0.9900
0.9000
57.495
0.9860
0.9000
57.687
0.9850
0.9000
57.880
0.9830
0.9000
58.073
0.9800
0.9000
58.266
0.9770
0.9000
58.458
0.9740
0.9000
58.651
0.9740
0.9000
58.844
0.9710
0.9000
59.037
0.9640
0.9000
59.229
0.9580
0.9000
59.422
0.9520
0.9000
59.615
0.9480
0.9000
59.807
0.9450
0.9000
60.000
0.9400
0.9000
60.193
0.9350
0.9000
60.386
0.9290
0.9000
60.578
0.9220
0.9000
60.771
0.9170
0.9000
60.964
0.9100
0.9000
61.157
0.9050
0.9000
61.349
0.8900
0.5000
61.542
0.8790
0.5000
61.735
0.8700
0.5000
61.928
0.8530
0.5000
62.120
0.8430
0.5000
62.313
0.8230
0.5000
62.506
0.8090
0.5000
62.699
0.7940
0.5000
62.891
0.7820
0.5000
63.084
0.7670
0.5000
63.277
0.7590
0.5000
63.470
0.7410
0.5000
63.662
0.7280
0.5000
63.855
0.7100
0.5000
64.048
0.6960
0.5000
64.240
0.6790
0.5000
64.433
0.6600
0.5000
64.626
0.6430
0.5000
64.819
0.6170
0.5000
65.011
0.5940
0.5000
65.204
0.5690
0.5000
65.397
0.5460
0.5000
65.590
0.5330
0.5000
65.782
0.5120
0.5000
65.975
0.4950
0.5000
66.168
0.4780
0.1000
66.361
0.4480
0.1000

50
P50
66.00
Black
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.5000
0.5000

Page 3

90
P10
71.01

Label

P90 = 61.3 MM STB P50 = 66.0 MM STB P10 = 71.0 MM S

134495941.xls.ms_office

66.553
66.746
66.939
67.132
67.324
67.517
67.710
67.903
68.095
68.288
68.481
68.673
68.866
69.059
69.252
69.444
69.637
69.830
70.023
70.215
70.408
70.601
70.794
70.986
71.179
71.372
71.565
71.757
71.950
72.143
72.336
72.528
72.721
72.914
73.107
73.299
73.492
73.685
73.877
74.070
74.263
74.456
74.648
74.841
75.034
75.227
75.419
75.612
75.805

0.4310
0.4200
0.3960
0.3730
0.3530
0.3360
0.3160
0.3040
0.2880
0.2700
0.2560
0.2460
0.2280
0.2110
0.1940
0.1770
0.1660
0.1540
0.1440
0.1310
0.1220
0.1110
0.1010
0.0960
0.0780
0.0690
0.0610
0.0530
0.0500
0.0420
0.0350
0.0340
0.0320
0.0250
0.0220
0.0210
0.0200
0.0160
0.0140
0.0100
0.0090
0.0040
0.0030
0.0030
0.0020
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000

Page 4

134495941.xls.ms_office

MM STB

P90 = 61.3 MM STB P50 = 66.0 MM STB P10 = 71.0 MM STB

Page 5

99-100 STOIIP (MM STB)

55.0

99-100 NtG (%)

60.0

65.0

70.0

24.5%

75.0

27.8%

99-100 GRV (Acre-ft)

268727

99-100 Phi (%)

22.3%

284004

23.5%

99-100 Bo (RB/STB)

1.2035

1.1805

99-100 Sw (%)

39.1%

38.0%

99-100
99-100
99-100
99-100
99-100

Variable
NtG (%)
GRV (Acre-ft)
Phi (%)
Bo (RB/STB)
Sw (%)

99-100 STOIIP (MM STB)

Input
Downside Upside Range Downside Upside Base Case
61.784 70.365 8.582
24.5% 27.8%
26.2%
64.248 67.901 3.653
268727 284004
276366
64.325 67.824 3.499
22.3% 23.5%
22.9%
66.721 65.441 1.280
1.1805 1.2035
1.1920
66.687 65.462 1.225
38.0% 39.1%
38.6%

99-100 STOIIP (MM STB)

72.0
70.0
99-100 NtG (%)

68.0

99-100 GRV (Acre-ft)

66.0

99-100 Phi (%)

99-100 Bo (RB/STB)

64.0

99-100 Sw (%)

62.0

60.0
10.0%

30.0%

50.0%

70.0%

Percentiles of the variables

90.0%

99-100
99-100
99-100
99-100
99-100

Variable
NtG (%)
GRV (Acre-ft)
Phi (%)
Bo (RB/STB)
Sw (%)

99-100 STOIIP (MM STB)

10.0% 30.0% 50.0% 70.0%
61.784 64.325 66.075 67.824
64.248 65.330 66.075 66.819
64.325 65.361 66.075 66.788
66.721 66.337 66.075 65.815
66.687 66.324 66.075 65.825

90.0%
70.365
67.901
67.824
65.441
65.462

134495941.xls.ms_office

Field 88 - Block 99 ; Reservoir 100 : Oil Reserves (MM STB)

1.0
P90 = 26.5 MM STB
P50 = 28.6 MM STB
P10 = 30.7 MM STB

0.9
0.8

Probability

0.7

0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
24.6

25.4

26.2

27.1

27.9

Page 10

28.7

29.6

30.4

31.2

32.1

25.475
25.558
25.642
25.725
25.809
25.892
25.976
26.059
26.143
26.227
26.310
26.394
26.477
26.561
26.644
26.728
26.811
26.895
26.978
27.062
27.145
27.229
27.312
27.396
27.479
27.563
27.646
27.730
27.813
27.897
27.980
28.064
28.148
28.231
28.315
28.398
28.482
28.565
28.649
28.732

134495941.xls.ms_office

28.816
28.899
28.983
29.066
29.150
29.233
29.317
29.400
29.484
29.567
29.651
29.734
29.818
29.901
29.985
30.069
30.152
30.236
30.319
30.403
30.486
30.570
30.653
30.737
30.820
30.904
30.987
31.071
31.154
31.238
31.321
31.405
31.488
31.572
31.655
31.739
31.822
31.906
31.989
32.073
32.157
32.240
32.324
32.407
32.491
32.574
32.658
32.741
32.825

Page 11

134495941.xls.ms_office

99-100-Rsrvs

P90 = 26.5 MM STB

P50 = 28.6 MM STB
P10 = 30.7 MM STB

32.1

10
P90
26.50
99-100 OilFrequency
Res (MMstb)White
24.556
0.9940
0.9000
24.640
0.9930
0.9000
24.723
0.9920
0.9000
24.807
0.9900
0.9000
24.890
0.9870
0.9000
24.974
0.9850
0.9000
25.057
0.9830
0.9000
25.141
0.9820
0.9000
25.224
0.9780
0.9000
25.308
0.9750
0.9000
25.391
0.9740
0.9000
25.475
0.9710
0.9000
25.558
0.9650
0.9000
25.642
0.9590
0.9000
25.725
0.9510
0.9000
25.809
0.9480
0.9000
25.892
0.9450
0.9000
25.976
0.9390
0.9000
26.059
0.9370
0.9000
26.143
0.9270
0.9000
26.227
0.9220
0.9000
26.310
0.9160
0.9000
26.394
0.9110
0.9000
26.477
0.9060
0.9000
26.561
0.8900
0.5000
26.644
0.8800
0.5000
26.728
0.8690
0.5000
26.811
0.8550
0.5000
26.895
0.8430
0.5000
26.978
0.8240
0.5000
27.062
0.8080
0.5000
27.145
0.7950
0.5000
27.229
0.7840
0.5000
27.312
0.7680
0.5000
27.396
0.7580
0.5000
27.479
0.7430
0.5000
27.563
0.7260
0.5000
27.646
0.7130
0.5000
27.730
0.6940
0.5000
27.813
0.6790
0.5000
27.897
0.6600
0.5000
27.980
0.6410
0.5000
28.064
0.6170
0.5000
28.148
0.5940
0.5000
28.231
0.5690
0.5000
28.315
0.5480
0.5000
28.398
0.5360
0.5000
28.482
0.5130
0.5000
28.565
0.4910
0.5000
28.649
0.4730
0.1000
28.732
0.4530
0.1000

50
P50
28.59
Black
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9960
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.9000
0.5000
0.5000

Page 12

90
P10
30.74

Label

P90 = 26.5 MM STB P50 = 28.6 MM STB P10 = 30.7 MM S

134495941.xls.ms_office

28.816
28.899
28.983
29.066
29.150
29.233
29.317
29.400
29.484
29.567
29.651
29.734
29.818
29.901
29.985
30.069
30.152
30.236
30.319
30.403
30.486
30.570
30.653
30.737
30.820
30.904
30.987
31.071
31.154
31.238
31.321
31.405
31.488
31.572
31.655
31.739
31.822
31.906
31.989
32.073
32.157
32.240
32.324
32.407
32.491
32.574
32.658
32.741
32.825

0.4330
0.4190
0.3930
0.3730
0.3520
0.3330
0.3190
0.3070
0.2930
0.2720
0.2550
0.2480
0.2310
0.2090
0.1960
0.1790
0.1670
0.1530
0.1420
0.1320
0.1220
0.1110
0.1010
0.0930
0.0790
0.0700
0.0610
0.0540
0.0500
0.0420
0.0380
0.0340
0.0310
0.0240
0.0220
0.0210
0.0200
0.0160
0.0130
0.0100
0.0080
0.0030
0.0030
0.0030
0.0020
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000

Page 13

134495941.xls.ms_office

MM STB

P90 = 26.5 MM STB P50 = 28.6 MM STB P10 = 30.7 MM STB

Page 14

134495941.xls.ms_office

Field 88 - Block 99 ; Reservoir 100 : Remaining Oil Reserves (MM STB)

1.0
P90 = 6.7 MM STB
P50 = 8.7 MM STB
P10 = 10.9 MM STB

0.9
0.8

Probability

0.7

0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
4.7

5.5

6.4

7.2

8.0

Page 15

8.9

9.7

10.5

11.4

12.2

5.606
5.689
5.773
5.856
5.940
6.023
6.107
6.190
6.274
6.358
6.441
6.525
6.608
6.692
6.775
6.859
6.942
7.026
7.109
7.193
7.276
7.360
7.443
7.527
7.610
7.694
7.777
7.861
7.944
8.028
8.111
8.195
8.279
8.362
8.446
8.529
8.613
8.696
8.780
8.863

134495941.xls.ms_office

8.947
9.030
9.114
9.197
9.281
9.364
9.448
9.531
9.615
9.698
9.782
9.865
9.949
10.032
10.116
10.200
10.283
10.367
10.450
10.534
10.617
10.701
10.784
10.868
10.951
11.035
11.118
11.202
11.285
11.369
11.452
11.536
11.619
11.703
11.786
11.870
11.953
12.037
12.120
12.204
12.288
12.371
12.455
12.538
12.622
12.705
12.789
12.872
12.956

Page 16

134495941.xls.ms_office

99-100-RR

12.2

10
50
P90
P50
6.65
8.72
99-100 Rem.
Frequency
Oil Reserves
White
(MM stb)
Black
4.687
0.9940
0.9000
0.9960
4.771
0.9930
0.9000
0.9960
4.854
0.9920
0.9000
0.9960
4.938
0.9900
0.9000
0.9960
5.021
0.9870
0.9000
0.9960
5.105
0.9850
0.9000
0.9960
5.188
0.9830
0.9000
0.9960
5.272
0.9820
0.9000
0.9960
5.355
0.9780
0.9000
0.9960
5.439
0.9750
0.9000
0.9960
5.522
0.9740
0.9000
0.9960
5.606
0.9710
0.9000
0.9960
5.689
0.9650
0.9000
0.9960
5.773
0.9590
0.9000
0.9960
5.856
0.9510
0.9000
0.9960
5.940
0.9480
0.9000
0.9960
6.023
0.9450
0.9000
0.9960
6.107
0.9390
0.9000
0.9960
6.190
0.9370
0.9000
0.9960
6.274
0.9270
0.9000
0.9960
6.358
0.9220
0.9000
0.9960
6.441
0.9160
0.9000
0.9960
6.525
0.9110
0.9000
0.9960
6.608
0.9060
0.9000
0.9960
6.692
0.8900
0.5000
0.9000
6.775
0.8800
0.5000
0.9000
6.859
0.8690
0.5000
0.9000
6.942
0.8550
0.5000
0.9000
7.026
0.8430
0.5000
0.9000
7.109
0.8240
0.5000
0.9000
7.193
0.8080
0.5000
0.9000
7.276
0.7950
0.5000
0.9000
7.360
0.7840
0.5000
0.9000
7.443
0.7680
0.5000
0.9000
7.527
0.7580
0.5000
0.9000
7.610
0.7430
0.5000
0.9000
7.694
0.7260
0.5000
0.9000
7.777
0.7130
0.5000
0.9000
7.861
0.6940
0.5000
0.9000
7.944
0.6790
0.5000
0.9000
8.028
0.6600
0.5000
0.9000
8.111
0.6410
0.5000
0.9000
8.195
0.6170
0.5000
0.9000
8.279
0.5940
0.5000
0.9000
8.362
0.5690
0.5000
0.9000
8.446
0.5480
0.5000
0.9000
8.529
0.5360
0.5000
0.9000
8.613
0.5130
0.5000
0.9000
8.696
0.4910
0.5000
0.9000
8.780
0.4730
0.1000
0.5000
8.863
0.4530
0.1000
0.5000

Page 17

90
P10
10.87

Label

P90 = 6.7 MM STB P50 = 8.7 MM STB P10 = 10.9 MM ST

134495941.xls.ms_office

8.947
9.030
9.114
9.197
9.281
9.364
9.448
9.531
9.615
9.698
9.782
9.865
9.949
10.032
10.116
10.200
10.283
10.367
10.450
10.534
10.617
10.701
10.784
10.868
10.951
11.035
11.118
11.202
11.285
11.369
11.452
11.536
11.619
11.703
11.786
11.870
11.953
12.037
12.120
12.204
12.288
12.371
12.455
12.538
12.622
12.705
12.789
12.872
12.956

0.4330
0.4190
0.3930
0.3730
0.3520
0.3330
0.3190
0.3070
0.2930
0.2720
0.2550
0.2480
0.2310
0.2090
0.1960
0.1790
0.1670
0.1530
0.1420
0.1320
0.1220
0.1110
0.1010
0.0930
0.0790
0.0700
0.0610
0.0540
0.0500
0.0420
0.0380
0.0340
0.0310
0.0240
0.0220
0.0210
0.0200
0.0160
0.0130
0.0100
0.0080
0.0030
0.0030
0.0030
0.0020
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.5000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000
0.1000

Page 18

134495941.xls.ms_office

MM STB

P90 = 6.7 MM STB P50 = 8.7 MM STB P10 = 10.9 MM STB

Page 19

Field
Field 88
Fault/Block
Block 99
Reservoir
Reservoir 100
Field 88 - Block 99 ; Reservoir 100 : STOIIP (MM STB)
Field 88 - Block 99 ; Reservoir 100 : Oil Reserves (MM STB)
Field 88 - Block 99 ; Reservoir 100 : Remaining Oil Reserves (MM STB)