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Expected Wins For 2013 NCAA Tournament
Expected Wins For 2013 NCAA Tournament
Louisville
Wisconsin
Georgetown
Creighton
St. Mary's
Iowa St.
Colorado
Belmont
Davidson
Akron
UCLA
Iona
ro32
100%
68%
90%
77%
25%
58%
53%
47%
44%
35%
39%
6%
s16
77%
49%
56%
37%
12%
18%
15%
25%
24%
10%
4%
2%
Jeff
Indiana
Michigan
Syracuse
Pittsburgh
Minnesota
North Carolina
Bucknell
Memphis
Colorado St.
La Salle
Valparaiso
Pacific
ro32
100%
87%
90%
59%
61%
64%
58%
40%
52%
15%
21%
5%
s16
87%
60%
62%
15%
10%
13%
26%
17%
12%
4%
6%
1%
Mark
Florida
Miami (FL)
Michigan St.
Arizona
Butler
Oklahoma St.
North Carolina St
Notre Dame
Missouri
Cincinnati
New Mexico St.
Florida Gulf Coast
ro32
96%
95%
79%
53%
42%
64%
68%
42%
48%
23%
27%
10%
s16
85%
73%
45%
30%
16%
38%
11%
10%
10%
5%
8%
3%
Michael
Gonzaga
Ohio St.
New Mexico
ro32
100%
94%
81%
s16
78%
71%
41%
e8 f4
title game champ Exp. Wins Seed Pts Exp. Points
63% 41%
23%
11%
3.16
1
2
6.32
16% 9%
4%
1%
1.46
5
3
4.38
14% 5%
2%
1%
1.67
2
2
3.34
23% 11%
5%
2%
1.55
7
4
6.20
4% 1%
0%
0%
0.43
11
5
2.15
9% 2%
1%
0%
0.87
10
4
3.48
7% 1%
0%
0%
0.76
10
4
3.04
9% 2%
1%
0%
0.84
11
5
4.20
8% 2%
0%
0%
0.78
14
6
4.68
2% 0%
0%
0%
0.48
12
5
2.40
2% 0%
0%
0%
0.46
6
3
1.38
0% 0%
0%
0%
0.08
15
6
0.48
Total
42.05
e8 f4
title game champ Exp. Wins Seed Pts Exp. Points
70% 55%
31%
19%
3.62
1
2
7.24
30% 11%
5%
2%
1.95
4
3
5.85
19% 10%
3%
1%
1.85
4
3
5.55
8% 4%
2%
1%
0.89
8
4
3.56
5% 1%
0%
0%
0.78
11
5
3.90
4% 1%
0%
0%
0.81
8
4
3.24
9% 2%
0%
0%
0.95
11
5
4.75
5% 1%
0%
0%
0.64
6
3
1.92
7% 3%
1%
0%
0.75
8
4
3.00
0% 0%
0%
0%
0.19
13
5
0.95
1% 0%
0%
0%
0.28
14
6
1.68
0% 0%
0%
0%
0.06
15
6
0.36
Total
42.00
e8 f4
title game champ Exp. Wins Seed Pts Exp. Points
72% 52%
34%
22%
3.61
3
2
7.22
54% 21%
8%
3%
2.55
2
2
5.10
18% 7%
3%
1%
1.52
3
2
3.04
12% 3%
1%
0%
1.01
6
3
3.03
4% 1%
0%
0%
0.64
6
3
1.92
11% 4%
1%
0%
1.18
5
3
3.54
5% 2%
1%
0%
0.86
8
4
3.44
4% 1%
0%
0%
0.56
7
4
2.24
6% 2%
1%
0%
0.67
9
4
2.68
2% 0%
0%
0%
0.31
10
4
1.24
1% 0%
0%
0%
0.36
13
5
1.80
0% 0%
0%
0%
0.13
15
6
0.78
Total
36.03
e8 f4
title game champ Exp. Wins Seed Pts Exp. Points
63% 48%
31%
18%
3.37
1
2
6.74
48% 21%
11%
4%
2.5
2
2
5.00
17% 5%
2%
0%
1.45
3
2
2.90
Saint Louis
Virginia Comm
Marquette
Oklahoma
Oregon
Villanova
California
South Dakota St.
Northwestern St.
73%
65%
56%
43%
36%
36%
33%
13%
4%
Kyle
Kansas
Duke
Kansas St.
San Diego St.
Nevada Las Vegas
Illinois
Wichita St.
Montana
Mississippi
Harvard
Temple
Albany
ro32
99%
96%
64%
57%
67%
47%
41%
10%
32%
19%
32%
4%
38% 10%
27% 9%
33% 13%
16% 2%
16% 3%
4% 1%
9% 1%
3% 0%
1% 0%
3%
3%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1.26
1.05
1.05
0.62
0.55
0.42
0.43
0.17
0.05
7
5
3
10
12
9
12
16
14
s16 e8 f4
title game champ Exp. Wins Seed
83% 53% 24%
12%
6%
2.77
1
57% 39% 21%
10%
4%
2.28
2
24% 4% 2%
1%
0%
0.95
4
25% 5% 1%
0%
0%
0.88
13
27% 5% 2%
1%
0%
1.02
5
11% 5% 1%
0%
0%
0.63
7
7% 4% 2%
1%
0%
0.55
9
2% 0% 0%
0%
0%
0.13
13
17% 3% 1%
0%
0%
0.54
12
4% 0% 0%
0%
0%
0.23
14
2% 1% 0%
0%
0%
0.35
9
1% 0% 0%
0%
0%
0.04
16
4
5.04
3
3.15
2
2.10
4
2.48
5
2.75
4
1.68
5
2.15
6
1.02
6
0.30
Total
35.31
Pts Exp. Points
2
5.54
2
4.56
3
2.85
5
4.40
3
3.06
4
2.52
4
2.20
5
0.65
5
2.70
6
1.38
4
1.40
6
0.24
Total
31.50