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The World Rubber Industry - Review and Prospects To 2020 - Stephen Evans PDF
The World Rubber Industry - Review and Prospects To 2020 - Stephen Evans PDF
Themes
Data Sources
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
1000
800
PC
600
LCV
M/HCV
400
200
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
PC
LCV
40
M/HCV
30
20
10
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Commercial
Vehicles
2008
-4.7
-1.4
2009
-12.4
-22.7
2010
20.1
29.9
2011
7.4
18.3
2012
6.6
8.3
2015
3.8
0.3
2018
-0.2
-3.9
2020
1.6
2.1
(% per annum)
PC
LCV
200
M/HCV
150
100
50
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
PC
LCV
600
M/HCV
400
200
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Commercial
Vehicle Tyres
2008
-2.6
-0.9
2009
-5.4
-10.3
2010
10.6
16.2
2011
6.1
11.0
2012
5.5
8.2
2015
4.0
4.0
2018
1.9
0.8
2020
3.5
4.8
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
1995
Tyres 21.4
2000
2005
2010
2015
Total 33.9
2020
Tyres 11.4
2010
2015
2020
Total 15.4
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2005
Tyres 9.9
2010
2015
General Rubber Goods 8.6
2020
Total 18.5
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Total 33.9
2020
20
15
10
5
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Total 21.3
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Total 33.9
IMF
Total 33.9
2020
Annual Growth
%
2008
22.8
-2.5
2009
21.1
-7.5
2010
24.3
15.3
2011
25.8
6.3
2012
27.3
5.5
2015
30.4
3.6
2018
32.5
0.2
2020
33.9
3.3
Rubber Consumption,
(KT)
30000
25000
20000
China
Europe
15000
India
Japan
USA
10000
Global
5000
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Consumption
Natural Rubber
Volume
MT
Annual Growth
%
2008
10.2
0.0
2009
9.3
-9.1
2010
10.7
15.0
2011
11.2
4.6
2012
11.6
3.9
2015
13.1
4.3
2018
14.4
1.5
2020
15.4
4.1
Consumption
Synthetic Rubber
Volume
MT
Annual Growth
%
2008
12.6
-4.7
2009
11.8
-6.3
2010
13.6
15.6
2011
14.7
7.6
2012
15.7
6.7
2015
17.3
3.0
2018
18.1
-0.8
2020
18.5
2.7
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
5000
2500
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1975
1980
1985
<0-6>
1990
<7-13>
1995
<14-20>
2000
<21-27>
2005
2010
<28-34>
2015
<35 +>
2020
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1975
1980
1985
<0-6>
1990
<7-13>
1995
<14-20>
2000
<21-27>
2005
2010
<28-34>
2015
<35 +>
2020
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
1980
1985
<35 +>
1990
<28-34>
1995
<21-27>
2000
2005
<14-20>
2010
<7-13>
2015
<0-6>
2020
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1975
1980
<35 +>
1985
<28-34>
1990
1995
<21-27>
2000
<14-20>
2005
2010
<7-13>
<0-6>
2015
2020
800
600
400
200
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
ABS
5000
Adiponitrile
4000
Synthetic
Rubber
Others
3000
2000
1000
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
10000
BD Production
8000
BD Demand
C4 Supply
6000
4000
2000
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0.90
0.80
Bitumen
Gas oil
Gasoline
Fuel gas
Butadiene
Butylene
Propylene
Ethylene
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
Ethane
Propane
Butane
Naphtha
Gas Oil
13000
12000
Actual Production
11000
Demand
10000
Negative Factors
New Surge NP
9000
Normal Production
8000
7000
6000
Actual Production
12000
Demand
10000
Nameplate
Capacity
8000
6000
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
BR
BD
1500
Crude
1000
500
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
100
80
60
40
20
0
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
5.0
4.0
NR-Crude
SR-Crude
3.0
BD-Crude
SR-BD
NR-BD
2.0
NR-SR
1.0
0.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Conclusions