Weather Briefing- 9am EDT June 5th, 2013

T.D. or low expected to move into the eastern Big Bend early Friday. We could see tropical storm formation, but overall system will likely remain sheared and fairly disorganized. Specific impacts (depend on evolution): Heavy rain (~1-2 most areas, 3-4+ eastern Bend into far south central GA where local amounts could be much higher.) Limited direct impact over se AL/sw GA/much of Panhandle unless system moves west of current forecast. 2-3 increase in coastal tide Apalachee Bay, 9-11 seas offshore. Timing: Thursday into Friday morning

50%

- Disorganized area of clouds and moisture at this time. - 50% chance of development next 48 hrs.

-Various model solutions for eventual track of the system. -Most models keep system below TS strength.

Weather Briefing- 9am EDT June 5th, 2013

30%

- General rainfall expected through Saturday morning. - Local amounts could be much higher in the eastern Bend.

-2-3 increase above normal tides psbl in the Bay, 1 or less elsewhere Friday morning. - Offshore seas increasing to 9-11.

Discussion: Area of low pressure remains poorly defined early this morning. However an area of thunderstorms increased overnight near the center. Overall forecast remains unchanged, although there is now a 50% chance of development into a TD in the next 48 hrs. Heavy rainfall, especially near any intense thunderstorm flareups, could produce flooding. Greatest likelihood of this would be eastern Bend into far s-central GA Thursday into Friday morning. Could see 2-3 increase above normal tides in Apalachee Bay.