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  • Forecasting Method

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    vscmourya
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    The document presents a regression analysis of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Labour from January 2012 to December 2023. It includes the original and forecasted monthly CPI values based on regression analysis up to April 2013. The sample taken was CPI of Labour and the method used was regression. The regression output includes values such as the slope (β), intercept (α), sum of squares for x (Sxx), sum of squares for y (Syy), and sum of products (Sxy) which are used to forecast future CPI values based on past trends.

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    Forecasting Method by regression method for price indices

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    The document presents a regression analysis of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Labour from January 2012 to December 2023. It includes the original and forecasted monthly CPI values based on regression analysis up to April 2013. The sample taken was CPI of Labour and the method used was regression. The regression output includes values such as the slope (β), intercept (α), sum of squares for x (Sxx), sum of squares for y (Syy), and sum of products (Sxy) which are used to forecast future CPI values based on past trends.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    22 views5 pages

    Forecasting Method

    Uploaded by

    vscmourya
    The document presents a regression analysis of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of Labour from January 2012 to December 2023. It includes the original and forecasted monthly CPI values based on regression analysis up to April 2013. The sample taken was CPI of Labour and the method used was regression. The regression output includes values such as the slope (β), intercept (α), sum of squares for x (Sxx), sum of squares for y (Syy), and sum of products (Sxy) which are used to forecast future CPI values based on past trends.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 5

    Price Indices Forecast

    Sample take = CPI of Labour


    Method Used = Regression

    Sno Month
    1
    Jan-12
    2
    Feb-12
    3
    Mar-12
    4
    Apr-12
    5 May-12
    6
    Jun-12
    7
    Jul-12
    8
    Aug-12
    9
    Sep-12
    10
    Oct-12
    11
    Nov-12
    12
    Dec-12
    13
    Jan-13
    14
    Feb-13
    15
    Mar-13
    16
    Apr-13
    17 May-13
    18
    Jun-13
    19
    Jul-13
    20
    Aug-13
    21
    Sep-13
    22
    Oct-13
    23
    Nov-13
    24
    Dec-13

    Forecasted based on Values upto


    Original Provisional
    Apr
    Mar-13
    198
    199
    201
    205
    205
    0
    208
    0
    212
    0
    214
    0
    215
    0
    217
    0
    218
    0
    219
    0
    221
    223
    224
    226
    227.42
    229.35
    231.29
    233.23
    235.16
    237.10
    239.03
    0.00

    t
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24

    n
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24

    2.08

    1.94

    n *(n 1)
    S xy n iDi
    2
    i 1

    Sxx

    S xx

    Sxy

    iDi

    n
    * Di
    i 1

    n(iDi)

    Di

    2nd part Sxy D bar

    n2 (n 1) (2n 1
    n2 n 1

    6
    4

    195.73

    1716

    3570

    16619

    199428

    2511

    195858

    209.25

    196.45

    4200

    8130

    25974

    389610

    3179

    381480

    211.933

    S xx

    n2 (n 1) (2n 1
    n2 n 1

    6
    4

    n *(n 1)
    S xy n iDi
    2
    i 1

    n
    * Di
    i 1

    n 1

    a D b
    2

    S
    b xy
    S xx

    Price Indices Forecast


    Sample take = CPI of Labour
    Method Used = Regression

    Sno Month
    1
    Jan-12
    2
    Feb-12
    3
    Mar-12
    4
    Apr-12
    5 May-12
    6
    Jun-12
    7
    Jul-12
    8
    Aug-12
    9
    Sep-12
    10
    Oct-12
    11
    Nov-12
    12
    Dec-12
    13
    Jan-13
    14
    Feb-13
    15
    Mar-13
    16
    Apr-13
    17 May-13
    18
    Jun-13
    19
    Jul-13
    20
    Aug-13
    21
    Sep-13
    22
    Oct-13
    23
    Nov-13
    24
    Dec-13

    Forecasted based on Values upto


    Original Provisional
    Apr Dec
    198
    199
    201
    205
    205
    0
    208
    0
    212
    0
    214
    0
    215
    0
    217
    0
    218
    0
    219
    0
    221
    211.2
    223
    218.4
    224
    225.9
    226

    0.15
    0.20

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20

    Gi

    1.95
    2.38
    2.74
    2.985

    n *(n 1)
    S xy n iDi
    2
    i 1

    Si

    Sxx

    S xx

    204.71
    208.82
    212.97
    216.95

    Sxy

    iDi

    n(iDi)

    Di

    n
    * Di
    i 1

    2nd part Sxy D bar

    n2 (n 1) (2n 1
    n2 n 1

    6
    4

    336

    656

    7768

    62144

    1708

    61488

    213.5

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