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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity For The Private Sector in The Dominican Republic
Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity For The Private Sector in The Dominican Republic
Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
A Vision for 2030
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Author’s Contact:
Carlos Rymer
US: 551-556-0189
DR: 809-272-2101
E-mail: carlos.rymer@gmail.com
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Table of Contents
Summary…………………………………………………………………….. 3
1. Biodiesel……………………………………………………………... 10
2. Biomass…………………………………………………………….... 11
3. Ethanol………………………………………………………………. 12
4. Hydro………………………………………………………………... 13
5. Solar…………………………………………………………………. 14
6. Wind…………………………………………………………………. 16
1. Renewable Electricity……………………………………………….. 18
2. Renewable Fuels…………………………………………………….. 19
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Summary
In the 21st century, perhaps the biggest challenge the world faces is
climate change. While climate change impacts are projected to continue
and become more severe, the Dominican Republic has the opportunity to
become independent of imported energy sources and to secure a
renewable energy economy that creates jobs, shows international
leadership, and promotes strong economic growth.
Recently, the government has made clear its support for a
renewable energy economy with passage of ground-breaking legislation
that provides incentives for a national shift towards secure, homegrown,
renewable energy sources. With these incentives, the private sector has
modestly begun to invest in this arena, securing long-term profits and
stability in energy prices. Now, the domestic and international private
sectors have a lucrative business opportunity.
This is a chance to enjoy of the incentives dominant sectors, such
as tourism, have had in the past, this time by joining the race to supply
the nation’s total demand with renewable energy. Using funds collected
from their total annual revenues and investment capital, the private
sectors can lead the nation into a climate neutral status by 2030 or earlier
with significant investments in renewable energy. The benefits of such
an opportunity far outweigh the costs, both to the private sectors and the
nation. This is a chance to secure strong job growth, lower and stable
energy prices, and a vibrant, growing Dominican economy.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
1
IPCC. 2007. Summary for Policymakers of the Synthesis Report of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report.
UNFCCC.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
2
Brown, Lester R. 2007. Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing To Save Civilization. Norton, W. W. & Company, Inc.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
High sea level rise would severely damage the major tourism areas and cities
like Santo Domingo, San Pedro de Macoris, La Romana, Puerto Plata, and
Montecristi, and increased storm intensity would cause major agricultural failures
and mining problems in vulnerable areas. According to conservative estimates, the
world economy will likely suffer a loss of 15% of GDP per year by the end of the
century as a result of climate change.3 In the Dominican Republic, which is
expected to be severely impacted by sea level rise, more severe drought, and more
intense storms, the cost of climate change to the economy could be higher due to
the country’s particularly high vulnerability.
Climate change is likely the largest threat the Dominican economy faces
over the long term. Adapting to the effects of climate change to which we’re
already committed is important, but more important is ensuring that we minimize
the risks associated with climate change impacts on the economy. The only way to
accomplish that goal is to eliminate man-made greenhouse gas emissions.
Fortunately, the solutions to these are becoming mainstream around the world.
33
Stern, Nicholas. 2006. The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change. UK Treasury.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
4
Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century. 2007. Renewables 2007: Global Status Report.
WorldWatch Institute.
5
Floyd, Nancy. 2007. Speech at the 2007 Renewable Energy Financial Forum – Wall Street. American Council on
Renewable Energy. Available at: http://www.acore.org/reff/2007/txt/d1s5_floyd.php.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Biodiesel
Biodiesel also reduces carbon dioxide and other polluting emissions by more
than 70%, according to a study conducted by the U.S. Departments of Agriculture
and Energy. The fuel has also been found to improve engine performance and
lifetime, giving significant benefits to users.7 Today, it is typically produced from
corn, palm oil, rapeseed, and soybean, but new feedstocks are increasingly being
used as well, including algae, Jatropha, and waste cooking oil. The production
costs range from a low of $1.00 per gallon to a high of over $3.00 per gallon.
6
Canadian Renewable Fuels Association. Biodiesel FAQ. http://www.greenfuels.org/biofaq.php. Last Accessed:
September 16, 2007.
7
National Biodiesel Board. 2007. Biodiesel Basics. http://www.biodiesel.org/resources/biodiesel_basics/. Last
Accessed: November 12, 2007.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
little competition in the developing world.8 The figure below shows the growth in
biodiesel production in the period 2000-2005:
Biomass
Biomass is a primary source of energy for over 2 billion people around the
world. It is easily available for the world’s poor and meets critical cooking and
heating needs. In the best cases, biomass can be harvested sustainably to secure
long-term supply and jobs. Biomass is derived from plant products, and can readily
be used as a source of energy when burned or can be collected in large amounts for
large-scale power production.
In 2001, biomass energy accounted for 11% of the world’s total energy
consumption, according to 2003 International Energy Agency’s energy status
report. The regions with a large share of energy consumption derived from biomass
are Africa, Asia, and Latin America. As a share of total renewable energy use,
8
Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century. 2007.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
biomass accounts for more than half, with a large portion not going to
transportation or electricity generation. Global biomass use is not expected to grow
significantly over the next decade.9
Ethanol
Ethanol is an automotive fuel derived from several plant products and other
materials. It is an alternative to petroleum-derived gasoline and is increasingly
being used around the world. It is typically derived from such feedstocks as sugar
cane, corn, soybeans, and plant cellulose. Ethanol can be blended with gasoline
and run on flex-fuel vehicles, which run on both gasoline and ethanol. Total world
output of ethanol is growing rapidly due to particularly high oil prices.
Globally, Brazil has led ethanol production since the 1970s, when the
government began pushing large-scale production in response to high oil prices.10
The United States, which recently passed legislation that requires ethanol output
increases rapidly, is also a major ethanol producer, although its market is
experiencing criticisms due to food substitution for fuel and market price
fluctuations due to an oversupply. The graph below shows the total ethanol output
globally and by major ethanol producers. In 2007, about 44 billion liters of ethanol
were produced globally with prices in the range of $1.50 and $3.00.11
9 Karekezi, Stephen; Lata, Kusum, Coelho, Suani T. 2004. Traditional Biomass Energy: Improving its Use and
Moving to Modern Energy Use. International Conference for Renewable Energies, Bonn.
10
Moreira, Jose R. y Goldemberg, Jose. 1999. El Programa de Alcohol. Energy Policy 27: 229-245.
11 Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21 st Century. 2007.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Hydro
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
12
Zupanc, N. et al. 2007. 2007 Survey of Energy Resources. World Energy Council.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
the world several times over. Appropriate technological development could spur
solar energy to become the main source of energy for society.
In 2007 alone, the total installed capacity grew from 7.5GW to 11.6GW. The
market for solar photovoltaic is growing at 50-60% per year, and emerging markets
are opening up opportunities for further growth.13 Countries of strong development
include California and other U.S. states, Germany, Japan, and most recently China
and Spain. In terms of prices for solar electricity, they range between $0.15-0.30
per kW-hr, with some new technologies and improved market structure promising
to cut costs by 40-60% within the next few years.14 The graph below shows the
growth in total installed capacity globally for solar photovoltaic.
13
Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century. 2007.
14
Division of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. 2006. DOE Solar Energy Technologies Program:
Overview and Highlights. U.S. Department of Energy.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Solar thermal heating is also on the rise. In 2007, it grew from 103 in 2006
to 121 GWth, particularly with the expanding Chinese market.15 Solar thermal
power has been growing more slowly, but may prove to be much more promising.
Emerging companies are developing manufacturing plants and improving the
technology to quickly deploy solar thermal power. In the United States, for
example, companies are working to build large solar thermal power plants in the
sunny deserts to generate over 1GW of capacity over the next few years at current
market prices.16
Wind
15
Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century. 2007.
16
Press Release. 2007. FPL Group plans to boost U.S. solar energy production. Available at:
http://www.fplgroup.com/news/contents/2007/092607.shtml.
17
Teske, Sven, y Zervos, Arthouros. 2006. Global Wind Energy Outlook 2006. Global Wind Energy Council.
18
Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century. 2007.
19
UN Development Program. 2004. World Energy Assessment. United Nations.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
of global electricity demand by mid-century just with current incentives. The graph
below shows the increasing growth of global installed capacity for wind energy.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
In May 2007, the Dominican government passed the Law for Renewable
Energy Incentives and Special Regimes, the first of its kind in all of Latin
America. The law makes the Dominican Republic a hotspot for renewable energy
investments, and hopes to alleviate the country’s energy problems over the long
term. Among the main provisions are a feed-in tariff modeled after Germany’s and
the exemption from all taxes.
Renewable Electricity
The renewable energy law creates the appropriate regulatory framework and
incentive opportunities for the deployment of large-scale renewable energy
technologies that generate electricity. Below are the key provisions of the law for
companies, cooperatives, associations, and any other body wishing to invest in
renewable electricity production within the country:20
20
El Congreso Nacional. 2007. Ley No. 57-07 de Incentivo a las Energias Renovables y Regimenes Especiales.
Republica Dominicana.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
A feed-in tariff based on the marginal cost of distribution and the positive
externalities of the specific renewable energy technologies; and
Renewable Fuels
Exemption from all taxes as with electricity, except for such cases where
biofuels are exported but not produced using local resources. Tax
exemptions will also expire and be subject to renewal once biofuels meet
20% of national demand in each of the different biofuel markets;
A feed-in tariff similar to the one used for electricity producers; and
A requirement that all petrofuels vendors take any biofuel produced within
the country for sales.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
In the Dominican Republic, agriculture has largely been the dominant sector
in the country for a long time. In the 20th century, however, the economy
diversified dramatically to include mining, manufacturing (including local),
tourism, and other services. Together, these sectors make up virtually 100% of the
gross domestic product (GDP).
21
2006. Dominican Republic: Tourism and Travel Economic Research Team. World Travel and Tourism Council.
22
World Factbook. 2007. CIA. Available at: http://www.cia.gov.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
In the next two decades, demand will grow substantially due to economic
growth. By the year 2030, it is assumed that total electricity demand will grow at
the historical rate of 500 GW-hr per year to about 25,000 GW-hrs.24 By the same
year, it is assumed that total fuel demand for transportation and other non-grid uses
23
Empresa de Generacion Hidroelectrica Dominicana. 2006. Plan de Expansion 2006-2012. CDEEE.
24
From 1990 to 2005, total electricity demand grew by about 7,500 GW-hrs, according to the Corporacion
Dominicana de Empresas Electricas Estatales. Total demand in 2007 was about 13,500 GW-hrs.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
will grow at the same historical rate for electricity of about 3% per year to 1.9
billion gallons.25 The table below summarizes these values.
In the first scenario, the mix of electricity sources is as follows: 40% solar
thermal power; 30% onshore wind, 20% hydro, and 10% solar photovoltaic. The
mix for fuel sources is as follows: 100% ethanol as a gasoline substitute and 100%
biodiesel as a petrodiesel substitute. In the second scenario, the mix of electricity
sources is as follows: 40% solar thermal power, 20% onshore wind, 20% hydro,
10% photovoltaic, 5% offshore wind, and 5% marine. Ethanol and biodiesel shares
remain equal. The difference in these scenarios is the application of offshore wind
and marine energy technologies, which are still in development but are very
promising. The tables below summarize the capacity factors for these technologies,
their required installed capacities under each scenario, the estimated revenues
under actual production costs, and the required investments.
25
This is the future value of demand at a growth rate of 3% (for electricity sector) and with a present value of 620
million gallons of fuel. This includes diesel, gasoline, and liquefied petroleum gas.
26
These estimates exclude any significant efforts to dramatically increase energy efficiency and reduce demand.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
Sources: World Energy Council, Intellexi S.A., U.S. Department of Energy, U.S.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Electric Power Research Institute,
Australian Institute of Energy
27 World Energy Council. 2004. World Energy Assessment: 2004 Update. UNDP and World Energy Council.
28
There is a total installed capacity of 460MW today, with 750MW in the pipeline.
29
With new, cheaper storage technologies, the capacity factor for some companies has doubled.
30
Given potential future costs and an absence of government incentives.
31 Based on a recent investment made in the Dominican Republic by Infinity Bioenergy.
32
Capacity factor for offshore wind is about 45%.
33
Better energy storage is currently in development, so costs are expected to decrease. In addition, this is an
estimated capacity, not a confirmed capacity based on intermittency. Government support may supply storage in the
future if necessary.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
As the tables above show, by 2030 the Dominican Republic will require a
total installed renewable energy capacity of nearly 6GW, will likely need some
capacity for energy storage, and will need to supply about 650 million gallons of
biodiesel and 1.25 billion gallons of ethanol annually.34 This will require a total
investment of about $18 billion over 20 years beginning in 2010 ($900 million per
year, or 27% of 2006 total investments), excluding energy storage investment
costs. This investment will directly represent 7% of gross domestic product in 2030
under a constant 5% growth rate. On the other hand, the economic benefits to both
consumers and producers will be substantial. The tables below show the potential
consumer savings, economic profits (in terms of return on investment rates), and
jobs created due to these investments.
Consumer Savings
Electricity Fuels
Renewable Energy Market $0.09/kW-hr $1.4/gallon
Price35 (2030)
Business-as Usual Market $0.15/kW-hr $3/gallon37
Price36 (2030)
Total Annual Savings (2030) $1.5 billion $3 billion
Total Accumulated Savings $12.4 billion $24.75 billion39
(2020-2030)38
34
According to the National Energy Commission, about 550,000 hectares of land is available for sugarcane
production (350,000 existing). At a conservative estimate of 7000 liters/hectare, this is enough to produce 1.4 billion
gallons of ethanol. Issues related to sugar production will be present, however, requiring improvements in vehicle
efficiency and public transportation to reduce ethanol and biodiesel demand.
35
To distributors.
36
Excludes increasing oil and natural gas prices and new coal without CO2 capture and storage.
37
Assumes 40% petroleum liquid gas, 34% diesel, 20% gasoline, and 6% premium gasoline, given a push for higher
natural gas and diesel use.
38 Assuming incentives expire in 2020.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
40
According to the U.S. Department of Energy and Industry Associations, O&M costs are about $0.01-0.015/kW-hr,
$1.2/gallon, and $0.85/gallon for renewable electricity, biodiesel, and ethanol.
41
The compensation values for each renewable energy technology have not yet been issues by the National
Commission of Energy. However, to be conservative, 50% of the average premium given in Germany to renewable
energies was given here to each renewable energy technology. For the fuels, no premium values were set.
42
A large portion, sometimes up to 50% of these jobs are protected rather than created. Numbers are based on
Brazilian, Canadian, and European industry statistics.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
In the late 1960s, tourism in the Dominican Republic took off with the
passage of legislation that gave tourism businesses tax breaks and other
government incentives in the form of infrastructure.43 Tourism investments
increased dramatically, making the country a key destination for tourists from
many regions around the world. Today, tourism hotspots like Casa de Campo,
Punta Cana, Las Terrenas, Boca Chica, and Puerto Plata are well-known
internationally and contribute greatly to employment and economic activities.
In the first decade of the 21st century, we face the challenges of climate
change and energy security. We’ve long been dependent on foreign sources of
energy, and now the energy bill is becoming larger year by year, with serious
effects to economic growth. The Dominican Republic has shown its capacity to
create dynamic economic sectors. Now, with landmark renewable energy
43
El Congreso Nacional. 1966. Ley No. 541 Organica de Turismo de la Republica Dominicana. Republica
Dominicana.
44
Asociacion Dominicana de Zonas Francas. 2003. Website available at: http://www.adozona.org/esp/default.asp.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
legislation, it is time to create a dynamic renewable energy industry that will create
and protect jobs, reduce and stabilize energy prices, strengthen economic growth,
and show real leadership on climate change through carbon neutrality.
fund businesses that will be highly successful in this field. Therefore, a Renewable
Energy Capital Fund based on private equity could potentially generate the
investment capital over the years to produce a strong renewable energy industry.
Finally, to avoid conflicts with land acquisition and potential competition for
land use, the private sector must work with the government to assess all the areas
where renewable energy technologies can be deployed and feedstocks for biofuels
can be grown. This information would be best put to use if it were publicly
45
Renewable Energy Stocks. 2007. Available at:
http://www.renewableenergystocks.com/Companies/RenewableEnergy/Funds-and-Venture-Capital-Investing.asp.
46
With $900 million required in investments per year and return rates of 30%, $3 billion is the necessary initial
amount of capital required to sustain continued investments.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
available and if land under private ownership but open to use were also placed on a
geographic information system based tool. Ideally, this would be accompanied
with a database of government and private contacts for available lands.
Conclusion
With landmark legislation that removes taxes, puts in place a feed-in tariff,
and provides other lucrative incentives, a renewable energy industry is set to
explode in the Dominican Republic. Current incentives are set to last at least 10
years, providing annual return on investment rates of between 20-45%, and higher
rates in some cases. The potential to develop high-growth business is clearly
present. In order to reach the goal of carbon neutrality, an investment of $18 billion
may be required by 2030. Consequently, consumers will potentially save over $30
billion by 2030, economic growth will be significantly bolstered, and nearly 1
million jobs will be created or permanently protected.
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Renewable Energy: A Business Opportunity for the Private Sector in the Dominican Republic
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