Days in Question

July 9 and July 14, 2009

March 4, 2010
March 24, 2010
July 22, 2010
March 1, March 13 and March 14, 2011
April 13, 2011
May 13, 2011
June 30, 2011
September 8 and September 15, 2011
October 12 and October 25, 2011
Feb.28, 2012
June 19 and June 29, 2012

Billing Cycle

23-Jul-09
23-Mar-10
23-Apr-10
23-Jul-10
23-Mar-11
23-Apr-11
5-Jun-11
5-Jul-11
5-Oct-11
5-Nov-11
5-Mar-12
5-Jul-12

Total
Monthly
Texts
76
119
119
117
136
122
186
270
137
156
166
239

Total as % of
Mean Texts
St. Dev.
Avg Monthly
per Day
Daily Texting
Texts
2.53
3.97
3.97
3.90
4.53
4.07
6.20
9.00
4.57
5.20
5.53
7.97

49.48%
77.48%
77.48%
76.18%
88.55%
79.44%
121.11%
175.80%
89.20%
101.57%
108.08%
155.62%

StDev(monthly)
52.7501317
Mean(monthly)
153.583333
StDev (daily)=StDev(monthly)/(30^(1/1.7))=7.13392751
Note: Probability of text=0 on any given day based on truncated normal distribution for the parameters
X=0
Min=0
Max=Total texts per month/5
Mu=Mean(text per day in month X)
Sigma=StDev(daily)*Month total/Mu
Probability Mass Function

3.53
5.53
5.53
5.43
6.32
5.67
8.64
12.54
6.36
7.25
7.71
11.10

Probability
of Zero Texts
on Any
Given Date
11.44%
7.31%
7.31%
7.43%
6.40%
7.13%
4.68%
3.22%
6.35%
5.58%
5.24%
3.64%

Probability:
Odds:

# Days in
Question

Prob. Zero Texts on all Days in

Question
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
1
2
2
1
2

1.31%
7.31%
7.31%
7.43%
0.03%
7.13%
4.68%
3.22%
0.40%
0.31%
5.24%
0.13%

1.26922E-22
1 in 7.87882370760365E+21