- 2008 2 6-

01/28 .

, 2008

1. ............................................................................................... 3
2. , , .................................................. 3
3. ........................... .............................. 4
4. ............................................................................... 5
4.1. , ,
.............................................................................................. 5
4.2. ,
....................................................................................................6
5. .....................................8
6. - , ..................................................10
6.1 - , ..........................................10
6.2 - ....................... ................10
7. , .............................................11
7.1. ....................................................................11
7.2. ............................................................................13
8. , .........................................14
8.1 ......................................................14
8.2 ................................................... 15
9. ..........................................15
9.1.2 .................................................................... 15
9.1.3 .......................................................... 16
9.1.4 ................................................................ 17
9.1.5 ........................................................................ 17
9.1.6 ........................................................................19
9.2. - ..........................................................19

.
()

.
1987 "-
,
" .
,
, ,
, , ,
. -

.
,
,
- .
, , , ,

. -

, 5
.
2. , ,
2.1

, ,
.
, .
, , ,
, . :
, , .

, ,
,
() .

-
, , ,
.

0.2 ,
.

,
. :
-

, ,

,
. ,
,
, , .

2.2 ,

, ,
,
. ,
.
5.0
5.0
.
.
, ,
. - ,
,
. ,
, ,
, .
, ,
.
3.

Y- ,
(-COICOP)- .
, 12 . :
1.
2.
3.
4.

, ,
,
, ,
, , ,

5. ,
6. , ,
7.
8. ,
9. , , ,
10.
11. , ,
12. ,

/ - , /
33 , 77 , 31
, 62 , .
4.

4.1. , ,

. .
, ,
. .

, ,

. ,


.

,
.
. ,
, ,
. ,
5-6 , 3-4 .

, , .

22-28 -, 18-20-
.
7 .
.

, .

.

,
.

.

:
, . 1 ,
1-2 . 2-3
.
,

.

,
.

.
. :

- .

.
.

4.2 ,

-
.
:

(, ). ,
.

, -
,
, .

,
(, .)
.
. :
()-

.
. 1
.

: , .
:
1 .
. :
1 .

: , .
.
1
.
.
.

, -
,
, . :
()
1 . ,
.

( 9-18 )
3 .
3
.
3

, 1-2
1
.

1-2
, .
.

-
.
. : , .

-
. : , ,

. 1-2
.
1 ,
.
,

.
, , ,
() //-
. ,
. :
- , - -
.
- , -
1 /
.
- ,
, 1
.
40 .
- , - 1 2
, 1 .
- - 1
.

()

, .

-
(
, , )

. .
5.

,
.
,
:
I t( /c0) =

Pit Qic
Pi 0 Qic

(1)

I(c)t / 0 t- -() ,
8

Pi t - "i" t - ,
Pi o - "i" 0 - ,
Qi c - "i" ,
-

, .
(c = t)
. -


. , 0 ( =
0) :

I ctL =
,

Pit Qi 0
Pi 0Qi 0

ILc t - t -() ,
Pi t - "i" t - ,
Pi o - "i" 0- ,
Qi 0 - 0- "i" , ,
-

(2) , ,

. ,
,
, . (2)
, Pi o - :

I ctL = (

Pit Pi 0Qi 0
)
Pi 0 Pi 0Qi 0

(3)

(3) ,

,
. :

I ctL = (

(2)

Pit Pit 1
P P
PQ
)(
) ( i 2 )( i1 ) i 0 i 0
Pit 1 Pit 2
Pi1 Pi 0 Pi 0Qi 0

(4)

(4) .
, .
,

, ,
.
.
:

)(

I 1N = E1 * I 1 + E1 * I 1 ... + E1 * I 1 / E1 + E1 + ... E1
1

(5)

:
I 1N - 1
1

E1 -1 1
1

I1 - 1 1
2

E1 - 2 1
2

I1 - 2 1
i

E1 -i- 1
i

I1 - i- 1
i= 1.22 ,

6. - ,
,
() .
6.1 - ,

, -
. :
- , ,
- , ,
,
- , ,
- ,
,
- ,
- () .

6.2 -

10

- .
:
- , .
- ,
,
.
- ,
.
- , ,
, ,
.
- ,
,

.
-
,
.
- ,

, ,
.
7. ,

,
, ,
. 2 . :
-

. ,

.
.

. ,


.
.

. ,
.

7.1.

11

, 2 .
.

.
, ( )
(
) .
,
.
.
, ,
.
.
, , .

(-1):
-1
2005-XII
()
-A
-
-

2005-XII

400
600
500

A*A + *

100
100

110
115

100,000

2005-XII=100
=100

()
2006-I
2006-II

113,000

100

115
120
118,000

113
1.13

118
1.04

2006-III

2006-IV 2006-V

130
125
127,000

135
130

145
137

132,000

140,200

132
1.04

140
1.06

127
1.08

1-

(-2).
.
:
-2
2005-XII
()
-A
-
-

400
600
500

A*A + * + *
2005-XII=100
=100

2005-XII

()
2006-I 2006-II

100
100
100
150,000
100

110
115
113
169,500
113
1.13

2006-III

115
120
118
177,000
118
1.04

130
125
127
190,500
127
1.08

2006-IV

2006-V

135
130
132

145
137
140

198,000

210,300

132
1.04

140.2
1.06

2-

.
-

12

3- :
-3
2005-XII
() 2005-XII
-A
-
-

400
600
500

A*A + * + *

()
2006-II

2006-I

2006-III

2006-IV

2006-V

100
100
100

110
115
110

115
120
115

130
125
130

135
130
135

145
137
145

150,000

168,000

175,500

192,000

199,500

212,700

100

112
1.12

117
1.04

128
1.09

133
1.04

142
1.07

2005-XII=100
=100

7.2.

.
. :
1.
, :
4
-A
-
-
-

2005-XII
10
10
9
12

:
-
-

2006-I
10
10
10
12

2006-II
11
10
11
..
10.67a

10

1.067c

a = (11+10+11)/3
b = (10+10+10)/3
c=a/b

. :
= x =
= 12 x 1.067 = 12.8
2.
:
5
2005-XII

2006-I

2006 -II

13


-
-
-
-

10
10
9
12

10
10
10
12

11
10
11
12.8

10.5

11.2
1.067

,
. ,
.
.
,
. 4- - 2006 2

3 6 .
6

-A
-
-
-
:
-
-

2005-XII

2006-I

2006 -II

10
10
9
12

10
10
10
12

11
10
11
12.8

2006-III
----------

11
10
12
13.2
11a

10.67

1.031c

a = (11+10+12)/3
b = (11+10+11)/3
c=a/b

= x =
= 12.8 x 1.031 = 13.2

8. ,

, .
,
, . -
2000 XII , 2005 XII
, 2005 XII 2006 I
.

8.1.

, (2005 XII ) - -
,
. :

14

K
,

x
c 2000 / 2005

*
I cDec
2005 / Dec 2005
=
I cDec 2005 / Dec 2000

(6)

K cx2000 / 2005 - 2000 XII 2005 XII ,

*
I cDec
2005 / Dec 2005 - - 2005 XII ,

I cDec 2005 / Dec 2000 - - 2000 XII 2005 XII

(6) 100 . ,
2005 12- ,
, .
8.2.

, (2000XII ) , .

I ct* / Dec 2000 = I ct* / Dec 2005 I cDec 2005 / Dec 2000

(7)

,
I ct* / Dec 2000 - t -() 2000 XII

I ct* / Dec 2005 - t -() 2005 XII

I cDec 2005 / Dec 2000 - 2005 XII - () 2000 XII

, ( , )
, , .
9.
9.1.1. - ,

-, Y 287
, , 19 Y- 194
, , , 12
.

,
, , , ,
.

9.1. 2.

15

, ,
. - 1-
: 1
4600.9 ,
262,504.0 12 ,
.
:
- 4600.9 *12 = 55210.8
- 262,504.0 *12 = 3,150,048.2
.

:

100

: 55210.8 / 3,150,048.2 *100= 1.75

0.0175 .
1

, 1-

.

,
4600.9
11281.2
.
262,504.0

,
55,210.8
135,374.3
.
3,150,048.2

0.0175
0.0430
.
1.0000

9.1.3.
,
2005 XII 2006 I-IV :
-2

1. , 1- , 0.1041
2. , 1- , 0.0631
3. ,
0.0025
4. , ,
0.0103
5. ,
0.0015
6. , 120
0.0003
7. ,
0.0026

0.1844

2006 2006 2006

2005-XII
I
II
III
1
2
3
4
720.0
867.0
1020.0
1066.0
774.0
960.0
1035.0
1073.0
600.0
590.0
610.0
760.0
2500.0
2500.0
2477.0
2493.0
3200.0
3200.0
3214.0
3214.0
560.0
560.0
540.0
530.0
835.0
878.0
925.0
925.0

10.41 0.1041
.
16

2005 XII 2006 1

. -3- 1
(2006 I )
(2005 XII) (

Pi1
867
)=(
100) = 120.4 2006 I
720
Pi0
2005 XII 20.4 .


. : 2006 II 2005 XII
:

Pi1
) .
Pi 0

I cL2 = (

Pi , 2006. II
Pi 2 Pi1
)( ) = I 2006. II / 2005. XII = I 2006.I / 2005. XII
Pi1 Pi 0
Pi , 2006.I

1020
= 120.4
= 141.7
867

2006 III :

I ctL = (

Pi 3 Pi 2 Pi1
)( )( ) = 117.6 1.204 1.045 = 141.6 1.045 = 148.1 .
Pi 2 Pi1 Pi 0

,
1. , 1- ,
2. , 1- ,
3. ,
4. , ,
5. ,
6. , 120
7. ,

0.1041
0.0631
0.0025
0.0103
0.0015
0.0003
0.0026

2005-XII
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0

2
2006-II / 2006-III /
2006-I /
2005-XII 2005-XII 2005-XII
120.4
141.7
148.1
124.0
133.7
138.6
98.3
101.7
126.7
100.0
99.1
99.7
100.0
100.4
100.4
100.0
96.4
94.6
105.1
110.8
110.8

1-
2- .

9.1.4.

,
-3-
.
:

17

= 120.4 0.1041 + 124.0 0.0631 + 98.3 0.0025 + 100.0 0.0103 + 100.0 0.0015 + 100.0 0.0003 + 105.1 0.0026 =
0.1041 + 0.0631 + 0.0025 + 0.0103 + 0.0015 + 0.0003 + 0.0026

12.54 + 7.83 + 0.25 +1.03 + 0.15 + 0.03 + 0.27 22.09

=
= 119.80
0.1844
0.1844

-3

1. , 1- ,
2. , 1- ,
3. ,
4. , ,
5. ,
6. , 120
7. ,

0.1041
0.0631
0.0025
0.0103
0.0015
0.0003
0.0026
0.1844

2006-I /

2005-XII

1
2=x1
120.4
12.54
124.0
7.83
98.3
0.25
100.0
1.03
100.0
0.15
100.0
0.03
105.1
0.27
119.8
22.09

119.80 19.8

9.1.5.
.
, 2006 I 2005 XII
.
-4

I-1. ,
I-2. ,
I-3. ,
I-4. , , ,
I-5. ,
I-6.
I-7.

0.1715
0.1844
0.0507
0.0348
0.0519
0.0488
0.0450
0.5871

2006-I /
2005-XII
1
100.1
119.8
105.2
97.1
112.1
103.0
101.7
107.97

2=x1
17.17
22.09
5.33
3.38
5.82
5.03
4.58
63.39

. :

= 100.1 0.1715 + 119.8 0.1844 + 105.2 0.0507 + 97.1 0.0348 + 112.1 0.0519 + 103.0 0.0488 + 101.7 0.0450 =
0.1715 + 0.1844 + 0.0507 + 0.0348 + 0.0519 + 0.0488 + 0.0450

18

17.17 + 22.09 + 5.33 + 3.38 + 5.82 + 5.03 + 4.58 63.39

=
= 107.97
0.5871
0.5871

107.97 7.97 .
9.1.6.

() , .

9.2 -

, ,
, ,
. :

-1,800.0
.,
24.3
(1,800.0 . * 24.3 . = 43,740.0 .) .
1,416,750 . .
:
(43,740.0 . : 1,416,750 . *100= 3.1 ) .
,
. (6)- .
6

,

,
.
1

,
.

,
.

2007-10 %
2006-12

3=(1*2)

1,800.0

24.3

43,740.0

0.0309

113.0

2 -

2,800.0

21.3

59,640.0

0.0421

115.0

1,500.0

21.0

31,500.0

0.0222

110.0

2,200.0

15.0

33,000.0

0.0233

111.0

5 -

2,000.0

15.5

31,000.0

0.0219

115.0
19

1,600.0

14.0

22,400.0

0.0158

116.0

7
8

1,900.0
2,200.0

18.1
12.6

34,390.0
27,720.0

0.0243
0.0196

111.0
111.0

1,900.0

19.9

37,810.0

0.0267

116.0

10

1,900.0

28.8

54,720.0

0.0386

120.0

11

2,700.0

12.8

34,560.0

0.0244

117.0

12

2,500.0

13.3

33,250.0

0.0235

113.0

13

1,900.0

22.2

42,180.0

0.0298

116.0

14

1,500.0

23.3

34,950.0

0.0247

114.0

15

2,700.0

19.8

53,460.0

0.0377

115.0

16

2,000.0

19.4

38,800.0

0.0274

117.0

17

2,800.0

29.7

83,160.0

0.0587

111.0

18

2,700.0

17.9

48,330.0

0.0341

115.0

19 -

1,900.0

22.3

42,370.0

0.0299

116.0

20

2,600.0

215.7

560,820.0

0.3958

113.0

21

3,100.0

20.9

64,790.0

0.0457

118.0

22

1,300.0

3.2

4,160.0

0.0029

114.0

47,500.0

611.0

1,416,750.0

1.0000

114.0

-,
.
. , ,
. //
.

, .

9- (5) 6- 4, 5-
2007 10
, :

20

=
113.0*0.0309+115.0*0.0421+110.0*0.0222+111.0*0.0233+115.0*0.0219+116.0*0.0158+111.0*0.0243+111.0*0.0196+
116.0*0.0267+120.0*0.0386+117.0*0.0244+113.0*0.0235+116.0*0.0298+114.0*0.0247+115.0*0.0377+117.0*0.0274+
111.0*0.0587+115.0*0.0341+116.0*0.0299+113.0*0.3958+118.0*0.0457+114.0*0.0029
0.0309+0.0421+0.0222+0.0233+0.0219+0.0158+0.0243+0.0196+0.0267+0.0386+0.0244+0.0235+0.0298+0.0247+
0.0377+0.0274+0.0587+0.0341+0.0299+0.3958+0.0457+0.0029
113.99
=

1.0000

= 114.0

2007 10 2006
114.0 14.0 .

21