Xt mt h thng chun on bnh t ng s dng pp Bayes ngy th.

Vic
chun on da trn 4 triu chng: chy mi (A), ho (B), ni mn (C) v st
(D). Mi triu chng c gi tr + (c triu chng ny) hoc (khng c triu chng
ny). Ngi ta thu nhp d liu trn 6 ngi v kt qu c cho trong bng bn
di:
id

Kt qu

Bnh

Bnh

Bnh

Bnh thng

Bnh thng

Bnh thng

1. Gi s mt ngi c triu chng X = (+,-,+,-) chun on xem ngi ny

c bnh khng, ta phi tnh cc xc sut no (ch ghi cng thc, khng cn
tnh gi tr c th)?
2. Xy dng m hnh theo pp Bayes ngy th (xy dng cc bng xc sut cn
thit) t bng d liu trn. Khng s dng c lng Laplace.
3. S dng m hnh thu c cu 1 chun on xem nhng ngi sau y c
bnh hay khng?
a) (-,+,-,+)
b) (+,-,-,+)
c) (+,-,+,-)
4. Gii thch ngn gn tn gi Bayes ngy th?
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