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402 Even Homework Answers

6.8
a) Let the digits 1-5 correspond to the American League team winning and 6-9 correspond to the National League team winning. Choose digits until one team wins 4 games. The long run average should be close to 5.6979 b) Other factors might include: starting pitchers, weather conditions, and injuries to key players

6.12
a) Let digits 00-24 correspond to guessing correctly and digits 25-99 correspond to an incorrect guess. Jacks average score in 100 repetitions is 2.8. b) Sams average score is 0. We would expect Jack to score higher than Sam.

Probability Models
Chapter 6 Section 2a

The Idea of Probability

Chance behavior is unpredictable in the short run but has a regular predictable pattern in the long run Random is a description of a kind of order that only emerges in the long run

Probability Models
Sample Space (S)
Set of all possible outcomes

Event
Any outcome or set of outcomes of a random phenomenon.

Probability Model
A mathematical description of a random phenomenon consisting of two parts: a sample space S and a way of assigning probabilities to the events.

Describe the sample space (S) of flipping a coin & rolling a die?
TREE DIAGRAM Set Notation of S

A diagram used to represent the sample space of a series of events. Each level represents a task and each branch a possible outcome.

S = {list all possible outcomes}

How many three digit numbers can you make?

Multiplication Principle

If you can do one task in n1 number of ways and a 2nd task in n2 number of ways, then both tasks can be done in n1 x n2 number of ways.

If each digit can be used only once?

Pg. 410 6.24 pg. 416 6.29, 6.32, 6.33, 6.36

Homework Assignment