Stat 315 Recommended Homework Chapter 4

Chapter 4
4-1.

P(1 < Z < 1) = 2(.3413) = 0.6826

P(1.96 < Z < 1.96) = 0.95
P(2.33 < Z < 2.33) = 0.9802
4.2. P(2 < Z < 1) = .4772 + .3413 = 0.8185

4.3.

P(2.5 < Z < 0.89) = .4938 .3133 = 0.1805

4.4.

P(Z > 3.02) = .5 .4987 = 0.0013

4.5.

P(2 < Z < 3) = .4987 .4772 = 0.0215

4.6.

P(Z < 2.5) = .5 .4938 = 0.0062

4.7.

P(Z > 2.33) = .5 +.4901 = 0.9901

4.8.

P(2 < Z < 300) = a number very close to .5 + .4772 = 0.9772

4.9.

P(Z < 10) = a very small number, close to zero.

4.10.

P(.01 < Z < .05) = .0199 + .0040 = 0.0239

4-14. P(Z > z) = 0.85

z = 1.036 (approximately).
4-15.

P(Z < z) = 0.685

z = 0.48

4-16.

P(Z > z) = 0.5

z=0
Do not need a normal table to find this: the Z variable has mean = 0 by definition.

4-19.

Look for z > 0 such that P(0 < Z < z) = 0.95/2 = 0.475:

4-20.

Look for z > 0 such that 0.5 P(0 < Z < z) = 0.01/2 = 0.005, which means
P(0 < Z < z) = 0.495: z = 2.576
( 2.575 is the value obtained by a linear interpolation, 2.576 is more accurate.)

z = 1.96

4.23.

X ~ N(410, 22)
415 410
407 410
= P(1.5 < Z < 2.5) =
P(407 < X < 415) = P
<Z<
2
2

.4332 + .4938 = 0.927

X ~ N(44, 162)

4-25.

0 ( 44)

= P(Z > 2.75) = 0.003

16

2
4-29. X ~ N(8,000, 1,000 )
P(X > 0) = P Z >

P(X 9,322) = P(Z 1.322) = .5 .4069 = 0.0931

4-35.

a. P(X > 12) = P Z >

b. P(X < 0) = P Z <

12 10.5

= P(Z > .316) = 0.50 .1241 = .3759

4.75
0 10.5

= P(Z < 2.211) = 0.50 .4865 = .0135

4.75

a. P(X > 5) = P Z <

5 10.5

= P(Z > 1.158) = 0.50 + .3766 = .8766

4.75

4-36.

a.
b.
c.
d.

P(x>187.6) = P(z>0) = 0.5000

P(x>200) = P(z>1) = 0.1587
P(x>x*) = 0.05 x* = + 1.645 = 207.998 or 208 safety stock = 20.4
P(x>x*) = 0.01 x* = + 2.326 = 216.44 or 216 safety stock = 28.4

4-39.

X ~ N(16.5, 0.82) P(X > x) = 0.85

P(Z > z) = 0.85, thus:
z = 1.04
x = + z = 16.5 1.04(.8) = 15.67
4.41.

X ~ N(88, 52)

P( x1 < X < x2 ) = 0.98

P(z < Z < z) = 0.98

TA = .98/2 = .49

x1 = 88 2.33(5) = 76.35
x2 = 88 + 2.33(5) = 99.65

4-49. P(X<x1) = 0.90 TA = 0.40

Z = 1.28 x1 = 71 + 1.28(3) = 74.84 (approximately)

4-50. X ~ N(1.35, .152)

0.90 probability of being < z means we want TA = .90 .5 = .400 so z = 1.282
Therefore X = 1.35 + 1.28(.15) = 1.54 (approximately)
4-51. X ~ N(2014, 22)
0.80 probability of being > z means we want TA = .80 .50 = .30, so z = .84
(approximately)
Therefore X = 2014 .84(2) = 2012.32
4-53.

Random sampling from large population implies a binomial distribution.

= np = 40
n = 100
p = 0.4
= npq = 4.899

P(X > 20) = P(X > 19.5) [continuity correction]

= P Z >

19.5 40

4-54. n = 2000

= P(Z > 4.18) > 0.99997

4.899

p = 0.779

= 2000(.779) = 1558

Assume independence

npq = 18.5558

P(X > 1500) = P(X > 1499.5) [cont. corr.] = P(Z > 3.14) = 0.9992

4-56.

Assume independence of students.

p = 0.25
n = 1,889 = np = 472.25

P(X > 500) = P(X > 499.5) [cont. corr.] = P Z >

npq = 18.82
499.5 472.25
18.82

= P(Z > 1.448) = .5 .4262 = 0.0738