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Portmanprint Forecast
Portmanprint Forecast
Portmanprint Forecast
EBIT*(1-tax%)
add: depreciation
less:capital exp
less: change in WC
less:change in other assets
FCFF
TA
TL
WC
Change
OTHER ASSETS
deferred tax
advances
miscellaneous
total
change
16,297,996.40
443,324
32,709,756
-15,968,435.60
WACC
0.6753
0.3247
ROIC
VALUE
FCFF/(WACC-g)
-64241163.31
0.55
0.0245
WACC
0.3794
0.1308
0.2486
2013
343,752,812
91,060,652
252,692,160
15,687,137
7,613,410
605,996
710,593
8,929,999
2,931,767
EBIT
23,282,852
EBT
22,410,162
tax expense
6,723,025
Interest expense
872,690
NI
15,687,137
tax rate
30%
capital stock
193,750,002
retained earnings 58,942,158
retention rate
30%
depreciation
capex
443,324
14,090,852
2012
350,950,120
113,945,097
237,005,023
4,598,414
724,914
674,904
5,998,232
NI dep current assets, cash, current liabilities, long term debt for 3 years. kunin mo lan
ong term debt for 3 years. kunin mo lang geomean per item (at least 3 years past)
37,297,687
872,690
36,424,997
9,973,690
2012
(unaudited)
15,657,569
428,299
15,229,270
1,329,628
26,451,307
13,899,642
5,258,079
9,299,224
22,410,162
6,723,025
15,687,137
2,992,878
6,589,121
10,303,399
3,091,002
7,212,397
2011
2012
37,797,983
1,979,340
35,818,643
2,662,384
76,033,193
5,548,369
70,484,824
3,426,509
82,453,952
3,898,942
78,555,010
5,318,512
33,156,259
67,058,315
73,236,498
6,605,085
12,904,907
18,050,512
22,380,171
21,710,832
57,583,051
6,517,498
17,318,722
15,193,334
40,264,329
2.650131235 1.072588246
ROE
DPO
gg
g
p
k
16,542,601
28,083,417
61,695,682
18,508,636
43,187,046
1.685971415
0.182219961
1.518974046
0.518974046
0.09456743
163500000
0.495790684
Forecast
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
42,483,267.58
1,741,197.02
40,578,075.84
3,645,018.58
64,339,478.93
2,674,101.48
46,791,331.01
3,215,689.49
60,855,846.73
2,628,194.64
40,818,338.76
3,148,339.19
54,996,187.92
2,304,417.20
42,635,437.60
3,329,291.25
59,938,261.94
2,530,067.87
43,344,149.26
3,230,247.53
35,928,517.37
43,067,779.94
37,158,008.94
38,596,513.17
39,529,167.14
7,399,981.62
14,737,214.79
28,192,285.48
8,463,052.50
72,812,125.05
8,576,063.28
18,124,085.95
32,786,908.93
9,848,602.16
122,759,161.50
7,483,975.26
16,893,527.79
27,174,970.12
8,159,449.24
206,968,437.21
7,802,198.35
16,524,587.44
29,286,441.92
8,794,020.86
348,942,868.93
7,941,071.43
17,167,314.49
29,660,517.24
8,907,195.34
588,307,702.46
As of December 31
2010
2011
2013
Assets
Cash
Loans receivable- net
Property and equipment- net
Other assets-net
Total Assets
Liabilities and Equity
Loans payable
Accrued expenses and
other payables
Income tax payable
Total Liabilities
Capital stock
Deposits for future stock
subscription
Stock dividends distributable
Retained earnings
TotalEquity
Total Liabilities and Equity
Outstanding shares
39,826,463
280,905,498
14,090,852
8,929,999
343,752,812
10,101,968
128,465,905
11,065,100
2,630,892
152,263,865
5,933,575
149,995,293
15,457,460
6,858,624
178,244,952
90,428,846
240,309,956
14,213,086
5,998,232
350,950,120
75,000,000
87,050,024
25,000,000
100,000,000
6,328,972
6,550,669
5,790,772
6,598,010
9,731,680
91,060,652
193,750,002
3,259,524
96,860,217
30,000,000
6,786,203
37,576,975
75,000,000
7,347,087
113,945,097
75,000,000
53,150,000
65,667,977
140,667,977
178,244,952
65,600,002
43,255,021
237,005,023
350,950,120
58,942,158
252,692,160
343,752,812
75,000,000
2012
25,403,648
55,403,648
152,263,865
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Change
Forecast
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
17,566,145.31
166,678,311.30
13,446,026.19
4,765,638.46
211,975,903.33
#NUM!
60,150,092.74
21,123,536.62
181,792,583.74
14,348,510.59
5,809,344.28
236,691,707.70
#NUM!
53,177,196.38
32,253,983.83
193,824,648.90
13,996,831.03
5,496,553.87
260,158,674.37
#NUM!
68,389,156.30
22,874,002.05
180,421,415.85
13,925,479.72
5,338,831.72
235,452,126.00
#NUM!
60,253,599.25
24,978,367.47
185,249,801.61
14,089,067.05
5,544,826.29
243,841,707.09
#NUM!
60,288,140.99
6,301,999.49
6,221,225.35
6,371,706.39
6,298,010.07
6,296,680.82
5,457,143.88
74,574,033.24
55,260,472.48
6,479,912.54
68,349,450.93
67,740,080.26
6,380,919.18
83,433,302.59
65,479,776.45
6,087,971.31
75,200,494.94
62,582,921.00
6,314,054.53
75,410,482.80
65,233,333.92
53,150,000.00
53,150,000.00
53,150,000.00
53,150,000.00
53,150,000.00
65,600,002.00
41,632,141.44
122,695,994.33
211,975,903.33
65,600,002.00
49,083,965.06
159,929,185.54
179,184,399.04
65,600,002.00
44,545,274.41
166,918,787.04
237,106,810.27
65,600,002.00
44,983,855.53
148,509,570.95
208,054,400.45
65,600,002.00
46,160,019.57
158,268,977.41
206,763,421.14
198,529,877.14
14,423,940.50
166,539,791.32
19,507,614.62
222,343,197.11
15,172,254.54
186,047,405.94
12,816,307.28
246,161,843.34
15,044,146.29
198,863,713.22
(15,157,964.68)
221,526,646.29
14,946,895.69
183,705,748.55
5,946,182.21
229,752,640.05
15,122,341.81
189,651,930.76
As of December 31
As of March 31
2013
2010
22,410,162
21,710,832
(37,297,687.00) $
31,840,575
872,690
(887,968.00) $
443,324
9,973,690
76,296
(37,297,687.00)
31,439,310
1,979,340
(1,998,090.00)
1,315,433
2,662,384
695,367
27,431,082
(45,112,120.00) $
81,654 $
(253,760.00) $
$
$
(17,853,144.00) $
(7,351,853.00) $
(34,759,243.00)
(4,259,108.00)
(25,204,997.00) $
(39,018,351.00)
20,006,593
(56,387,739.00)
(899,848.00)
2,521,751.00
-321,090
-364,378
-321,090
-364,378
50,000,000
-75,000,000 -
50,000,000
-4,163,764
-25,000,000
45,836,236
-76,296
-50,602,383
90,428,846
39,826,463
-695,367
5,758,140
4,343,790
10,101,968
As of December 31
2011
57,583,051
$
(37,297,687.00) $
68,704,764
5,548,369
(5,515,730.00) $
1,623,487
3,426,509
-137,249
Forecast
2012
2013
61,695,682
42,567,221.44
#NUM!
#NUM!
54,107,793.39
3,498,464.76
#NUM!
1,573,125.85
3,647,295.12
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
40,629,503.58
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
(2,319,597.67)
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
(37,297,687.00)
73,336,404
3,898,942
(3,834,359.00)
1,822,942
5,318,512
947,086
$
$
55,200,008
(17,627,468.00) $
(3,263,594.00)
60,731,257
(86,515,627.00)
2,912,967
(792,536.00) $
$
$
33,516,410.00 $
(14,756,181.00) $
(22,128,748.00)
(20,000,327.00)
18,760,229.00 $
(42,129,075.00)
742,655.00
-6,015,847
-578,568
-6,015,847
-578,568
15,000,000
-65,000,000
100,000,000
-25,000,000
-12,050,024 -
53,150,000
45,000,000 -17,050,024
128,150,000
137,249
-4,168,393
10,101,968
5,933,575
-947,086
84,495,271
5,933,575
90,428,846
2014
53,277,223.19
#NUM!
48,892,235.36
3,374,331.51
#NUM!
1,497,707.50
3,216,358.81
#NUM!
35,534,586.38
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
(2,971,337.56)
Forecast
2015
2016
2017
51,914,724.20
49,012,006.04
51,370,233.17
#NUM!
43,650,669.34
2,858,875.33
#NUM!
1,457,985.04
3,149,212.96
#NUM!
48,696,402.09
3,231,619.03
#NUM!
1,508,856.18
3,330,523.30
#NUM!
47,015,662.34
3,147,272.69
#NUM!
1,488,021.84
3,231,168.95
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
30,682,351.38
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
35,382,931.09
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
33,789,199.54
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
#NUM!
(1,956,501.07)
(2,415,812.10)
(2,447,883.58)
FCFE
SUM
Price
2013
2014
2015
2016
52,558,038.61 108,469,224.16 ############ ############
1.495790684
2.237389771 3.346666776
5.005912986
35,137,295.06
48,480,253.90 66,223,469.71 68,337,130.85
############
75,000,000
RECOMMENDATION:
2.91