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TerrestrialCarb McDonald v3b
TerrestrialCarb McDonald v3b
Kyle McDonald Principal Scientist Water and Carbon Cycles Group Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology
Temperature
Sunlight
Water
2011-2030
2046-2065
2080-2099
Temperature (oC)
Early Century
Mid-Century
Late Century
NOAA AVHRR
MODIS
1982 -Present
2000 -Present
2006 Present 1987 Present
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Thaw Day
Methane (CH4) comes from a variety of sources in the Arctic. These include emissions generated by microbes in thawing permafrost soils, from lakes and ponds, and from methane hydrates.
Sources: ACIA 2004, ACIA 2005, UNEP Year Book 2008
University of Alaska Fairbanks researcher Katey Walter lights a pocket of methane on a thermokarst lake in Siberia in March of 2007. Igniting the gas is a way to demonstrate, in the field, that it contains methane. Photo by Zergey Zimov.
Whitcomb, Moghaddam, McDonald, Kellndorfer, and Podest, Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, 2009
Tundra Fire
Gillette et al 2004
Wildfires accelerate 1970 2003 with early snowmelt, longer, drier summers