Ir Lecture Iiic Post 2013

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UNIT IIIC! Post-National!

International Politics"

Post-Nationalism"
1. "Supranationalism:" " " " "" "

Post-Nationalism"
1. "Supranationalism:" " " Process of bringing" " "" " states together in larger" "" structures."

Post-Nationalism"
1. "Supranationalism:" " " Process of bringing" " "" " states together in larger" "" structures." " Examples: UN, NATO"

Post-Nationalism"
2. "International Integration:" " " " "" "

Post-Nationalism"
2. "International Integration:" " " Shifting of sovereignty" " "" " from national states to " "" "supranational " " "institutions"

Post-Nationalism"
2. "International Integration:" " " Shifting of sovereignty" " "" " from national states to " "" "supranational " " "institutions" " Examples: WTO," " World Court, ICC"

Post-Nationalism"
3. " Integration Theory (ies)" " "" " "" "" "

Post-Nationalism"
3. " Integration Theory (ies)" " " Functionalism :Economic Integration driven by "growth "" " of transnational organizations" " " " ""

Post-Nationalism"
3. " Integration Theory (ies)" " " Functionalism :Economic Integration driven by "growth "" " of transnational organizations" "" Neo-functionalism : Economic Integration "drives political integration. "" " " ""

Post-Nationalism"
3. " Integration Theory (ies)" " " Functionalism :Economic Integration driven by "growth "" " of transnational organizations" "" Neo-functionalism : Economic Integration "drives political integration. "" " Identity Principle: Economic & Political " " Integration creates sense of community." " " ""

Functionalism"
" " " " " "" "

Post-Nationalism"
4. "Disintegration:" " " " "" "

Post-Nationalism"
4. "Disintegration:" " " Collapse of Nation " " "" " States into smaller states" "

Post-Nationalism"
4. "Disintegration:" " " Collapse of Nation " " "" " States into smaller states" "" Hyper/micro nationalism"

Post-Nationalism"
4. "Disintegration:" " " Collapse of Nation " " "" " States into smaller states" "" Hyper/micro nationalism" " Examples: Yugoslavia, "" " Soviet Union"

Post-Nationalism"
4. "Disintegration:" " " Collapse of Nation " " "" " States into smaller states" "" Hyper/micro nationalism" " Examples: Yugoslavia, "" " Soviet Union" " Examples: China?" " "Italy? "

Post-Nationalism"
4. "Disintegration:" " " Collapse of Nation " " "" " States into smaller states" "" Hyper/micro nationalism" " Examples: Yugoslavia, "" " Soviet Union" " Examples: China?" " "Italy? " " Example: EU?"

Post-Nationalism"
5. "Forms of Integration" " "" " "" "

Post-Nationalism"
5. "Forms of Integration" " " Security Communities" " "" "" "

Security Communities"
" " "" " " ""

Security Communities"
Low expectation of political violence permits " high degree of cooperation" "" " "" "

Security Communities"
Low expectation of political violence permits " high degree of cooperation" " "" Collective Security" """

Security Communities"
Low expectation of political violence permits " high degree of cooperation" " "" Collective Security" " Coordination of Foreign Policies" ""

Security Communities"
Low expectation of political violence permits " high degree of cooperation" " "" Collective Security" " Coordination of Foreign Policies" Example: NATO, European Defense Agency" ""

Post-Nationalism"
5. "Forms of Integration" " " Security Communities" " "" " Political Blocks " """

Political Blocks"
" " " " " "" """

Political Blocks"
Regional/Global blocks" " " " "" " """

Political Blocks"
Regional/Global blocks" " Coordinate Economic & Foreign Policy" " "" " """

Political Blocks"
Regional/Global blocks" " Coordinate Economic & Foreign Policy" " "" Regional problem solving mechanisms" """

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " " " "" "" "

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " " " "" "" "

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " OAU: Organization for African Unity" " "" " """

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " OAU: Organization for African Unity" " "" " """

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " OAU: Organization for African Unity" " "" Arab League" """

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " OAU: Organization for African Unity" " "" Arab League" """

Political Blocks"
OAS: Organization of American States" " OAU: Organization for African Unity" " "" Arab League" " UCLG: United Cities and Local Governments" Represents and defends the interests of ""

local governments on the world stage, regardless of the size of the communities they serve. "

Post-Nationalism"
5. "Forms of Integration" " " Security Communities" " "" " Political Blocks" "" Economic Blocks " ""

Economic Blocks"
" " " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional Blocks (NAFTA, CAFTA, ASEAN)" " " " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional Blocks (NAFTA, CAFTA, ASEAN)" Global Trade Regimes: GATT & WTO" " " " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional Blocks (NAFTA, CAFTA, ASEAN)" Global Trade Regimes: GATT & WTO" Cartels (horizontal integration): OPEC, US/ Russian Aluminum Cartel " " " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" " " " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " Lack of Consensus" " ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " Lack of Consensus" " " Greater variation between nations/regions" ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " Lack of Consensus" " " Greater variation between nations/regions" "2. Advantage of Regional"

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " Lack of Consensus" " " Greater variation between nations/regions" "2. Advantage of Regional" " " Less complexity ""

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " Lack of Consensus" " " Greater variation between nations/regions" "2. Advantage of Regional" " " Less complexity "" " " Less variation"

Economic Blocks"
Regional v. Global processes" "1. Limits to Global" " " Complexity" " " Lack of Consensus" " " Greater variation between nations/regions" "2. Advantage of Regional" " " Less complexity "" " " Less variation" " " Easier to build consensus "

Post-Nationalism"
5. "Forms of Integration" " " Security Communities" " "" " Economic Blocks " "" Political Blocks" " Regional Integration" ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


"" ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


1."Free Trade Area (FTA) " "" ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


1."Free Trade Area (FTA) " " Lower Barriers between members " "" ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


1."Free Trade Area (FTA) " " Lower Barriers between members " " Regional Association (ASEAN, NAFTA, "Mercosul)" ""

"

Stages of Regional Integration"


1."Free Trade Area (FTA) " " Lower Barriers between members " " Regional Association (ASEAN, NAFTA, "Mercosul)" " Post Colonial (Commonwealth, CFA = ! !Franc Zone "

"

Stages of Regional Integration"


1."Free Trade Area (FTA) " " Integrative (EU) ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


2." Customs Union (CU): " " " " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


2." Customs Union (CU): " " " Removal of internal tariffs" " " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


2." Customs Union (CU): " " " Removal of internal tariffs" " " Common external " " " "tariffs" " " " " "

"

"

"

Stages of Regional Integration"


2." Customs Union (CU): " " " Removal of internal tariffs" " " Common external " " " "tariffs" " " Examples: " " " " "

"

"

"

German Zollverein"

European Economic Community"

Stages of Regional Integration"


"3. "Common Market: " " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"3. "Common Market: " " " Adds Free movement Labor & capital " " " " ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


"3. "Common Market: " " " Adds Free movement Labor & capital " " " " ""

Stages of Regional Integration"


"4. " Economic Union: ! "" " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"4. " Economic Union: ! ! ! Coordination of Fiscal & Monetary Policies "" "" " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"4. " Economic Union: ! ! ! Coordination of Fiscal & Monetary Policies "" "" European " Central Bank" " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"4. " Economic Union: ! ! ! Coordination of Fiscal & Monetary Policies " Less Sovereignty; EU" "" " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"4. " Economic Union: ! ! ! Full Union includes Monetary" " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"4. " Economic Union: ! ! ! Full Union includes Monetary" " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"5. " Political Union: ! " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"5. " Political Union: ! ! ! Confederal Union (EU)! " " " "

Stages of Regional Integration"


"5. " Political Union: ! ! ! Confederal Union (EU)! ! ! Unitary/Federal Union (US)! " " " "

Post-Nationalism"
6. "Consequence?" " " " "" " " " ""

Post-Nationalism"
6. "Consequence?" " " Diminished National Sovereignty" " "" " " " ""

Post-Nationalism"
6. "Consequence?" " " Diminished National Sovereignty" " "" " Transnational Problem Solving" " " ""

Post-Nationalism"
6. "Consequence?" " " Diminished National Sovereignty" " "" " Transnational Problem Solving" "" World Government? " ""

KIEOs"
International Monetary Fund (IMF)" " " " "" General Agreement on Tariffs &Trade (GATT)" " " World Trade Organization" " World Bank" " " .a. Keystone International Economic a.k Organizations (KIEOs) ""

The International Monetary Fund"


" " ""

The International Monetary Fund"


1."Global "Central Bank" " ""

The International Monetary Fund"


1."Global "Central Bank" " " Global Financial Stability "" " " ""

Global Financial Stability"


Bretton Woods, 1944"

Global Financial Stability"


Bretton Woods, 1944"

1. Dollar = Dominant Currency" "


"

Global Financial Stability"


Bretton Woods, 1944"

1. Dollar = Dominant Currency" 2. Fixed Exchange: $32/Oz Gold"

The International Monetary Fund"


1."Global "Central Bank" " " Global Financial Stability" " " Post-Bretton Woods: 1971 Floating Exchange "" " " ""

Post-Bretton Woods: 1971 Floating Exchange" 1. Balance of Payments Decit (1960s)" " "

Post-Bretton Woods: 1971 Floating Exchange" 1. Balance of Payments Decit (1960s)" 2. Dollar Glut (1960s)" "

Post-Bretton Woods: 1971 Floating Exchange" 1. Balance of Payments Decit (1960s)" 2. Dollar Glut (1960s)" 3. Oil Crisis (1970s)"

Post-Bretton Woods: 1971 Floating Exchange" 1. Balance of Payments Decit (1960s)" 2. Dollar Glut (1960s)" 3. Oil Crisis (1970s)" 4. Collapse of Bretton Woods (1970s)" "

Post-Bretton Woods: 1971 Floating Exchange" 5. Floating Exchange Rates" "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " US: $38b = 17%; Zambia $450m = .24% " "" " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " US: $38b = 17%; Zambia $450m = .24% " " 25% = SDR (Special Drawing Rights)" " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " US: $38b = 17%; Zambia $450m = .24% " " 25% = SDR (Special Drawing Rights)" " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " US: $38b = 17%; Zambia $450m = .24% " " 25% = SDR (Special Drawing Rights)" " " 75% On Call FX from Central Banks" " "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " US: $38b = 17%; Zambia $450m = .24% " " 25% = SDR (Special Drawing Rights)" " " 75% On Call FX from Central Banks" " " Subscription = Credit line (Tranche)" "

The International Monetary Fund"


2." Capitalization" " " By Members (185), Ability basis " " " Quota = Contribution requirement" " " US: $38b = 17%; Zambia $450m = .24% " " 25% = SDR (Special Drawing Rights)" " " 75% On Call FX from Central Banks" " " Subscription = Credit line (Tranche)" " " $300b Reserves / $100b "in loans"

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " " " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " Board of Governors " " " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " Board of Governors " " = Fin. Min 185 states" " " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " Board of Governors " " = Fin. Min 185 states" " Exec Board = 24; 8 permanent " " (G5 + China, Russia & Saudi Arabia)" " " "

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " Board of Governors " " = Fin. Min 185 states" " Exec Board = 24; 8 permanent " " (G5 + China, Russia & Saudi Arabia)" " Weighted Vote (US = 18%; " " "Germany/Japan = 5% ea)" " "

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " Board of Governors " " = Fin. Min 185 states" " Exec Board = 24; 8 permanent " " (G5 + China, Russia & Saudi Arabia)" " Weighted Vote (US = 18%; " " "Germany/Japan = 5% ea)" " US-Europe Consensus: IMF/World Bank "

""

The International Monetary Fund"


3.! Governance" " Board of Governors " " = Fin. Min 185 states" " Exec Board = 24; 8 permanent " " (G5 + China, Russia & Saudi Arabia)" " Weighted Vote (US = 18%; " " "Germany/Japan = 5% ea)" " US-Europe Consensus: IMF/World Bank "" " IMF Director = European, WB = American"

The World Bank"


1. Capitalization & Governance" " " " "

The World Bank"


1. Capitalization & Governance" " " Board of Governors = IMFs" " " "

The World Bank"


1. Capitalization & Governance" " " Board of Governors = IMFs" " " Weighted Contributions & Voting" " "

The World Bank"


1. Capitalization & Governance" " " Board of Governors = IMFs" " " Weighted Contributions & Voting" " " 4 Constituent Agencies" "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " " " " " " "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " " " " "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " Market Rate loans" " " " " "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " Market Rate loans" " " WB-Govt Loans: Infrastructure Projects" " " " "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " Market Rate loans" " " WB-Govt Loans: Infrastructure Projects" " " Restructuring Loans: Decit Reduction" " " "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " Market Rate loans" " " WB-Govt Loans: Infrastructure Projects" " " Restructuring Loans: Decit Reduction" " " 1944-1994: $300b loans; " " "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " Market Rate loans" " " WB-Govt Loans: Infrastructure Projects" " " Restructuring Loans: Decit Reduction" " " 1944-1994: $300b loans; " " " 2000 FDI = $300b" "

The World Bank"


2. IBRD (International Bank for " " " " "Reconstruction & Development) 1944" " " Most Important: $20B-$25B/year in loans" " " Market Rate loans" " " WB-Govt Loans: Infrastructure Projects" " " Restructuring Loans: Decit Reduction" " " 1944-1994: $300b loans; " " " 2000 FDI = $300b" " " 1990s: Structural Adjustment loans"

GATT"
1." General Agreement on Tariffs & Trade (1944-present)" " " " " " " "

GATT"
1." General Agreement on Tariffs & " Trade (1944-present)" " Series of trade negotiations rounds" " " " " "

GATT"
1." General Agreement on Tariffs & " Trade (1944-present)" " Series of trade negotiations rounds" " Most Favored Nation (MFN) Status" " " " "

GATT"
1." General Agreement on Tariffs & " " Trade (1944-present)" " Series of trade negotiations rounds" " Most Favored Nation (MFN) Status" " Tariffs & Non Tariff Barrier Reductions" " "

GATT"
1." General Agreement on Tariffs & " " Trade (1944-present)" " Series of trade negotiations rounds" " Most Favored Nation (MFN) Status" " Tariffs & Non Tariff Barrier Reductions" " Reciprocity & Safeguards" "

GATT"
"2. "1st Five rounds = Tariff reductions " " " "

GATT"
"2. "1st Five rounds = Tariff reductions " " " 20 to 40 states" " "

GATT"
"2. "1st Five rounds = Tariff reductions " " " 20 to 40 states" " " Geneva, 1947; Annecy, 1949; Torquay, " " "1951; Geneva, 1956; Dillion, 1960-1 " "

GATT"
"2. "1st Five rounds = Tariff reductions " " " 20 to 40 states" " " Geneva, 1947; Annecy, 1949; Torquay, " " "1951; Geneva, 1956; Dillion, 1960-1 " " " Multilateral reductions"

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " ! " "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " ! " "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " " Kennedy, '64-7: anti-dumping" ! " "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " " Kennedy, '64-7: anti-dumping" " " Tokyo: '73-79: other NTBs; ! " "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " " Kennedy, '64-7: anti-dumping" " " Tokyo: '73-79: other NTBs; ! ! ! Pluralateral agreements" "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " " Kennedy, '64-7: anti-dumping" " " Tokyo: '73-79: other NTBs; ! ! ! Pluralateral agreements" " " Uruguay, '86-93: NTBs, dispute resolution, "Intellectual Property "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " " Kennedy, '64-7: anti-dumping" " " Tokyo: '73-79: other NTBs; ! ! ! Pluralateral agreements" " " Uruguay, '86-93: NTBs, dispute resolution, "Intellectual Property "

GATT"
" 3. "Next 3 rounds focus on NTBs" " " 60-120 states" " " Kennedy, '64-7: anti-dumping" " " Tokyo: '73-79: other NTBs; ! ! ! Pluralateral agreements" " " Uruguay, '86-93: NTBs, dispute resolution, "Intellectual Property" "4. "Doha Round: Subsidies, NTB and " " "Intellectual Property Rights "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"1. "Governance" " " " " " " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"1. "Governance" " " Ministry Council meets biannually" " " " " " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"1. "Governance" " " Ministry Council meets biannually" " " Coordinates negotiations" " " " " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"1. " " " " " " " "Governance" " Ministry Council meets biannually" " Coordinates negotiations" " Director General = vote (EU block)"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"1. " " " " " " " "Governance" " Ministry Council meets biannually" " Coordinates negotiations" " Director General = vote (EU block)" " General Council (All 150 members)"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"1. " " " " " " " "Governance" " Ministry Council meets biannually" " Coordinates negotiations" " Director General = vote (EU block)" " General Council (All 150 members)" " Oversees implementation of GATT " " "agreements & dispute settlement"

"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. "Dispute Settlement" " " " " " "" " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. "Dispute Settlement" " " Trade Policy Review Body ," " " " " "" " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. "Dispute Settlement" " " Trade Policy Review Body ," " " Dispute Settlement Body " " " " "" " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. " " " " " "" " " "Dispute Settlement" " Trade Policy Review Body ," " Dispute Settlement Body " " Appellate Body"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. " " " " " "" " " "Dispute Settlement" " Trade Policy Review Body ," " Dispute Settlement Body " " Appellate Body" " binding arbitration and Remedy"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. " " " " " "" " " "Dispute Settlement" " Trade Policy Review Body ," " Dispute Settlement Body " " Appellate Body" " binding arbitration and Remedy" " Remedy = Eye for an Eye "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"2. " " " " " " " " "Dispute Settlement" " Trade Policy Review Body ," " Dispute Settlement Body " " Appellate Body" " binding arbitration and Remedy" " Remedy = Eye for an Eye " " Closed proceedings limited to affected " "states."

"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"3. "Evaluation" " " " " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"3. "Evaluation" " " Better than GATT" " " " " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"3. "Evaluation" " " Better than GATT" " " Absence of Transparency" " " " "

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"3. " " " " " " "Evaluation" " Better than GATT" " Absence of Transparency" " Weakness in Remedy"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"3. " " " " " " "Evaluation" " Better than GATT" " Absence of Transparency" " Weakness in Remedy" " LDCs fear MDCs; MDCs ignore WTO"

World Trade Organization (WTO)"


"3. " " " " " " " "Evaluation" " Better than GATT" " Absence of Transparency" " Weakness in Remedy" " LDCs fear MDCs; MDCs ignore WTO" " Limitations of National Sovereignty"

21st CENTURY GLOBAL LANDSCAPE!

"
" " "

THREE KEY 21st CENTURY ISSUES!

THREE KEY 21st CENTURY ISSUES!

" "1.National Sovereignty vs. "


" "Global coordination, " " "cooperation & integration" " "

THREE KEY 21st CENTURY ISSUES!

" "1.National Sovereignty vs. "


" "Global coordination, " " "cooperation & integration" "2."N/S dispute" "

THREE KEY 21st CENTURY ISSUES!

" "1.National Sovereignty vs. "


" "Global coordination, " " "cooperation & integration" "2."N/S dispute" "3."Sustainability of Markets and Resources"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

"
" " "

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!

USA"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!
EU" Japan"

USA"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!
EU" Russia" USA" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!
EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!
EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Global Powers!

$$$$$! EU"
Russia" USA"

$$$! $!

Japan"

$$$$$$! $$!
LAM"

$! $!

ME" India"

China"

$$$!
ASEAN"

Africa"

$$!

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana"
EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana"
EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana Pax Americana " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana Pax Americana " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana Pax Americana " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana Pax Americana " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana Pax Americana " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Pax Americana Pax Americana " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Warring States"
EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Warring States Warring States " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Warring States Warring States " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Warring States Warring States " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Warring States Warring States " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Warring States Warring States " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Borderless World Borderless World " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Borderless World Borderless World " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Borderless World Borderless World " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Borderless World Borderless World " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Borderless World Borderless World " "


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians at the Gates"


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians at the Gates"


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians at the Gates"


EU" Russia" USA" ME" India" ASEAN" LAM" Africa" China" Japan"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" ASEAN" Japan"

LAM"

ME" Africa"

India"

China"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" ASEAN" Japan"

LAM"

ME" Africa"

India"

China"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" ASEAN" Japan"

LAM"

ME" Africa"

India"

China"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" ASEAN" Japan"

LAM"

ME" Africa"

India"

China"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" ASEAN" Japan"

LAM"

ME" Africa"

India"

China"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" ASEAN" Japan"

LAM"

9/11?

ME" Africa"

India"

China"

"

9/11?

"

Teutoburg Forest 9/7-9/11, 9 AD"

9/11?

"

Teutoburg Forest 9/7-9/11, 9 AD"

9/11?

"

Teutoburg Forest 9/7-9/11, 9 AD"

Teutoburg Forest 9/7-9/11, 9 AD"

Teutoburg Forest 9/7-9/11, 9 AD"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

Barbarians the Gates Barbarians atat the Gates " "


EU" Russia" USA" Japan"

?????????!
ME" Africa" India"

ASEAN"

China"

LAM"

FOUR POSSIBLE 21st CENTURY MODELS!

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