Market Share Analysis: Top 10 Consulting Providers Revenue,
Growth and Market Share, Worldwide and Regional, 2009
Gartner Dataquest Research Note G00200370, Michael von Uechtritz, 30 April 2010, V2 RA3 05072011 This report is intended as a tool for service providers conducting a market scan of the top worldwide and regional consulting service providers and their performance. In 2009, all providers were challenged by shrinking consulting service markets. We examine and analyze the top 10 consulting service providers performance in revenue, growth and market share, both worldwide and regionally: North America, Europe, Asia/Pacific and Japan. Key Findings The consulting market declined 9%. Six of the top 10 worldwide service providers performed better than negative 9% in 2009. Of all 280 consulting service providers covered in IT Services Market Metrics Worldwide Market Share: Database, 138 outperformed (better than negative 9%) the global market, of which 60 providers had positive revenue growth. Some providers were able to capitalize from economies already recovering in late 2009 and increase their consulting service market share by selectively co-investing with buyers for innovative and growth-focused projects, or by taking advantage of investments by public-sector clients, representing 21%, or $15 billion, of the worldwide consulting market. In 2009, business-outcome-focused providers of consulting services with established business relationships were often successful in growing their market share better than the market average. Suppliers with a broad range of advisory services were attractive to buyers, for example, if they could provide assistance in mitigating financial risks of an underperforming complex business operation. Many consulting service providers faced challenging 2009 market conditions. Those with attributes such as a pure IT focus, internal influences from other outsourcing, software or technology businesses, an unbalanced geographical revenue split, or huge dependencies on clients in a single vertical market often underperformed the market average revenue growth rate. Four of the 10 largest providers (IBM, Accenture, HP and Capgemini) and 141 of all 280 providers covered in the market share database underperformed the worldwide consulting market growth rate average of negative 9%. 2 Providers were hardest hit in 2009 by a decline of 14.9% in Europe. Consulting service market share concentration of the 10 largest providers in Europe increased from 35.9% in 2008 to 36.8% for 2009, or 0.9%. For 2010, in the European region, further brand and client acquisitions are expected to result in growing market share concentration among the top 10 providers. Recommendations As a business and IT consulting service business leader, increase your 2010 market share by demonstrating to potential buyers how the advice you sell will assist them not only in mitigating their financial and business risks, but also in coping with economic uncertainties. For example, commit to economic benefits for buyers from business process improvement projects in the supply chain. IT consulting service providers should reduce time spent negotiating with buyers for another (small) fixed-price project. Instead, consider growing your market share by investing in the development of differentiating consulting service offerings to win clients, or add new talents to your consultant base in a global market of $73 billion that is forecast to grow 6.2% in 2010 compared with 2009. Constantly assess your organizations business performance, in particular, as a local provider of consulting services. Learn from 2009 successes and failures. Block sufficient time in 2010 with your key executives and advisors to identify what needs to change in your consulting business strategy. For example, for your potential and targeted client segments, assess whether the service offering (portfolio) addresses people, process, technology and business risk requirements, and for each element, include a clear value promise related to the financial business outcome. ANALYSIS Consulting service business leaders did not have a single month of business as usual in 2009. And many consulting practice leaders, partners or sales and marketing executives welcomed the beginning of the global economic recovery during the later part of 2009 with a sigh of relief. Many global and regional consulting service buyers delayed or froze their investments in projects, reduced their number of preferred suppliers and increased the pressure on consulting rate cards. Therefore, in 2009, all suppliers faced unfavorable business conditions. Providers key business performance indicators such as backlog for orders and revenue, time from bid to project delivery, client attrition, consultant utilization, forecast accuracy, project profit and margin, project funnel and project size, sales force efficiency were impacted. Business eroded, and many consultancy firms were forced to take drastic measures in response to challenging 2009 market conditions. Actions we observed included: Bidding for smaller projects Cutting overhead cost Rebalancing project tasks across a global workforce Reducing the consultant base with voluntary or forced leaves These actions and other steps taken by providers resulted in their overall 2009 market share performance. The 2009 market saw a higher market share accumulation of the 10 largest providers, with some providers losing their 2008 position in the top 10 list or disappearing from a regional market. Even some established providers underperformed in their revenue growth and delivered results below the global market average of negative 9% in 2009. Examining and analyzing any providers performance (e.g., consulting service revenue, growth or market share) that is highlighted in this document should also be read in the economical context of 2009. The global economy declined 2.2% in 2009, measured in real gross domestic product (GDP) growth compared with 2008, as estimated by the World Bank in January 2010. 1.0 Consulting Market Context Some context is important to understand the dynamics of consulting services. In Gartners forecast and market definition, consulting services is an offering of professional services and includes two subsegment (business and IT consulting) forecasts. We do not further segment the market share. The consulting service market faced a dramatic global economic slowing in 2009. Despite a financially challenging year, six of the worlds largest consulting service providers that Gartner covers in its market share analysis managed to perform better than the market average of negative 9% in 2009. Why have some consulting service providers been more resilient in this dramatic global economic cycle? Gartner notes the following observations: In difficult and uncertain times such as in 2009, buyers prefer to work with established providers to attain advice they need. Consulting is relatively immune from the economic effects, even in a globally contracting market. Business advisory service providers were somewhat more resilient if they had an established relationship and could demonstrate their business value-add to clients. 2010 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartners research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. 3 Operating complexity for organizations has increased the demand for advice. Enterprises are confronted with myriad and oftentimes uncertain legal, regulatory, financial, risk management and operating conditions as a consequence of the financial crisis in 2008 and continued economic uncertainties. Potential buyers of consulting services often do not have sufficient in-house expertise to address these issues completely. It is therefore no surprise that some of the consulting service firms that specialize in addressing complex business conditions were asked to assist their clients in the planning of, for example, the restructuring of a business operation, and they saw an increase in demand for the advice they can provide. Increase of opportunities in a rapidly recovering emerging consulting market helped to offset uncertain or unfavorable economic conditions for some providers in the United States and parts of Western Europe as early as the second half of 2009. We note that providers with a global, virtual workforce can better balance demands in terms of their capacities and staff. These providers can deliver projects without eroding profits, while reacting to pressures on consulting rate cards by buyers. 2.0 Market Share Performance Many providers took measures to survive and be sheltered from financial distress, and overall, the consulting industry resisted greater damages that were expected from a severe economic downturn. BearingPoint, for example, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in February 2009 for its U.S. operations. However, of all the 280 providers covered in IT Services Market Metrics Worldwide Market Share: Database, 60 providers experienced positive revenue growth. This evidence of resilience for the advisory industry is interesting, because advisory services are typically considered by many as the first and/or worst-affected business services when spending or capital contracts. Thus, the leaders in this segment have evolved over time through significant investments in methods, physical infrastructure, labor pools, and expansion of their client base and pipelines. Organic growth also has been supplemented with acquisitions; and when an acquisition of scale occurs, the impact can be noteworthy. More variability in growth and revenue performance has caused more fluctuation in market share gains/losses. In a constantly changing competitive landscape, we found attributes of successful providers in the consulting market to include: Scale Global business and IT consulting service providers have scale in their operations to deliver their advice across several geographical regions and domains. Scope Advisors operating initiatives for buyers on a global scale have the ability to offer a broad array of consulting services addressing these initiatives; broad scope in the advice offered is critically important. Skills Consultancies need the right mix of skills, such as for multicultural and multidomain change management, while at the same time offering a deep business process understanding for a large number of industries. Stability A solid balance sheet and financial stability of the business and IT consulting service provider are critical because buying organizations must mitigate the risk of failing to complete a project or initiative (for example, a major transformational 18-month-long global finance function project). Strategy Consulting service providers continually evolve their business strategy through reorganizing, reskilling of their resources and redefining service outcome. The top 10 lists for each region and the overall worldwide market share did vary but not to a significant extent. Many providers were able to hold onto their positions. However, some competitors started to close the market share and revenue gaps through acquisitions and organic growth, as well as by observing what has enabled the top providers to both expand their portfolio of consulting services and hold on to their strong places in the market, despite the challenges all providers faced in 2009. 2010 will be critical; the return to revenue growth will be imperative for consultancies of all sizes; those that do not keep pace with the growth of the consulting service market, which is predicted to rebound in 2010, will be possible targets for acquisition by the stronger providers. Acquisitions can potentially have a material impact on the market share rankings. 3.0 Methodology and Market Share Database Gartners IT Services Market Metrics Worldwide Market Share: Database provides vendor revenue, market share and end-user market size for IT services by region and country. Consulting services are segmented by computing and communications platforms and by vertical market. These statistics have been developed using secondary research and modeling to provide timely estimates of prior-year results. Market share statistics reflect secondary and primary research, including input from participating vendors. See Dataquest Guide: IT Services Market Research Methodology and Definitions for further detail on our methodologies and definitions for IT services and which countries/ regions and verticals are covered by the database. 4.0 Worldwide: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2009 Worldwide business conditions of 2009 have changed the consulting market landscape because more market share was absorbed by the 10 largest providers, reducing the combined share of all other providers by 0.7%, or $491 million. The increase of 0.7%, from 33.4% in 2008 to 34.1% in 2009, is explained by the fact that some smaller providers lost their revenue to some of their larger competitors. Six outperformers exceeded the worldwide market average of negative 9% in 2009 and are in the top 10 list (see Table 1): Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), Ernst & Young, KPMG International, CSC and Fujitsu. Further, of the 280 global providers that Gartner tracked consulting service revenue for, 138 exceeded the negative 9% growth rate in 2009, and 60 global providers had a positive growth rate (more than 0%) in their consulting service revenue, despite the challenging year. 4 Acquisitions constantly change the consulting service providers landscape and impact the growth rates inorganically. Attributes of providers in regard to their global scale, potential for new project scope, overall revenue size, consultant skill and talent base are an expression of their consulting business strategy. Among the many acquisitions in 2009, the sale of BearingPoint to CSC, Deloitte, Keane, PwC and other providers was a major event and is reflected in this worldwide list and the regional ones where applicable. Smaller suppliers of advisory services were challenged in their aim to achieve a balance in their 2009 revenue across several geographical markets and thereby reduce the revenue impact of a single geographical market on their global business performance. Long existing business relationships between buyers and their preferred consulting service provider represent a hurdle for these smaller competitors trying to expand into new accounts or taking market share in a previously unaddressed vertical sector. Members of the global top 10 list traded places, but the positions of the seven largest players did not change from 2008. In 2009, Fujitsu climbed to the eighth position, and HP climbed to the ninth position, while Capgemini dropped two places to the 10th position in terms of global consulting service market share. Overall, there was little change in the group of the top 10 provider names listed in Table 1, which remained the same for all providers, compared with 2008. We believe that the consistent presence of the providers, such as KPMG, signals the stronger affinity of IT-consulting-led projects toward financial advice required. Some buyers have business requirements to mitigate people, process, technology and, increasingly, financial risks and must (often) continue to improve certain business processes to cut enterprise costs. The 2009 top 10 market share data shows the 10 largest global suppliers of consulting services (see Table 1). Six of the 10 providers outperformed the market average of negative 9% in 2009. Attributes of the six outperformers include: Deloitte, Ernst & Young, KPMG and PricewaterhouseCoopers combined represent the group of the Big Four. Their 2009 market share results confirm our 2008 market share assessment that the Big Four will increase their relevance to buyers. Common attributes of these business consulting service providers are as follows: Global scale Presence in more than 100 countries Broad scope of the advisory services they can provide from accounting, auditing, assurance, business and tax to transaction advisory services Source: Gartner (April 2010) Table 1. Worldwide: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2008-2009 (Millions of Dollars) Vendor Deloitte IBM PricewaterhouseCoopers Accenture Ernst & Young CSC KPMG International Fujitsu HP Capgemini Other Service Vendors Total Market Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 4,385 4,353 3,316 3,074 2,348 1,926 1,735 1,561 1,536 1,566 51,303 77,103 2009 4,354 3,958 3,225 2,590 2,327 1,769 1,689 1,473 1,313 1,291 46,147 70,136 Growth (%) 2008-2009
0.7
9.1
2.8
15.7 0.9 8.2 2.7 5.7
14.5
17.6
10.0 9.0 Market Share (%) 2009 6.2 5.6 4.6 3.7 3.3 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.8 65.9 100.0 5 Exceeding 100,000 employees in consulting overall Broad skill base Size in terms of their revenue in the business and IT consulting market and other markets. Overall, the Big Four group coped relatively well with the dynamics of the global consulting market. The historical close alignment of their consulting business with the buying organizations CFO community was attributed to these providers auditing and accounting businesses. Since the financial crisis in 2008, CFOs are considerably more influential to the CIO and overall for the business and IT consulting investments of an organization, compared with precrisis years. Further, we observed in our dialogue with Gartner clients through inquiries that advice of the Big Four is frequently considered objective by their potential service buyers. This is because these providers are, to a certain degree, not influenced by their other businesses, such as the need to push for revenue for IT outsourcing with a major software or large hardware internal business unit/division, through advice they sell and deliver. Fujitsu, with negative 5.7%, and CSC, with negative 8.2%, outperformed the market average of negative 9%. Fujitsu declined less than 9% in its local and regional government, transportation and healthcare business. Fujitsu showed positive revenue growth for its business and IT consulting revenue in its services, wholesale and trade, and agriculture, mining and construction verticals. CSCs results were positively impacted by its consulting business in the government vertical, from which CSC derived $866 million (of $1,769 million) in 2009 and $884 million in 2008, a 2% decline compared with 2008. CSC exploited its consultative capabilities, creating and identifying IT outsourcing (ITO) opportunities, as well as leveraging into and through the transition (early life support team). Attributes of the four underperformers, which all declined in revenue by more than 9% in 2009, include: These four large consulting service providers IBM, Accenture, HP and Capgemini have a large portion of their total IT services revenue coming from a company strategy of positioning, often selling their outsourcing operations, in addition to their consulting services, to buyers, as well as bundling consulting into an application development contract. Further, providers such as IBM and HP have other software and hardware businesses to support/prioritize with their consulting business. Some providers revenue and, therefore, market share results are geographically less balanced because the providers are highly dependent on a single country, and we believe this situation contributed to Capgeminis underperformance of negative 17.6% in 2009. Capgemini collected $1,005 million, or 77.9% of its global $1,291 million in consulting revenue, from Western Europe. The Asia/Pacific region, a $7,187 million market in 2009, contributed 4.5% of Capgeminis growth, or $32 million, but at a (low) weight of 2.5% in its global consulting service revenue. 5.0 Regional Analysis: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2009 When reviewing provider performance in each region (worldwide, North America, Europe, Asia/Pacific and Japan), we found noticeable differences, and they are as follows: Japan showed the highest concentration of market share (68.1%) for the top 10 providers among all five regions. The worldwide concentration of top 10 market share was 34.1% in 2009 (as shown in Table 1). No provider in the worldwide and European top 10 lists achieved flat (0.0%) or positive revenue growth in 2009. In contrast, five providers operating in the Japanese market grew their consulting service revenue, thereby outperforming their global market peers. The market share hold by local competitors in each region demonstrates that the ability to deliver advisory services locally or regionally remains a key requirement for some end users. IBM has a unique presence: It is listed among the 10 largest consulting service providers in all five geographical regions covered in this report. Other providers populate the top 10 lists in multiple regions, and domestic providers appear on regional lists: For example, SAIC appears in North Americas list, Logica appears in Europes list, Samsung SDS appears in Asia/Pacifics list, and NEC appears in Japans list. Clearly, competitive differentiation versus a group of peers requires all providers to take into account the specific regional or country mix of competition in these markets. The unweighted average revenue decline (in U.S. dollars) for the top 10 providers per region varies significantly, and it is as low as negative 2.3% for Asia/Pacific and is as high as negative 12.4% in Europe. Asia/Pacifics lower decline in revenue for the top 10 indicates that smaller markets recover faster from an economic crisis, and therefore, some rapidly recovering economies offer a 2010 revenue opportunity for providers to eventually rebalance their total consulting service revenue split quickly. For example, the Asia/Pacific region is forecast to grow 17.1% in 2010 in its consulting service market compared with 2009, representing an $8.5 billion market. 6 5.1 North America: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2009 In Gartners analysis, we define North America as being composed of Canada and the United States. North Americas business conditions of 2009 changed the market landscape, evidenced by 0.7% more market share accumulated by the top 10, increasing from 39.7% in 2008 to 40.4%. The increase of 0.7%, or $195 million, represents the absorption of a fictive provider holding a 27th market share position in this geographical market. Six providers exceeded the North American market average of negative 6.1% in 2009: Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, SAIC, Northrop Grumman, Ernst & Young, and KPMG International (see Table 2). Further, of the 135 providers that Gartner tracked consulting service revenue for in North America, 69 exceeded the negative 6.1% growth in 2009, and 28 providers operating in this geographical market had a positive growth rate in their consulting service revenue. The breakup and sale of BearingPoint is reflected in this top 10 list for North America and further underlines changes at the supply side of the largest regional consulting market in the world worth $27.9 billion in 2009. Positions in the top 10 list changed, but its members for the North American region remained almost the same, compared with 2008. In the 2009 list of the 10 largest consulting service providers in North America, SAIC and Northrop Grumman represent two large U.S.-focused providers. For example, in 2009, $1,245 million of SAICs $1,250 million consulting service revenue in North America was generated in the U.S. and $972 million of Northrop Gummans $976 million consulting revenue in the region was generated in the U.S. McKinsey & Co. exited the list, and KPMG International entered the list and is now in the 10th position for its 2009 market share. Table 2 lists the 10 largest providers of consulting services in North America in 2009. Six of the 10 providers outperformed the North American market average of negative 6.1% in 2009. Attributes of the six outperformers include: Consulting service providers such as Northrop Grumman, SAIC and Deloitte that were positioned strongly (if compared by revenue growth rates) in the 2009 North American consulting market have historically operated in the scope of the U.S. federal government sector. Deloittes 2009 market share includes the acquisition of BearingPoints public-sector practices in the U.S. These three providers performance demonstrated a competitive advantage in their vertical business focus and assisted these providers in achieving positive revenue growth. We attribute SAICs 2009 success to the providers scope, skills and competencies it can provide to national security, energy and environment, critical infrastructure, and health buyers of advisory services. SAICs strategy to focus on the public sector Source: Gartner (April 2010) Table 2. North America: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2008-2009 (Millions of Dollars) Vendor Deloitte PricewaterhouseCoopers IBM SAIC CSC Northrop Grumman Ernst & Young Accenture Oracle KPMG International Other Service Vendors Total Market Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 2,406 1,445 1,465 1,193 1,271 926 870 970 656 554 17,944 29,700 2009 2,419 1,432 1,311 1,250 1,179 976 843 797 534 528 16,616 27,886 Growth (%) 2008-2009 0.6
0.9
10.5 4.8
7.2 5.4
3.0
17.9
18.6 4.8 7.4 6.1 Market Share (%) 2009 8.7 5.1 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.0 2.9 1.9 1.9 59.6 100.0 7 for this almost-U.S.-only provider (in terms of business and IT consulting service revenue) has paid off, as evidenced by its better-than-market-average results. 2009 was a record year for the provider, and its overall business exceeded $10 billion, and it reported 27 deals valued at $100 million or greater, compared with 17 in 2008. In 2009, SAIC acquired SM Consulting (SMC) and Icon Systems (Icon). SMC provides services in language, intelligence, IT, management consulting, business process outsourcing, training, and logistics to federal, state and local governments, and private industry. Competitive moves (that is, acquisitions) helped PwC to expand its consulting business and strengthen its consulting skills in technology and transformation, including strategy, operations and sustainability. Its acquisitions of Alaris Consulting, New Dimension Solutions, Entology, BusinessMinds, ECS Ltd. and Sustainable Finance, as well as portions of BearingPoint North Americas commercial business, impacted its result. PwC was one of two Big Four firms (Ernst & Young was the other) to support the U.S. government in its bailout of banking institutions under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Overall, PwCs business and IT consulting revenue declined 0.9% in 2009 compared with 2008. Ernst & Young appears to be growing its technology advisory competencies organically, although the firm acquired the SAP-focused practice of EnteGreat in April 2009, and Capital City Technologies, a small management and technology consulting firm serving the government sector, in 2009. Ernst & Young advised the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on the dismantling of American International Group (AIG). Overall, Ernst & Young benefited from its increased focus on the alignment of business and IT. In terms of Ernst & Youngs consulting service revenue (in particular, business consulting), Ernst & Young benefited from some buyers beyond the CFO community showing an interest in maturing solutions, such as analytics and business intelligence, to enhance the financial transparency of their organizations. Oracle had the highest decline (at negative 18.6), followed by Accenture (negative 17.9%), IBM (negative 10.5%) and CSC (negative 7.2%) in the North American market. These four providers in this top 10 list underperformed the market average of negative 6.1%, and their attributes include: Oracle has not fully materialized on all consulting service opportunities in some of the vertical sectors, such as in the governmental sector, which is a revenue stream that some of the other providers operating in this region have taken benefit of. Oracle experienced a strong decline of 20.9% in its consulting revenue for 2009 in the manufacturing (discrete and process manufacturing) vertical sectors, which contributed to its below-market-average performance. With revenue of $797 million in 2009, Accenture declined 17.9% from its previous-year estimated revenue base of $970 million. Accentures project-based services include business consulting and IT consulting, and the staffing is usually organized to conduct a conceptual and detailed design, which is usually executed by a business consulting team (for process design, workflows and business case) and IT consulting resources (for the technical architecture, detailed design and configuration). Other advisors that Accenture competes with in North America sell their own services, similar to those offered by Accenture, and in 2009, competitive price pressures and the lack of constantly reaching (new) buying centers, such as the CEO or CFO of an organization, may have impacted its performance. IBM (with negative 10.5%) and CSC (with negative 7.2%) were also challenged to cope with a difficult year and underperformed the 2009 market average revenue decline of 6.1% in the region. We believe that internal influences and obligations to other businesses, such as outsourcing, software and technology, influenced their market performance in business and IT consulting. 5.2 Europe: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2009 In Gartners analysis, we define Europe as being composed of Eastern and Western Europe. A major component of the European market is Western Europe, one of the most-mature consulting markets. Thus, in market share, we see a combination of local, global and Europe-based providers dominating the leadership positions due to their position in Western Europe. Due to a challenging European consulting service market, as organizations slowed spending on projects, changes to the competitive landscape were almost natural. The top 10 players accrued an additional 0.9% of market share, growing to 36.9%, representing a $228 million increase cumulatively or the absorption of a fictive provider holding a 21st market share position. Five providers within the top 10 exceeded and, thereby, outperformed the European market average of negative 14.9% in 2009: Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Ernst & Young, KPMG International and Fujitsu (see Table 3). Further, of the 186 providers that Gartner tracked consulting service revenue for in Europe, a total of 102 exceeded the negative 14.9% average in 2009, and 18 providers operating in this geographical market had a positive growth rate in their consulting service revenue. Drivers for local market dynamics in the region are found in the different economic conditions under which providers were competing, including the many varying local legal and regulatory requirements and differences in business culture that impacted how consulting providers can sell and deliver their advice to European clients. In 2009, GDP decreased 4.1% in the euro (currency) area and decreased 4.2% across the European Unions 27 member states, compared with the 0.6% increase and 0.7% increase, respectively, in 2008, according to Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. The office further reported that among EU member states for which seasonally adjusted GDP data is available, Estonia (with 2.5% growth) recorded the highest growth rate in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared with the previous quarter, followed by Slovakia (with 2%) and Poland (with 1.2%). 8 Currencies had an impact due to volatile exchange rates, such as for the euro against the U.S. dollar. Currency impacts constrained some providers operating at a country or regional level, for example, if they had not properly hedged against currency fluctuations. Also, some providers faced challenges from yearly unfavorable predefined internal exchange rates in terms of intracompany cost transfers when lending consultants for the delivery of global projects outside their territories. We reported for the U.K. consulting market a negative 17.2% performance in U.S. dollars, negative 2.7% performance in British pounds and negative 12.8% performance in euros. Positions in the European top 10 list changed in 2009, but the providers for the region remained the same, compared with 2008. In this 2009 list of the 10 largest consulting service providers in Europe, Logica represents a large European-focused provider for business and IT consulting services. That is because Logicas $1,083 million of its $1,086 million business is derived from its clients in Western Europe, and its revenue from the U.K. and France combined is $452 million. The 2009 top 10 market share data shows the 10 largest European suppliers of consulting services (see Table 3). Attributes of the five outperformers (Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Ernst & Young, KPMG International and Fujitsu), which all exceeded the European market average of negative 14.9% in 2009, include: The revenue that the Big Four derived from their business consulting services contributed to their better-than-market- average (negative 14.9%) revenue growth performance in 2009. The results of these four providers can be attributed to the broad scope of projects they can address and the availability of consultants with skills and competencies that were needed to cope with economic challenges in 2009 by clients in a number of verticals, such as financial services, communications, utilities or healthcare. For example, for all four providers, revenue growth in the financial services vertical exceeded the market average of negative 15.6% in 2009 in the business and IT consulting service market in Europe, which shrank from $6,542 million in 2008 to $5,521 million in 2009. Fujitsu advisory service attributors included some competencies to improve a buyers business operation (operational excellence), which was a critical 2009 priority for CIOs. The provider integrated its technology advisory competencies organically and refocused on selling its IT consulting competencies. In April 2009, Fujitsu acquired Siemens 50% stake of Fujitsu Siemens Computers (FSC). As a result of the reorganization and acquisition, Fujitsu can now reap the benefits, and it can now broadly position its consulting services to clients in the region. Source: Gartner (April 2010) Table 3. Europe: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2008-2009 (Millions of Dollars) Vendor Deloitte Accenture Logica Capgemini IBM PricewaterhouseCoopers Ernst & Young KPMG International Fujitsu HP Other Service Vendors Total Market Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 1,253 1,437 1,282 1,231 1,195 1,040 978 840 741 677 19,081 29,755 2009 1,182 1,145 1,086 1,012 1,005 936 924 816 656 548 16,007 25,317 Growth (%) 2008-2009 5.7
20.3
15.3
17.8
15.9
10.0 5.5 2.9
11.5
19.1
16.2
14.9 Market Share (%) 2009 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.2 63.1 100.0 9 Accenture had the greatest decline (negative 20.3%), followed by HP (negative 19.1), Capgemini (negative 17.8), Logica (negative 17.3%) and IBM (negative 15.9%) among the 10 largest providers in the European market. These five providers in this European top 10 list underperformed the market average of negative 14.9%, and their attributes include: In terms of their market share in Europe, Accenture derived 23.6% of its consulting business in 2009 from the United Kingdom, Capgemini derived 27.8%, and HP derived 28.8% of the regional consulting business from the United Kingdom in 2009. Further, the U.K. is Accentures and HPs primary source country for consulting revenue in Europe. Therefore, the U.K. had a heavy influence on these providers overall results for the region in 2009. Capgeminis consulting service revenue split across the regions is somewhat unbalanced, as it collected $1,005 million, or 77.9%, of its global $1,291 million consulting service revenue from Western Europe. Logicas 2009 underperformance (negative 15.3%) in consulting revenue growth versus the market average in Europe of negative 14.9 can be attributed to its strong decline of 25.6% in consulting service revenue in the Netherlands and a decline of 25.5% in Belgium; generally, both country markets are historic strongholds for Logica. IBMs decline of 15.9% in consulting service revenue in 2009 was relatively equally split across Europe. 5.3 Asia/Pacific: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2009 The 2009 market share data shows that the top 10 providers in Asia/Pacific in the consulting service market accounted for 48% of the total Asia/Pacific consulting market (see Table 4), an increase of 1.1% from 46.9% in 2008, representing a business of $79 million of the total market. Seven outperformers exceeded the Asia/Pacific market average of negative 5.1% in 2009: IBM, Accenture, PricewaterhouseCoopers, KPMG International, Ernst & Young, Deloitte and CSC. Further, of the 176 providers that Gartner tracked consulting service revenue for in Asia/Pacific, 86 exceeded the market average of negative 5.1% in 2009, and 53 providers operating in this diverse geographical market had a positive growth rate in their consulting service revenue. In 2009, the global consulting market faced a remarkably synchronized global downturn, but in 2010, providers started to experience a multispeed GDP recovery. The Asia/Pacific region clearly highlights that the recovery is proceeding at different speeds, and it remains fragile. These conditions pose their own challenges to consulting service providers operating in advanced economies, such as Australia, or emerging and developing economies, such as China and India. Further, across the region, the business confidence index for South Korea, Malaysia and Taiwan is up from the high levels of 2008, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), signaling project opportunities for providers. Positions in the list did not change, and its 10 members for the Asia/Pacific region remained the same, compared with 2008. Samsung SDS, UXC and LG CNS represent large Asia/Pacific- focused providers for business and IT consulting services. For example, local IT services firm UXC, which has significant business in the government, communications and retail sectors, is also included in the list, and it derives $155 million of its $170 million business in the region from clients in Australia. LG CNS and Samsung SDS are IT services arms of their chaebol conglomerate parent companies. Samsung SDS has $429 million of its $462 million Asia/Pacific consulting service revenue from clients in South Korea, and LG CNS, South Korea-based, derives $141 million of its $152 million in the region also from South Korea. Our data for 2009 lists the 10 largest providers of consulting services in Asia/Pacific (see Table 4). Attributes of the seven outperformers (IBM, Accenture, PricewaterhouseCoopers, KPMG International, Ernst & Young, Deloitte and CSC), which exceeded the Asia/Pacific market average of negative 5.1% in 2009, include: The Big Fours performance in business consulting services contributed to their better-than-market-average (negative 5.1%) revenue growth in 2009 in Asia/Pacific. Results of these four providers can further be attributed to clients in a number of verticals, such as financial services, communications, government, utilities or healthcare in the region. Consistently, all four providers have their largest share of their Asia/Pacific consulting service revenue in Australia and in the financial services industry (FSI). All four providers revenue growth in the FSI exceeded the market average of negative 4.8% in 2009 for consulting services in the Asia/Pacific region. FSI represents $1,670 million, or 23.2%, of the regions total consulting market of $7,187 million in 2009. The Big Four consulting firms were among the 41 providers for whom we reported positive revenue growth (exceeding 0%) in this regional market in 2009. Success attributes for IBM and Accenture include country- specific revenue growth, such as in China. IBM revenue for consulting grew from $254 million to $297 million, or 16.6%, in China. Accenture grew its consulting revenue in China from a revenue base of $46 million to $60 million, or 28.7%. For CSC, we reported revenue growth in Singapore (24.0%) and Taiwan (22.8%). LG CNS (negative 19.4%), Samsung SDS (negative 18.6%) and UXC (negative 14.6) all declined in revenue in the Asia/Pacific. These three providers in the Asia/Pacific top 10 list underperformed the market average of negative 5.1%, and their attributes include: Samsung SDSs and LG CNSs underperformance are due to their continued high revenue dependency on South Korea; 92.9% of Samsung SDSs total Asia/Pacific consulting service 10 revenue was derived from South Korea, and 92.8% of LG CNSs Asia/Pacific consulting revenue was derived from the same country. In terms of the South Korean won, these providers consulting revenue declined 7.3% for Samsung SDS and declined 8.4% for LG CNS in 2009 compared with 2008. However, the South Korean economy recovered in the second half of 2009, according to the Bank of Korea. UXC faced challenges in New Zealand and Australia, with declining consulting revenue of 18.8% and 14.3%, respectively, in 2009. 5.4 Japan: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2009 The 2009 market share data shows that the top 10 providers in Japan in the consulting service market accounted for 68.1% of the market, down by 0.7% from its previous level of 68.8%; revenue of $39 million was transferred to providers that were not part of the top 10 list. The average market decline in the consulting market in Japan for all providers was 0.5%. This negative 0.5% growth rate was outperformed by five providers in 2009 (see Table 5): Fujitsu, NEC, NTT Data, Nomura Research and Mitsubishi Electric. Further, of the 89 providers that Gartner tracked consulting service revenue for in Japan, 51 exceeded the market average of negative 0.5% in 2009, and 49 providers operating in this diverse geographical market had positive growth in their consulting service revenue. In Japanese yen, however, the consulting market in the region declined 9.9% in 2009 compared with 2008, and 11 providers reported positive growth. This result highlights that the impact of the appreciation of the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar was strong in 2009; for comparison purposes, we provide the list of the top 10 also in local currency (see Table 6). The business environment in Japan was severe for the whole of 2009, and many organizations kept tight IT services spending, especially spending related to consulting services. Consulting service providers operating in the Japanese market found a somewhat positive business environment, with the GDP increasing by 0.9% in the fourth quarter of 2009 (negative 0.1% in the previous quarter), according to Eurostat. The office also reported for the whole of 2009 that GDP decreased by 5.2% in Japan, compared with it decreasing 1.2% in 2008. Positions in the top 10 list changed, and Toshiba exited the list, while PricewaterhouseCoopers entered the top 10 as a result of its acquisition of BearingPoint in 2009; PwC has increased its presence in the local market. Some large domestic providers invested in enhancing their consulting capabilities to effectively approach corporate executive officers of user organizations whose budgets were strictly controlled to win projects. Hitachi and NTT Data have been Source: Gartner (April 2010) Table 4. Asia/Pacific: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2008-2009 (Millions of Dollars) Vendor IBM Samsung SDS Accenture PricewaterhouseCoopers KPMG International Ernst & Young Deloitte CSC UXC LG CNS Other Service Vendors Total Market Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 887 570 441 366 259 218 217 208 199 189 4,016 7,570 2009 875 462 438 409 262 253 232 200 170 152 3,725 7,187 Growth (%) 2008-2009
1.4 18.9 0.7 11.6 1.2 16.1 7.1
4.1
14.6
19.4 7.2 5.1 Market Share (%) 2009 12.2 6.4 6.1 5.7 3.6 3.5 3.2 2.8 2.4 2.1 52.0 100.0 11 acquiring consulting companies, and Fujitsu restructured its organization and aggregated its consulting resources among the group into a subsidiary providing new options for Japanese clients. Such moves signal that providers have started seeing a stronger affinity of their IT-consulting-led projects toward the financial advice required by some of their buyers. The 2009 top 10 market share data shows the 10 largest suppliers of consulting services operating in Japans market (see Table 5). Attributes of the five outperformers (Fujitsu, NEC, NTT Data, Nomura Research and Mitsubishi Electric), which exceeded the Japanese market average of negative 0.5% in 2009, include: Ongoing strong relationships with companies in the manufacturing industry, which retained IT investments to improve the business process or expand global operations, even under severe business circumstances. Fujitsu, NEC, NTT Data and Nomura Research empowered their delivery capabilities in regions such as the Americas, East Asia, Europe and China, to strengthen their competitiveness in consulting projects. A consistent attribute of all these five providers (Fujitsu, NEC, NTT Data, Nomura Research and Mitsubishi Electric) of business and IT consulting services in Japan is that they are all headquartered in Japan. Focus put on the IT cost optimization related to consulting, including the review of current systems and IT costs, spending on software support maintenance, and outsourcing. IBM, Hitachi, PricewaterhouseCoopers, IT Holdings and Nihon Unisys declined in revenue in Japans business and IT consulting market in 2009. These five providers in this top 10 list underperformed the market average of negative 0.5%, and their attributes include: We observed that some providers were late in establishing global support capabilities to gain attraction from the globally operating Japanese manufacturers. Relatively high dependency on the financial services sector, which drastically cut IT budgets and froze ongoing projects in 2009. Nomura Research and Mitsubishi Electric derive 100% of their global consulting service revenue from clients in Japan, and NEC derived 91.1% of its global consulting revenue from clients in Japan. NTT Data generated revenue of $190 million, or 34.7%, from the FSI in 2009. Source: Gartner (April 2010) Table 5. Japan: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2008-2009 (Millions of Dollars) Vendor Fujitsu NEC IBM NTT Data Hitachi Nomura Research PricewaterhouseCoopers IT Holdings Mitsubishi Electric Nihon Unisys Other Service Vendors Total Market Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 676 540 564 526 582 195 183 170 148 125 1,683 5,392 2009 712 550 546 529 526 206 155 152 149 125 1,712 5,362 Growth (%) 2008-2009 5.3 1.9
3.2 0.5
9.6 5.9
15.2
10.7 0.9
0.6 1.8
0.5 Market Share (%) 2009 13.3 10.3 10.2 9.9 9.8 3.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.3 31.9 100.0 12 For comparison purposes, we provided the list of top 10 consulting service providers in Japan in local currency (see Table 6). Of the 89 providers that Gartner tracked consulting service revenue for in Japan, 49 exceeded the market average of negative 9.9% in 2009, and 11 providers reported positive growth in yen. 6.0 Key Business and IT Consulting Services This document uses Gartners terminology for consulting services, which is an aggregate for business and IT consulting advisory services. Business consulting services include business operations consulting services that typically preface, enable or influence the adoption of IT. These business consulting services include business process transformation, business process redesign or re-engineering, business performance improvement, corporate compliance, finance transformation, human capital management, risk management, governance and sourcing advisory. Business consulting is different from IT consulting, which is advisory services that help clients assess different technology strategies and, in so doing, align their technology strategies with their business or process strategies. Examples of these types of services include transformational change management after a merger, acquisition and divestures, compliance issues, cost reduction, innovation initiatives in product marketing, IT improvements, organizational design, process improvement, productivity improvement, or functional advice for finance management, human resources, supply chain, marketing or customer care. 7.0 Evolution of the Worldwide and Regional Consulting Markets Worldwide, Gartner predicts that in the near term, revenue pressures on consulting service providers will continue to be high. Consultants must also update their knowledge base frequently to keep pace with evolving business and technology needs to defend their market share. Hype Cycle for Consulting and System Integration, 2009 shows how dynamic the business conditions are for business and IT consulting service providers and their potential clients. Right now, enterprise cost takeout and business process improvement are in the scope for many consulting projects. Apart from price pressure on consulting day rates and frequent changes to business conditions and technology, the global consulting market providers face challenges from competitive technologies, such as online advisory services, software-enabled business models and business process simulations. Source: Gartner (April 2010) Table 6. Japan: Top 10 Consulting Service Providers Revenue, Growth and Market Share, 2008-2009 (Millions of Yen) Vendor Fujitsu NEC IBM NTT Data Hitachi Nomura Research PricewaterhouseCoopers IT Holdings Mitsubishi Electric Nihon Unisys Other Service Vendors Total Market Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2008 69,884 55,787 58,324 54,402 60,125 20,139 18,953 17,585 15,307 12,974 173,899 557,379 2009 66,631 51,478 51,143 49,517 49,234 19,305 14,545 14,215 13,982 11,680 160,208 501,938 Growth (%) 2008-2009 4.7 7.7
12.3 9.0
18.1 4.1
23.3
19.2 8.7
10.0 7.9 9.9 Market Share (%) 2009 13.3 10.3 10.2 9.9 9.8 3.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.3 31.9 100.0 13 For regional consulting service markets, we expect buyers will continue to carefully manage their budgets, as evidenced by intended behaviors of buyers in the U.K., which is the largest market ($6.4 billion) in the Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA) market, and which is expected to grow 5.9% in 2010. In 2010, the demand for advice in several regions is growing again, and as a result, the distribution of market share will evolve; we expect that larger providers will concentrate more market share during the year. Further, some providers listed in this document will strategically acquire competitors, presenting an opportunity to grow their global scale and revenue size in 2010, as well as to acquire new skills needed to address an increased demand of buyers seeking assistance regionally and globally to successfully manage increased complexity in their business operations.