F

Salah eatu Psllcrapan &ri dituibusi lognormal adslah unttrk memodelkan umur pakai flif*ime) dari suafir produ! yang milmrn torhrdap waltu, Miralnya ltfettme dari somikondulilor laser. Dengan distibusi wcibull yang iuga untuk memodolkan konuakan guatu produk, dan dengnn memilih parametor yaig sesuai, maka dapat Todadi Aqptg$i",ryi meqiadi distribusi lognormal terpilih. Dengan dsmifian aisariUusi lognormal dapat
diturunlcan dari firngsi eksponensial sederhana dari variabel acak normat.

Contoh:
The lifetime of a ssmiconduotor laser has a lognormal dishibution with 0 a) What is the probebillty that the lifetime excoeds 10.000 hotrs?

10 jarn dan co

1,5

jam.

b) ffi* tif;tlmo ir Nocodod W gyhof larsn? c) Detsrmlnc ths mean and rtandard dovlatlon of lifefime.

Jawab:

o.

P(x>

10.000)

f,-Ptexp(,tt) 510.0001 =

r-

plw

Stn(10,000)J

P[exp(w)

xJ =

Plw >tn(r)] = t

porlt0bcl,1115

CI(a)

A,99 diperohh a

" [*#1
-2,13

= o.ee

, ll exp(6,S05) x 66g,4gJam. e. mean= E(X) * es+et'(z = orp(X0 + lft25) = 62,g46,3

varianoe= Latihan:
1

ln(r) * t0 *__ = *2133

Ir(tr) =

,2o+o?qsorz

- r) = exp (30 + ?,a5xorry(a,zs) - rl = 8g,070,0sg,gg6,6

dan az

'

suppose that x.Ias a lognonnal dishibution with parameters g =s a) P(X < L3.300) o,tstz b) Thevalueforrsuchthat p(X <r) 0,95 s20e52,2 c) Mean dan variance X t$sl,z fuat,*s=x torz

= 9. Determine

the following:

2'

= = a) what is 4" pTblbrJity Fst a paee is viewed ro, mo* tn* r0 seconds? o,xissl b) PI wlat tength oftiml have ioi/oof the users il;;*" *other page? ,;;---' c) what is the mean and standard deviation or*r" time untii
L
a u"er moves

The length oftime (in seconds) that a usen views apagaon a web site before moving to another page is a lognormal random variable with paramoters 0

0,$dir a*

ftom the page? 2,71gi darr rz6g6i

3'

suppose that'rf has a lognormal distribution and that ths mean and variance of Jtare I00 and s5.000, respectively' Deterurine the parameters 0 qan c.rz of the lognormal diffiiltion . @irr, define r = exp (r) dan y = exp (ar,) and write two equations in terms ofx aniy.y j,1g d4rr 2,2i

13