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10-Jan-14

XYZ

Discounted Cash Flow Model (DCF)

INPUT
Symbol:
Year:
Discount Rate:

XYZ
2009
15.5%

EPS Growth Rate:

12.9%

Dividend Growth Rate:

8.0%

Year
2009
EPS:
Annual Dividend per Share:

Estimated PE:

17.8

1.75

PE Ratio:

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

7.43
32.7%
1.75
16.7%

5.60
36.6%
1.50
66.7%

4.10
5.1%
0.90
12.5%

3.90
11.4%
0.80
0.0%

3.50
15.9%
0.80
6.7%

3.02
11.9%
0.75
7.1%

2.70
8.0%
0.70
16.7%

2.50
31.6%
0.60
20.0%

11.43

9.93

9.62

19.96

2021
4.40
36.04

2022
4.75
40.70

2023
5.13
45.95

2024
5.54
51.89

4.40

4.75

5.13

5.54

2025
5.98
58.59
1,044
1,050

18.42

29.91

28.81

19.59

12.71

2000

1999

1.90
0.50

Manual Overrides
EPS Growth Rate:
Div. Growth Rate:
Current Year EPS:
PE:

Future Cash Flow Estimation


Dividends:
EPS:
Sell Stock:
Total Cash Flow:

2009
1.75
8.39

2010
1.89
9.47

2011
2.04
10.70

2012
2.20
12.08

2013
2.38
13.64

2014
2.57
15.40

2015
2.77
17.39

2016
3.00
19.63

2017
3.23
22.17

2018
3.49
25.03

2019
3.77
28.27

1.75

1.89

2.04

2.20

2.38

2.57

2.77

3.00

3.23

3.49

3.77

2020
4.07
31.92
4.1

Total Cash Flow Includes dividends growing at the Div. Growth Rate plus the sale of the stock at year 15 (based on projected PE)

Share Price Value Based on Discounted Cash Flow

Estimated Fair Value of Stock

INR 105.98

Disclaimer
TIP Guy does not claim model's accuracy, appropriateness of use, assertions or any other definitiveness. TIP Guys intention in sharing this model is for illustration and education purpose only. TIP Guy uses this model and takes full
responsibility of its consequences. If you use this model, you take full responsibility for all its consequences.

202662336.xls.ms_office DCF

1/10/2014 6:57 AM

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