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195.KC Cost of Capital Lecture - Kisk
195.KC Cost of Capital Lecture - Kisk
2008
Cost of Capital
Cost of Capital - The return the firms investors could expect to earn if they invested in securities with comparable degrees of risk
Capital Structure - The firms mix of long term financing and equity financing
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital represents the overall cost of financing to the firm The cost of capital is normally the relevant discount rate to use in analyzing an investment The overall cost of capital is a weighted average of the various sources: WACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACC = After-tax cost x weights
Cost of Debt
The cost of debt to the firm is the effective yield to maturity (or interest rate) paid to its bondholders Since interest is tax deductible to the firm, the actual cost of debt is less than the yield to maturity: After-tax cost of debt = yield x (1 - tax rate) The cost of debt should also be adjusted for flotation costs (associated with issuing new bonds)
Kevin Campbell, University of Stirling, November 2005
Cost of Debt
After-tax cost of Debt
=
=
Tax Savings
33,000
OR
50,000
17,000
33,000
50,000 ( 1 - .34)
Cost of Debt
After-tax % cost of = Debt Before-tax % cost of Debt x
Kd .066
= =
kd (1 - T) .10 (1 - .34)
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Prescott Corporation issues a $1,000 par, 20 year bond paying the market rate of 10%. Coupons are annual. The bond will sell for par since it pays the market rate, but flotation costs amount to $50 per bond. What is the pre-tax and after-tax cost of debt for Prescott Corporation?
Kevin Campbell, University of Stirling, November 2005
costs the firm only 7% (with flotation costs) because interest is tax deductible
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Preferred stock: has a fixed dividend (similar to debt) has no maturity date dividends are not tax deductible and are expected to be perpetual or infinite Cost of preferred stock = dividend price - flotation cost
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Why is there a cost for retained earnings? Earnings can be reinvested or paid out as dividends Investors could buy other securities, and earn a return. Thus, there is an opportunity cost if earnings are retained
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Common stock equity is available through retained earnings (R/E) or by issuing new common stock: Common equity = R/E + New common stock
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The cost of new common stock is higher than the cost of retained earnings because of flotation costs selling and distribution costs (such as sales commissions) for the new securities
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Cost of Equity
There are a number of methods used to determine the cost of equity We will focus on two
Dividend growth Model CAPM
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Estimating the cost of equity: the dividend growth model approach According to the constant growth (Gordon) model, D1 P0 = RE - g Rearranging RE = P0 D1 +g
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Year 1990
Dividend $4.00
Dollar Change -
1991
1992 1993 1994
4.40
4.75 5.25 5.65
$0.40
0.35 0.50 0.40
10.00%
7.95 10.53 7.62
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Some firms concentrate on growth and do not pay dividends at all, or only irregularly Growth rates may also be hard to estimate Also this model doesnt adjust for market risk
Therefore many financial managers prefer the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) - or security market line (SML) - approach for estimating the cost of equity
Kevin Campbell, University of Stirling, November 2005
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kj Rf ( Rm Rf )
Cost of capital Risk-free return Co-variance of returns against the portfolio (departure from the average)
B < 1, security is safer than WIG average B > 1, security is riskier than WIG average
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Beta (risk)
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Finding the Required Return on Common Stock using the Capital Asset Pricing Model
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) can be used to estimate the required return on individual stocks. The formula: K j R f j (K m R f ) where Kj Rf = = = Required return on stock j Risk-free rate of return (usually current rate on Treasury Bill). Beta coefficient for stock j represents risk of the stock
Km
Suppose that Baker has the following values: = 5.5% Rf j = 1.0 Km = 12%
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Finding the Required Return on Common Stock using the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Then, using the CAPM we would get a required return of
K j 5.5 1.0 ( 12 - 5.5) 12%
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CAPM/SML approach
Advantage: Evaluates risk, applicable to firms that dont pay dividends Disadvantage: Need to estimate
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Market Portfolio - Portfolio of all assets in the economy In practice a broad stock market index, such as the WIG, is used to represent the market Beta - sensitivity of a stocks return to the return on the market portfolio
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Estimation of Beta
1. Betas may vary over time. 2. The sample size may be inadequate. 3. Betas are influenced by changing financial leverage and business risk.
Solutions
Problems 1 and 2 (above) can be moderated by more sophisticated statistical techniques. Problem 3 can be lessened by adjusting for changes in business and financial risk. Look at average beta estimates of comparable firms in the industry.
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Stability of Beta
Most analysts argue that betas are generally stable for firms remaining in the same industry Thats not to say that a firms beta cant change
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Use the yield on a long-term bond if you are analyzing cash flows from a long-term investment
For short-term investments, it is entirely appropriate to use the yield on short-term government securities Use the nominal risk-free rate if you discount nominal cash flows and real risk-free rate if you discount real cash flows
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Financial Advisors
90-day T-bill (10%) 5-10 year Treasuries (10%)
N/A (15%)
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WACC weights the cost of equity and the cost of debt by the percentage of each used in a firms capital structure WACC=(E/ V) x RE + (D/ V) x RD x (1-TC)
(E/V)= Equity % of total value (D/V)=Debt % of total value (1-Tc)=After-tax % or reciprocal of corp tax rate Tc. The after-tax rate must be considered because interest on corporate debt is deductible
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WACC Illustration
ABC Corp has 1.4 million shares common valued at $20 per share =$28 million. Debt has face value of $5 million and trades at 93% of face ($4.65 million) in the market. Total market value of both equity + debt thus =$32.65 million. Equity % = .8576 and Debt % = .1424
Risk free rate is 4%, risk premium=7% and ABCs =.74 Return on equity per SML : RE = 4% + (7% x .74)=9.18%
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WACC Illustration
WACC = (E/V) x RE + (D/V) x RD x (1-Tc) = .8576 x .0918 + (.1424 x .11 x .60) = .088126 or 8.81%
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WACC should be based on market rates and valuation, not on book values of debt or equity Book values may not reflect the current marketplace WACC will reflect what a firm needs to earn on a new investment. But the new investment should also reflect a risk level similar to the firms Beta used to calculate the firms RE.
In the case of ABC Co., the relatively low WACC of 8.81% reflects ABCs =.74. A riskier investment should reflect a higher interest rate.
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The WACC is not constant It changes in accordance with the risk of the company and with the floatation costs of new capital
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12.0
10.0 8.0 6.0
A B C 10.41%
10.77% E
F
11.23%
85
95
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The End .
KAPITA - bogactwo zebrane uprzednio w celu podjcia dalszej produkcji (F. Quesnay, XVIII) wszelki wynik procesu produkcyjnego, ktry przeznaczony jest do pniejszego wykorzystania w procesie produkcyjnym (MCKenzzie, Nardelli,1991) caoksztat zaangaowanych w przedsibiorstwie wewntrznych i zewntrznych, wasnych i obcych, terminowych i nieterminowych zasobw (bilans) STRUKTURA KAPITAU proporcja udziau kapitau wasnego i obcego w finansowaniu dziaalnoci przedsibiorstwa relacja wartoci zaduenia dugoterminowego do kapitaw wasnych przedsibiorstwa struktura finansowania struktura kapitau = zobowizania biece ramy statycznego kompromisu, w ktrym przedsibiorstwo ustala docelow wielko wskanika zaduenia i stopniowo zblia si do jego osignicia.
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