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  • 2014-02-25 National Poll Projection

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    David MacDonald
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    The document summarizes polling data from four firms on voting intentions for Canada's 2015 federal election. It shows the sample size and percentage of decided voters for each party in polls conducted between February 15-19, 2014. It then calculates the approximate number of respondents for each party in each poll and combines these totals. Finally, it converts the combined totals into projected national vote percentages, showing the Liberal Party in the lead with 40% support, followed by the NDP at 29% and Conservatives at 23.7%.

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    The document summarizes polling data from four firms on voting intentions for Canada's 2015 federal election. It shows the sample size and percentage of decided voters for each party in polls conducted between February 15-19, 2014. It then calculates the approximate number of respondents for each party in each poll and combines these totals. Finally, it converts the combined totals into projected national vote percentages, showing the Liberal Party in the lead with 40% support, followed by the NDP at 29% and Conservatives at 23.7%.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    2K views1 page

    2014-02-25 National Poll Projection

    Uploaded by

    David MacDonald
    The document summarizes polling data from four firms on voting intentions for Canada's 2015 federal election. It shows the sample size and percentage of decided voters for each party in polls conducted between February 15-19, 2014. It then calculates the approximate number of respondents for each party in each poll and combines these totals. Finally, it converts the combined totals into projected national vote percentages, showing the Liberal Party in the lead with 40% support, followed by the NDP at 29% and Conservatives at 23.7%.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 1

    Canada Federal Election 2015

    www.electionalmanac.com

    National Projection - February 25, 2014


    Step 1: Record the sample size and party percentages for each poll.
    FIRM

    LAST POLLING DAY

    SAMPLE

    BQ

    CON

    GRN

    LIB

    NDP

    OTH

    2014-02-19
    2014-02-18
    2014-02-16
    2014-02-15

    1824
    1034
    1514
    819

    6
    5
    5
    6.4

    29
    29
    28
    28.7

    4
    5
    6
    5.3

    39
    37
    33
    34

    21
    24
    26
    23.2

    1.0
    0.0
    2.0
    2.4

    Forum Research
    Ipsos Reid
    Angus Reid
    Nanos Research

    Step 2: Calculate the approximate number of respondents for each party for each poll.
    FIRM

    LAST POLLING DAY

    SAMPLE

    BQ

    CON

    GRN

    LIB

    NDP

    OTH

    2014-02-19
    2014-02-18
    2014-02-16
    2014-02-15

    1824
    1034
    1514
    819

    109
    52
    76
    52

    529
    300
    424
    235

    73
    52
    91
    43

    711
    383
    500
    278

    383
    248
    394
    190

    18
    0
    30
    20

    5123

    289

    1488

    259

    1872

    1215

    68

    Forum Research
    Ipsos Reid
    Angus Reid
    Nanos Research
    COMBINED TOTAL

    Step 3: Convert the combined total of respondents for each party into a percentage of the total.

    Projected National %

    5.6

    29.0

    5.1

    40.0

    36.5 23.7
    1.3

    5.6

    23.7

    36.5

    35.0

    29.0

    29.0

    30.0

    1.3

    25.0
    20.0
    15.0
    10.0
    5.0
    0.0

    23.7
    5.1
    5.6

    36.5
    5.1

    BQ

    CON

    1.3

    GRN

    LIB

    NDP

    OTH

    BQ

    CON

    GRN

    LIB

    NDP

    OTH

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