2012 Political Risk Map

Bafn Bay Beaufort Sea Barents Sea Davis Strait Nor wegian Sea

G R E E N L A N D
Kara Sea

ARCTIC OCEAN
Laptev Sea East Siberian Sea

Alaska (US)
Godthb Reykjavik Anchorage

ICELAND

SWEDEN

FINLAND

RUSSIA

Hudson Bay

North Sea

NORWAY
Oslo Stockholm

Helsinki Tallinn St Petersburg

ESTONIA
DENMARK Copenhagen

Bering Sea
Moscow Novosibirsk

Riga Kaliningrad (Russia) Vilnius

LATVIA

IRELAND
Dublin

UNITED KINGDOM
London
NETHERLANDS BELGIUM

LITHUANIA

Sea of Okhotsk

Minsk

Berlin

POLAND
Warsaw Prague CZECH REP

BELARUS

Vancouver

C A N A D A
Qubec Montral Ottawa Toronto Boston New York Washington, D.C. Azores (Port)

GERMANY

UKRAINE Kiev

Seattle

SLOVAKIA AUSTRIA LIECHTENSTEIN Bern FRANCE HUNGARY SWITZERLAND SLOVENIA

LUXEMBOURG

Paris

K A Z A K H S TA N
ROMANIA
Bucharest
MOLDOVA

Ulan Bator

MONGOLIA
Casp
GEORGIA ARMENIA

ITALY

Belgrade
CROATIA Sarajevo

MONACO

Chicago

SAN MARINO VATICAN

BULGARIA
BOSNIA
MONTENEGRO

Black Sea
Ankara

Bishkek

Alma Ata

Vladivostock

ian
Sea

San Francisco

U N I T E D S TAT E S O F A M E R I C A

PORTUGAL
Lisbon

ANDORRA

Rome
F.Y.R. MACEDONIA
GREECE

Madrid

AZERBAIJAN

KYRGYZSTAN UZBEKISTAN Tashkent TURKMENISTAN

Dushanbe Ashkhabad
NORTH KOREA

SPAIN
Tunis
Gibraltar (UK) Ceuta (Sp)

Baku

SERBIA

Athens

TURKEY
SYRIA

Beijing

TAJIKISTAN

Pyongyang Seoul
SOUTH KOREA

Algiers

ed

ALBANIA MALTA

Los Angeles

Melilla (Sp)

Dallas Bermuda (UK) Houston New Orleans

Madeira (Port)

Rabat

TUNISIA

MOROCCO
The Canaries (Sp)

Tripoli

ite Se rran a ea

LEBANON CYPRUS

PALESTINE ISRAEL Tel Aviv

Beirut Damascus Amman

JORDAN

Tehran Baghdad

IRAN

AFGHANISTAN

Kabul Islamabad

CHINA

Tokyo Osaka

JAPAN

IRAQ

Wuhan

Shanghai

ALGERIA LIBYA

Cairo

KUWAIT
Th
e
Gu
BAHRAIN

PAKISTAN
Delhi

NEPAL

Gulf of Mexico
MEXICO

Miami Havana
Cayman Islands (UK) BAHAMAS
CUBA

ATLANTIC OCEAN
HAITI DOMINICAN REP

Katmandu

El Aaiun Western Sahara

EGYPT

BHUTAN

Thimphu Abu Dhabi Muscat Karachi

BANGLADESH

East China Sea

Taipei
TAIWAN HONG KONG MACAU

Riyadh

QATAR

lf

Jeddah

SAUDI ARABIA

UAE

INDIA

Dhaka Kolkata
BURMA (MYANMAR)

PACIFIC OCEAN
GUAM

OMAN

Hawaiian Islands (USA)

Guadalajara Mexico City

BELIZE

MAURITANIA
PUERTO RICO (US)

Mecca

Hanoi Vientiane

Red

JAMAICA

Kingston Port-auPrince

Guatemala
GUATEMALA
EL SALVADOR NICARAGUA

HONDURAS

San Salvador

Tegucigalpa

Caribbean Sea
Panama

Guadeloupe (Fr) DOMINICA ANGUILLA ST. LUCIA Netherlands BARBADOS Antilles (NL) ST. VINCENT GRENADA

CAPE VERDE

Dakar Banjul
GAMBIA GUINEA BISSAU

CHAD
Bamako
BURKINA FASO

Khartoum

Niamey N'Djamena
BENIN

SUDAN

Sana

Managua San Jos

COSTA RICA

Caracas

Bissau

f f o Gul

Ad

en

Belmopan

Santo Domingo ST. KITTS

& NEVIS

VIRGIN ISLANDS (US) ANTIGUA & BARBUDA

MALI
SENEGAL

Nouakchott

NIGER

ERITREA

Arabian Sea
YEMEN

Mumbai Rangoon

Se
a

THAILAND
Bangkok

LAOS

TRINIDAD & TOBAGO

GUINEA

DJIBOUTI SOMALIA

Bay of Bengal

CAMBODIA VIETNAM

Phnom Penh

South China Sea

Manila

PHILIPPINES

MICRONESIA

VENEZUELA

GUYANA

Conakry Freetown Paramaribo

SIERRA LEONE LIBERIA COTE D'IVOIRE

NIGERIA
Monrovia Abidjan Accra Lom
CAMEROON

Addis Ababa

PANAMA

Georgetown Bogot

CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

Bangui Yaound

SOUTH SUDAN

ETHIOPIA

SRI LANKA MALDIVES Colombo

PALAU

KIRIBATI MALAYSIA
Kuala Lumpur
BRUNEI

COLOMBIA
Galapagos Islands (Ecuador)

FRENCH GUIANA (FR) SURINAME Cayenne

TOGO EQ GUINEA GHANA

UGANDA

Mogadishu

INDIAN OCEAN
KENYA

NAURU

Quito

SAO TOME & PRINCIPE

ECUADOR
Fortaleza

GABON
Brazzaville

Libreville

DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC Kampala OF CONGO

Kigali Nairobi

SINGAPORE

CONGO

Bujumbura
RWANDA

SEYCHELLES INDONESIA
Jakarta Dili

PERU

BRAZIL
Ascension Island (UK)

Cabinda (Angola)

Kinshasa Dar-es-Salaam

TANZANIA
Luanda

BURUNDI MALAWI COMOROS

PAPUA NEW GUINEA SOLOMON ISLANDS TIMOR LESTE

Port Moresby Honiara

Lima
SAMOA

ANGOLA
Salvador

NIUE (NZ) TONGA

Tahiti

FRENCH POLYNESIA

PACIFIC OCEAN
Africa & Middle East selected elections of interest

BOLIVIA
Brasilia La Paz St. Helena (UK)

ZAMBIA
Lusaka Harare

Lilongwe

Timor Sea

TUVALU
Darwin

FIJI VANUATU MOZAMBIQUE

Antananarivo

ZIMBABWE
Rio de Janeiro So Paulo Asuncin Windhoek

MAURITIUS
Reunion Islands (Fr) New Caledonia (Fr)

MADAGASCAR
Election

Region Africa

Country Angola Algeria Burkina Faso Cameroon Congo Brazzaville Equatorial Guinea Gambia Ghana Guinea Bissau Lesotho Madagascar Mali Senegal Sierra Leone Sudan Togo Zambia Zimbabwe

Election Parliamentary September 2012 Legislative May 2012 Parliamentary May 2012 Legislative July 2012 Legislative 2012 Parliamentary 2012 Legislative 29 March 2012 Presidential December 2012 Parliamentary - 2012 Parliamentary February 2012 Presidential (Tentative) March 2012 Presidential 29 April & 13 May 2012 Presidential 26 February 2012 Legislative November 2012 Referendum (Postponed) 2012 Parliamentary October 2012 Referendum 2012 Parliamentary (Tentative) 2012 Presidential March 2012 Parliamentary 29 March 2012 Presidential 4 May 2012 Legislative (Tentative) February 2012 Presidential 21 February 2012 (Tentative)

PARAGUAY

BOTSWANA
Gaborone Pretoria Johannesburg Maputo

ATLANTIC OCEAN

NAMIBIA

KEY
Country risk level
SWAZILAND

Symbols illustrating signicant risks

EXCHANGE TRANSFER: SOVEREIGN NON-PAYMENT: POLITICAL INTERFERENCE: SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTION:
Perth

AUSTRALIA
Brisbane

SOUTH AFRICA
Legislative December 2012 Presidential April 2012 Parliamentary (Tentative) March 2012 Parliamentary 1 July & 22 July 2012 Parliamentary 17 June 2012 Presidential 17 November 2012
Santiago Buenos Aires

Low risk
LESOTHO

URUGUAY
Cape Town

Medium-low risk
ARGENTINA
Montevideo

Sydney Adelaide Canberra Melbourne

CHILE

Medium risk Medium-high risk

Tasman Sea
Auckland

NEW ZEALAND

LEGAL & REGULATORY RISK: High risk

Referendum (Tentative) - 2012
Wellington

POLITICAL VIOLENCE: Very high risk

Christchurch

Middle East

Egypt Iran Palestine Syria Yemen

Parliamentary 4 May 2012

Non Rated
Falkland Islands (UK)

Dates correct at time of print - January 2012

Line of Control

Scotia Sea

SOUTHERN OCEAN

Aon's political risk experts use a combination of market experience, innovative analysis tools and tailored risk transfer programmes to help you minimise your exposure to political risks. Aon designs risk transfer and management programmes to respond to adverse political actions, providing balance sheet protection and business facilitation. Political and security risk assessments are also available, allowing you to make informed decisions regarding your operations and investments. For further information, please email crisismanagement@aon.co.uk or visit www.aon.com/political-risks
Copyright Aon Group, Inc. 2012. All rights reserved. Published by Aon Global Corporate Marketing and Communications..

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