Week

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40

Customer
Retailer
demand Delivery Backorder Inventory
5
5
0
15
5
5
0
15
5
5
0
15
5
5
0
15
5
9
0
16
9
9
0
12
9
9
0
3
9
6
3
0
9
2
10
0
9
10
9
0
9
7
11
0
9
4
16
0
9
0
25
0
9
0
34
0
9
5
38
0
9
5
42
0
9
0
51
0
9
10
50
0
9
5
54
0
9
5
58
0
9
0
67
0
9
5
71
0
9
10
70
0
9
5
74
0
9
0
83
0
9
30
62
0
9
50
21
0
9
0
30
0
9
20
19
0
9
10
18
0
9
10
17
0
9
20
6
0
9
0
15
0
9
5
19
0
9
5
23
0
9
5
27
0
9
5
31
0
9
10
30
0
9
30
9
0
9
5
13
0

Wholesaler
Order
Delivery Backorder Inventory
10
5
0
15
5
10
0
10
0
5
0
10
0
0
0
15
2
3
0
17
10
2
0
20
7
10
0
10
4
7
0
3
6
3
1
0
5
0
7
0
15
0
12
0
25
5
22
0
20
5
42
0
9
0
62
0
9
10
61
0
15
5
65
0
30
5
75
0
30
0
105
0
10
5
130
0
9
10
130
0
9
5
134
0
10
0
143
0
9
30
123
0
20
50
82
0
9
0
102
0
9
20
91
0
0
10
90
0
9
10
80
0
9
20
69
0
20
0
78
0
5
5
93
0
5
5
93
0
15
5
93
0
9
5
103
0
15
10
102
0
20
30
87
0
20
5
102
0
20
10
112
0
20
10
122
0
10
15
127
0

Order
5
5
0
0
5
5
5
10
5
5
5
5
25
40
5
5
10
20
30
20
10
10
20
10
20
9
9
5
10
10
20
10
5
15
15
20
15
10
5
20

Distributor
Delivery Backorder Inventory
5
0
15
5
0
15
5
0
15
0
0
20
0
0
20
10
0
10
5
0
5
5
0
0
5
5
0
5
0
0
0
5
0
10
5
0
5
5
0
5
25
0
0
65
0
5
65
0
10
60
0
5
65
0
0
85
0
30
85
0
50
55
0
0
65
0
20
55
0
10
65
0
10
65
0
20
65
0
0
74
0
5
78
0
5
78
0
5
83
0
5
88
0
10
98
0
30
78
0
5
78
0
10
83
0
10
88
0
15
93
0
40
68
0
10
68
0
30
43
0

Order
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
10
5
5
0
5
10
30
40
15
0
0
25
35
0
0
0
5
5
5
5
10
30
10
5
50
20
10
23
20
50
30
50
0

Factory
Delivery Backorder Inventory
5
0
15
0
0
20
0
0
25
0
0
35
0
0
35
5
0
30
5
0
25
0
0
25
10
0
15
5
0
10
5
0
5
0
0
15
5
0
10
10
0
5
5
25
0
0
65
0
30
50
0
50
0
0
0
0
10
20
5
0
10
30
0
10
20
0
20
0
5
0
0
55
5
0
55
5
0
50
5
0
45
5
0
45
10
0
35
30
0
5
5
5
0
10
0
0
10
40
0
15
45
0
40
15
0
10
28
0
30
18
0
20
48
0
50
28
0
20
58
0

Order
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
0
5
0
0
30
50
10
10
10
10
25
50
5
0
0
5
0
0
0
10
10
15
5
40
30
20
50
20
70
20
20

80
70
60

Orders

50
40

30
20
10
0
Week

80
70
60
50

Orders

Orders
Week Customer Retailer
Wholesaler Distributor Factory
1
5
10
5
0
10
2
5
5
5
0
0
3
5
0
0
0
0
4
5
0
0
0
0
5
5
2
5
5
0
6
9
10
5
5
0
7
9
7
5
0
0
8
9
4
10
10
0
9
9
6
5
5
10
10
9
5
5
5
0
11
9
15
5
0
5
12
9
25
5
5
0
13
9
20
25
10
0
14
9
9
40
30
30
15
9
9
5
40
50
16
9
15
5
15
10
17
9
30
10
0
10
18
9
30
20
0
10
19
9
10
30
25
10
20
9
9
20
35
25
21
9
9
10
0
50
22
9
10
10
0
5
23
9
9
20
0
0
24
9
20
10
5
0
25
9
9
20
5
5
26
9
9
9
5
0
27
9
0
9
5
0
28
9
9
5
10
0
29
9
9
10
30
10
30
9
20
10
10
10
31
9
5
20
5
15
32
9
5
10
50
5
33
9
15
5
20
40
34
9
9
15
10
30
35
9
15
15
23
20
36
9
20
20
20
50
37
9
20
15
50
20
38
9
20
10
30
70
39
9
20
5
50
20
40
9
10
20
0
20
Average
11.6
11.45
12.95
13.5
Amplitude
30
40
50
70
# Small
4
2
12
15

40
30
20
10
0

Week

Bullwhip Effect

Customer
Retailer
Wholesaler
Distributor
Factory

Week
Week

Bullwhip Effect

Customer
Retailer
Wholesaler
Distributor
Factory

Week
Week

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
Amplitude

Retailer

Total Inventory / Backorder

Wholesaler Distributor Factory
15
15
15
15
10
15
15
10
15
15
15
20
16
17
20
12
20
10
3
10
5
-3
3
0
-10
-1
-5
-9
-7
0
-11
-12
-5
-16
-22
-5
-25
-42
-5
-34
-62
-25
-38
-61
-65
-42
-65
-65
-51
-75
-60
-50
-105
-65
-54
-130
-85
-58
-130
-85
-67
-134
-55
-71
-143
-65
-70
-123
-55
-74
-82
-65
-83
-102
-65
-62
-91
-65
-21
-90
-74
-30
-80
-78
-19
-69
-78
-18
-78
-83
-17
-93
-88
-6
-93
-98
-15
-93
-78
-19
-103
-78
-23
-102
-83
-27
-87
-88
-31
-102
-93
-30
-112
-68
-9
-122
-68
-13
-127
-43
99

163

118

15
20
25
35
35
30
25
25
15
10
5
15
10
5
-25
-65
-50
0
10
-5
-30
-20
5
55
55
50
45
45
35
5
-5
0
-40
-45
-15
-28
-18
-48
-28
-58
120

Out of stock = Serious

100

50

0
Inventory

Week

1
-50

-100

-150

-200

9 11

Out of stock = Serious lack of service level!

11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
Retailer
Wholesaler
Distributor
Factory

Week

3000

2500

2000
Cost

Total Cost
Week Retailer
Wholesaler Distributor Factory
Supply Chain
1
7.5
7.5
7.5
7.5
30
2
15
12.5
15
17.5
60
3
22.5
17.5
22.5
30
92.5
4
30
25
32.5
47.5
135
5
38
33.5
42.5
65
179
6
44
43.5
47.5
80
215
7
45.5
48.5
50
92.5
236.5
8
48.5
50
50
105
253.5
9
58.5
51
55
112.5
277
10
67.5
58
55
117.5
298
11
78.5
70
60
120
328.5
12
94.5
92
65
127.5
379
13
119.5
134
70
132.5
456
14
153.5
196
95
135
579.5
15
191.5
257
160
160
768.5
16
233.5
322
225
225
1005.5
17
284.5
397
285
275
1241.5
18
334.5
502
350
275
1461.5
19
388.5
632
435
280
1735.5
20
446.5
762
520
285
2013.5
21
513.5
896
575
315
2299.5
22
584.5
1039
640
335
2598.5
23
654.5
1162
695
337.5
2849
24
728.5
1244
760
365
3097.5
25
811.5
1346
825
392.5
3375
26
873.5
1437
890
417.5
3618
27
894.5
1527
964
440
3825.5
28
924.5
1607
1042
462.5
4036
29
943.5
1676
1120
480
4219.5
30
961.5
1754
1203
482.5
4401
31
978.5
1847
1291
487.5
4604
32
984.5
1940
1389
487.5
4801
33
999.5
2033
1467
527.5
5027
34
1018.5
2136
1545
572.5
5272
35
1041.5
2238
1628
587.5
5495
36
1068.5
2325
1716
615.5
5725
37
1099.5
2427
1809
633.5
5969
38
1129.5
2539
1877
681.5
6227
39
1138.5
2661
1945
709.5
6454
40
1151.5
2788
1988
767.5
6695

1500

1000

500

0
1

Total Cost

Retailer
Wholesaler
Distributor
Factory

9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
Week