Bng bn cnh th hin cu v hoa hng,

Q: s lng hoa hng bn c

P1: Gi hoa hng
P2: Gi hoa ng tin
Y: Thu nhp/1 tun
Xt phng trnh ng cu sau:
lnQ = f+g.lnP1+k.lnP2+m.lnY
a) Hy hi qui c lng phng trnh cu v gii thch kt qu. Kt qu hi qui c ng tin cy hay khng?
b) T kt qu trn, hoa dong tien l loi hng ha g?
c) S liu t dng 1 n dng 9 l s liu thu thp c thnh ph v t dng 10 n dng 16 l s liu thu thp
Vy theo anh ch, cch thuc tiu dng hoa hng hai vng ny khc nhau nh th no? Ti sao?
d) Nu gi hoa hng ang bn 2.91 USD. Nu mun tng tng doanh thu, anh ch c t vn g cho ngi trng hoa?

qui c ng tin cy hay khng?

ng 10 n dng 16 l s liu thu thp c nng thn.

th no? Ti sao?
anh ch c t vn g cho ngi trng hoa?

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.867426
R Square
0.752428
Adjusted R Square
0.690535
Standard Error
0.170714
Observations
16
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
3 1.062879 0.354293 12.15691 0.000599
12 0.34972 0.029143
15 1.412599

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 6.083729 4.721057 1.288637
X Variable 1 -1.89352 0.336112
-5.6336
X Variable 2 1.522681 0.552919 2.753893
X Variable 3 0.590176 0.892946 0.660932

Q_h = 6.08 - 1.89 lnP_h + 1.52 lnP_d + 0.59 lnY

substitute goods

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.221815 -4.20257 16.37003 -4.20257 16.37003
0.00011 -2.62585
-1.1612 -2.62585
-1.1612
0.017476 0.317973 2.727388 0.317973 2.727388
0.521143 -1.35539 2.535739 -1.35539 2.535739

R square tt nhng 1 hoc 1 vi h s khng c ngha thng k: thu nhp khng c tc ng ng k n lng hoa hng
c hm tt hn c th loi bt bin s thu nhp ra khi m hnh v chy li pp hi quy

Upper 95.0%

ng ng k n lng hoa hng c mua

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.854168
R Square
0.729603
Adjusted R Square
0.567365
Standard Error
0.111599
Observations
9
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
3 0.168024 0.056008 4.497106 0.069529
5 0.062271 0.012454
8 0.230296

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 11.47259 3.614226 3.174287
X Variable 1 -1.07334 0.420904 -2.55008
X Variable 2 0.391547 0.473579 0.826783
X Variable 3 -0.34016 0.699391 -0.48636

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.024696 2.181927 20.76325 2.181927 20.76325
0.051261 -2.15531 0.008628 -2.15531 0.008628
0.446008 -0.82583 1.608921 -0.82583 1.608921
0.647279
-2.138 1.457686
-2.138 1.457686

p nng thn nhy cm (mnh) hn: tc ng ca gi hoa hng

hoa hng vi Tp l th cp, vi NT l hng ha xa x
tuy nhin p value khng c ngha nn yu t thu nhp khng c

Upper 95.0%

hn: tc ng ca gi hoa hng n sn lng l ln

l hng ha xa x
a nn yu t thu nhp khng c ngha, ko thuyt phc

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.966143
R Square
0.933433
Adjusted R Square
0.866866
Standard Error
0.109047
Observations
7
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
3 0.500234 0.166745 14.02248 0.028567
3 0.035674 0.011891
6 0.535908

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept
-3.90706 13.22227 -0.29549
X Variable 1 -3.62988 0.813472 -4.46221
X Variable 2 5.38335 1.287114 4.182498
X Variable 3 2.007732 2.555351 0.785697

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.786891 -45.9862 38.1721 -45.9862 38.1721
0.02096 -6.21871 -1.04105 -6.21871 -1.04105
0.024906 1.28718 9.479519 1.28718 9.479519
0.489386 -6.12454
10.14 -6.12454
10.14

Upper 95.0%

Quan h TR v E
Tng doanh thu, gim gi
Q: tm h s co gin ti mc gi 2.91
pp: hi quy hm tuyn tnh

P1
11484
9348
8429
10079
9240
8862
6216
8253
8038
7476
5911
7950
6134
5868
3160
5872

P2
2.26
2.54
3.07
2.91
2.73
2.77
3.59
3.23
2.6
2.89
3.77
3.64
2.82
2.96
4.24
3.69

Y
3.49
2.85
4.06
3.64
3.21
3.66
3.76
3.49
3.13
3.2
3.65
3.69
2.94
3.12
3.58
3.53

t
158.11
173.36
165.26
172.92
178.46
198.62
186.28
188.98
180.49
183.33
181.87
185
184
188.2
175.67
188

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

9.34871
9.142918
9.039433
9.218209
9.131297
9.089528
8.734882
9.018332
8.991936
8.919453
8.68457
8.980927
8.721602
8.677269
8.058327
8.677951

0.815365
0.932164
1.121678
1.068153
1.004302
1.018847
1.278152
1.172482
0.955511
1.061257
1.327075
1.291984
1.036737
1.085189
1.444563
1.305626

1.249902
1.047319
1.401183
1.291984
1.166271
1.297463
1.324419
1.249902
1.141033
1.163151
1.294727
1.305626
1.07841
1.137833
1.275363
1.261298

5.063291
5.15537
5.10752
5.152829
5.184364
5.291393
5.227251
5.241641
5.195675
5.211288
5.203292
5.220356
5.214936
5.237505
5.168607
5.236442