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Arizona Republican Primary Election Poll Crosstabs

July 28-29, 2014


Results:
Q: How likely are you to vote in the August 26th Republican primary elections?
Media Market

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
92.68%
4.27%
3.05%
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
94.57%
4.35%
1.09%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
85.71%
14.29%
0.00%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Republican
93.62%
4.06%
2.32%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
86.84%
7.89%
5.26%
100.00%

Gender
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Female
93.16%
4.94%
1.90%
100.00%

Male
93.83%
3.70%
2.47%
100.00%

Age
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

121 State Street


Harrisburg, PA 17101

18 to 39
87.50%
5.36%
7.14%
100.00%

40 to 54
96.26%
1.87%
1.87%
100.00%

55 to 65
93.71%
4.90%
1.40%
100.00%

HarperPolling.com

66 or older
94.09%
4.43%
1.48%
100.00%

Brock@HarperPolling.com

Race

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Hispanic or
White
Latino
93.57%
86.67%
4.21%
6.67%
2.22%
6.67%
100.00% 100.00%

Native
American
100.00%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%

Other
96.67%
3.33%
0.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Yes
94.83%
4.74%
0.43%
100.00%

No
94.52%
2.74%
2.74%
100.00%

Not sure
92.55%
3.19%
4.26%
100.00%

Ideology

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
95.53%
93.42%
94.55% 100.00% 66.67%
3.91%
4.61%
1.82%
0.00%
0.00%
0.56%
1.97%
3.64%
0.00%
33.33%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of each.
Ken Bennett
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
Favorable
35.60%
Unfavorable
14.05%
Not sure
50.35%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA
VISTA)
21.95%
13.41%
64.63%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
34.68%
Unfavorable
12.53%
Not sure
52.80%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
24.24%
19.70%
56.06%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
33.33%
0.00%
66.67%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
31.63%
10.70%
57.67%
100.00%

Male
38.01%
14.48%
47.51%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
32.00%
6.00%
62.00%
100.00%

40 to 54
31.58%
14.74%
53.68%
100.00%

55 to 65
38.89%
10.32%
50.79%
100.00%

66 or older
33.93%
14.88%
51.19%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
34.96%
Unfavorable 12.34%
Not sure
52.70%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
46.15%
7.69%
46.15%
100.00%

Native
American
40.00%
20.00%
40.00%
100.00%

Other
23.08%
19.23%
57.69%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
35.21%
10.33%
54.46%
100.00%

No
41.43%
15.71%
42.86%
100.00%

Not sure
33.33%
10.71%
55.95%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
37.04%
39.44%
26.00%
42.86%
0.00%
Unfavorable
9.88%
10.56%
20.00%
14.29%
0.00%
Not sure
53.09%
50.00%
54.00%
42.86% 100.00%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Doug Ducey
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
41.27%
30.79%
27.95%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
43.96%
27.47%
28.57%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
7.69%
38.46%
53.85%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
19.44%
43.06%
37.50%
100.00%

Republican
Favorable
44.24%
Unfavorable
28.40%
Not sure
27.37%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
44.64%
25.75%
29.61%
100.00%

Male
40.93%
32.07%
27.00%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
42.31%
23.08%
34.62%
100.00%

40 to 54
44.44%
28.28%
27.27%
100.00%

55 to 65
42.54%
31.34%
26.12%
100.00%

66 or older
42.02%
29.26%
28.72%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
43.23%
Unfavorable 29.22%
Not sure
27.55%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
42.86%
21.43%
35.71%
100.00%

Native
American
20.00%
40.00%
40.00%
100.00%

Other
25.93%
33.33%
40.74%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
53.04%
20.43%
26.52%
100.00%

No
32.88%
50.68%
16.44%
100.00%

Not sure
32.98%
27.66%
39.36%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Conservative
Favorable
51.69%
Unfavorable
21.35%
Not sure
26.97%
Total
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
44.74%
27.63%
27.63%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


27.78%
14.29%
0.00%
40.74%
71.43% 33.33%
31.48%
14.29% 66.67%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Christine Jones
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
26.05%
45.47%
28.48%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
34.48%
37.93%
27.59%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
28.99%
Unfavorable
43.70%
Not sure
27.31%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
19.44%
44.44%
36.11%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
24.46%
43.78%
31.76%
100.00%

Male
29.87%
43.29%
26.84%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
38.46%
23.08%
38.46%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
31.91%
25.53%
42.55%
100.00%

40 to 54
32.00%
39.00%
29.00%
100.00%

55 to 65
27.61%
47.01%
25.37%
100.00%

66 or older
23.12%
47.85%
29.03%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
27.10%
Unfavorable 44.84%
Not sure
28.06%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic
or Latino
23.08%
30.77%
46.15%
100.00%

Native
American Other
0.00%
33.33%
50.00%
29.63%
50.00%
37.04%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
31.00%
42.36%
26.64%
100.00%

No
20.83%
59.72%
19.44%
100.00%

Not sure
24.47%
36.17%
39.36%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Conservative
Favorable
33.33%
Unfavorable
41.81%
Not sure
24.86%
Total
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
26.00%
40.00%
34.00%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


14.55%
14.29%
0.00%
58.18%
71.43% 66.67%
27.27%
14.29% 33.33%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Frank Riggs
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
13.30%
22.39%
64.30%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
6.90%
20.69%
72.41%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
8.33%
25.00%
66.67%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
9.72%
31.94%
58.33%
100.00%

Republican
Favorable
12.47%
Unfavorable
20.93%
Not sure
66.60%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
12.39%
17.52%
70.09%
100.00%

Male
10.78%
27.16%
62.07%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
10.00%
14.00%
76.00%
100.00%

40 to 54
15.15%
22.22%
62.63%
100.00%

55 to 65
10.45%
23.88%
65.67%
100.00%

66 or older
11.29%
23.12%
65.59%
100.00%

Native
American
0.00%
75.00%
25.00%
100.00%

Other
15.38%
15.38%
69.23%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
11.19%
Unfavorable 22.14%
Not sure
66.67%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
15.38%
30.77%
53.85%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
14.22%
17.24%
68.53%
100.00%

No
10.96%
35.62%
53.42%
100.00%

Not sure
7.45%
19.15%
73.40%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
16.20%
9.21%
7.27%
14.29%
0.00%
Unfavorable
17.32%
19.74%
38.18%
28.57%
0.00%
Not sure
66.48%
71.05%
54.55%
57.14% 100.00%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Scott Smith
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
29.73%
19.37%
50.90%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
8.14%
26.74%
65.12%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
8.33%
8.33%
83.33%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
26.50%
Unfavorable
19.44%
Not sure
54.06%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
19.72%
25.35%
54.93%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
24.35%
17.83%
57.83%
100.00%

Male
28.02%
21.12%
50.86%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
24.49%
22.45%
53.06%
100.00%

40 to 54
22.68%
19.59%
57.73%
100.00%

55 to 65
32.09%
20.15%
47.76%
100.00%

66 or older
23.78%
17.84%
58.38%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
27.16%
Unfavorable 18.51%
Not sure
54.33%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
38.46%
0.00%
61.54%
100.00%

Native
American
25.00%
50.00%
25.00%
100.00%

Other
7.69%
30.77%
61.54%
100.00%

Tea Party
Yes
20.43%
23.91%
55.65%
100.00%

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

No
47.22%
9.72%
43.06%
100.00%

Not sure
20.21%
14.89%
64.89%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Conservative
Favorable
20.34%
Unfavorable
25.42%
Not sure
54.24%
Total
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
28.29%
15.13%
56.58%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


31.48%
28.57%
0.00%
14.81%
0.00%
0.00%
53.70%
71.43% 100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Andrew Thomas
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
28.28%
37.10%
34.62%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
5.75%
33.33%
60.92%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
24.52%
Unfavorable
35.70%
Not sure
39.78%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
24.29%
38.57%
37.14%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
36.36%
9.09%
54.55%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
22.08%
32.90%
45.02%
100.00%

Male
26.72%
37.50%
35.78%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39 40 to 54 55 to 65
24.00% 23.47% 23.31%
26.00% 40.82% 42.86%
50.00% 35.71% 33.83%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

66 or older
25.41%
29.73%
44.86%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
24.04%
Unfavorable 34.62%
Not sure
41.35%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
38.46%
38.46%
23.08%
100.00%

Native
American
50.00%
25.00%
25.00%
100.00%

Other
18.52%
44.44%
37.04%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
32.03%
32.47%
35.50%
100.00%

No
16.44%
53.42%
30.14%
100.00%

Not sure
16.13%
31.18%
52.69%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
33.71%
19.21%
18.18%
14.29%
0.00%
Unfavorable
25.84%
45.70%
40.00%
57.14%
0.00%
Not sure
40.45%
35.10%
41.82%
28.57% 100.00%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Governor were held today, which of the following
candidates would you vote for: Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Frank Riggs, Scott
Smith, or Andrew Thomas?
Media Market

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
11.92%
23.60%
14.25%
4.44%
17.52%
12.62%
15.65%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
13.10%
40.48%
19.05%
7.14%
2.38%
1.19%
16.67%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Republican
12.42%
28.16%
14.86%
4.21%
15.08%
9.76%
15.52%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
11.94%
13.43%
17.91%
8.96%
11.94%
14.93%
20.90%
100.00%

Gender
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Female
9.33%
30.22%
14.22%
6.67%
14.22%
10.22%
15.11%
100.00%

Male
14.35%
24.35%
17.39%
1.74%
16.09%
10.43%
15.65%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
27.27%
9.09%
27.27%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
36.36%
100.00%

Age
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
14.29%
26.53%
20.41%
4.08%
14.29%
10.20%
10.20%
100.00%

40 to 54
8.33%
21.88%
18.75%
7.29%
15.63%
10.42%
17.71%
100.00%

55 to 65
12.40%
24.81%
17.05%
4.65%
17.83%
8.53%
14.73%
100.00%

66 or older
12.50%
31.52%
13.04%
2.72%
13.04%
11.41%
15.76%
100.00%

Race
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

White
11.00%
27.63%
15.40%
4.16%
15.89%
10.27%
15.65%
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
23.08%
15.38%
23.08%
7.69%
15.38%
7.69%
7.69%
100.00%

Native American
Other
0.00%
23.08%
0.00%
19.23%
0.00%
26.92%
0.00%
7.69%
25.00%
3.85%
50.00%
7.69%
25.00%
11.54%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Yes
10.34%
32.76%
19.83%
4.74%
7.33%
12.07%
12.93%
100.00%

No
16.44%
15.07%
6.85%
5.48%
36.99%
8.22%
10.96%
100.00%

Not sure
12.77%
21.28%
13.83%
5.32%
14.89%
6.38%
25.53%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
12.29%
13.16%
9.09%
14.29%
0.00%
29.05%
29.61%
12.73%
42.86%
0.00%
16.76%
17.11%
12.73%
0.00%
0.00%
5.03%
4.61%
3.64%
14.29% 33.33%
8.94%
15.13%
32.73%
14.29%
0.00%
13.97%
4.61%
9.09%
14.29%
0.00%
13.97%
15.79%
20.00%
0.00%
66.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Q: If the Republican primary election for Governor were held today, which of the following
candidates would be your second choice: Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Frank
Riggs, Scott Smith, or Andrew Thomas?
Media Market
PHOENIX
TUCSON
(PRESCOTT) (SIERRA VISTA)
20.78%
25.64%
19.07%
17.95%
15.89%
19.23%
5.38%
5.13%
9.29%
1.28%
7.33%
2.56%
22.25%
28.21%
100.00%
100.00%

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total
Party Affiliation

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Republican
21.21%
19.35%
16.08%
6.06%
7.23%
6.76%
23.31%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
23.44%
15.63%
18.75%
1.56%
12.50%
3.13%
25.00%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
18.18%
9.09%
9.09%
9.09%
9.09%
0.00%
45.45%
100.00%

Gender
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Female
20.36%
18.55%
15.84%
4.98%
9.05%
8.60%
22.62%
100.00%

Male
22.67%
17.33%
17.33%
6.67%
7.56%
4.44%
24.00%
100.00%

Age
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
25.00%
14.58%
18.75%
8.33%
10.42%
10.42%
12.50%
100.00%

40 to 54
20.83%
13.54%
18.75%
5.21%
8.33%
7.29%
26.04%
100.00%

55 to 65
19.67%
23.77%
16.39%
5.74%
4.92%
6.56%
22.95%
100.00%

66 or older
21.31%
17.49%
15.30%
6.01%
9.84%
5.46%
24.59%
100.00%

Race
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

White
20.95%
18.70%
16.21%
4.99%
8.73%
6.48%
23.94%
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
33.33%
25.00%
8.33%
0.00%
16.67%
8.33%
8.33%
100.00%

Native American
Other
50.00%
19.23%
0.00%
11.54%
0.00%
30.77%
0.00%
15.38%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
7.69%
50.00%
15.38%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Yes
20.78%
19.91%
16.02%
6.93%
7.79%
8.23%
20.35%
100.00%

No
27.40%
15.07%
13.70%
4.11%
12.33%
6.85%
20.55%
100.00%

Not sure
20.21%
14.89%
17.02%
6.38%
3.19%
4.26%
34.04%
100.00%

Ideology

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
18.44%
25.83%
23.64%
14.29% 33.33%
18.99%
17.22%
12.73%
28.57%
0.00%
15.64%
17.22%
12.73%
14.29%
0.00%
6.70%
5.96%
5.45%
14.29%
0.00%
8.38%
5.96%
7.27%
28.57%
0.00%
7.82%
6.62%
7.27%
0.00%
0.00%
24.02%
21.19%
30.91%
0.00%
66.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Now, I am going to read you two names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of each.
Tom Horne
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
26.73%
51.98%
21.29%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
36.36%
41.56%
22.08%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
28.54%
Unfavorable
50.71%
Not sure
20.75%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
30.16%
46.03%
23.81%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
27.52%
48.62%
23.85%
100.00%

Male
29.33%
52.44%
18.22%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
36.36%
27.27%
36.36%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
43.48%
32.61%
23.91%
100.00%

40 to 54
26.32%
52.63%
21.05%
100.00%

55 to 65
24.39%
62.60%
13.01%
100.00%

66 or older
27.47%
46.70%
25.82%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
28.32%
Unfavorable 49.37%
Not sure
22.31%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
41.67%
50.00%
8.33%
100.00%

Native
American Other
0.00%
20.00%
100.00% 64.00%
0.00%
16.00%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
35.06%
42.86%
22.08%
100.00%

No
10.96%
76.71%
12.33%
100.00%

Not sure
25.53%
47.87%
26.60%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
30.90%
31.58%
16.36%
0.00%
0.00%
Unfavorable
43.82%
52.63%
63.64%
71.43% 33.33%
Not sure
25.28%
15.79%
20.00%
28.57% 66.67%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Mark Brnovich
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
Favorable
16.21%
Unfavorable
11.72%
Not sure
72.07%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
18.18%
14.29%
67.53%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
18.18%
0.00%
81.82%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
8.06%
20.97%
70.97%
100.00%

Republican
Favorable
17.77%
Unfavorable
10.19%
Not sure
72.04%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
14.81%
12.04%
73.15%
100.00%

Male
17.78%
11.11%
71.11%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
13.04%
10.87%
76.09%
100.00%

40 to 54
14.74%
12.63%
72.63%
100.00%

55 to 65
22.76%
6.50%
70.73%
100.00%

66 or older
13.89%
15.00%
71.11%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
16.12%
Unfavorable 11.08%
Not sure
72.80%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic
or Latino
16.67%
16.67%
66.67%
100.00%

Native
American
Other
25.00%
16.00%
0.00%
20.00%
75.00%
64.00%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
18.10%
11.64%
70.26%
100.00%

No
23.29%
17.81%
58.90%
100.00%

Not sure
11.70%
3.19%
85.11%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
12.85%
23.03%
18.18%
14.29%
0.00%
Unfavorable
11.73%
7.24%
18.18%
0.00%
0.00%
Not sure
75.42%
69.74%
63.64%
85.71% 100.00%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Tom Horne or Mark Brnovich?
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
Horne
32.65%
Brnovich
40.62%
Not sure
26.74%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
34.67%
32.00%
33.33%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
22.22%
44.44%
33.33%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Horne
31.39%
Brnovich
40.15%
Not sure
28.47%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
43.10%
34.48%
22.41%
100.00%

Gender
Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

Female
30.52%
38.97%
30.52%
100.00%

Male
36.36%
39.55%
24.09%
100.00%

Age
Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
53.49%
27.91%
18.60%
100.00%

40 to 54
29.79%
37.23%
32.98%
100.00%

55 to 65
22.13%
48.36%
29.51%
100.00%

66 or older
37.29%
37.85%
24.86%
100.00%

Race
White
Horne
32.74%
Brnovich 40.15%
Not sure 27.11%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
54.55%
36.36%
9.09%
100.00%

Native American
Other
25.00%
29.17%
25.00%
33.33%
50.00%
37.50%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Yes
37.39%
35.65%
26.96%
100.00%

Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

No
21.92%
52.05%
26.03%
100.00%

Not sure
31.91%
40.43%
27.66%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Conservative
Horne
37.08%
Brnovich
34.27%
Not sure
28.65%
Total
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
32.24%
44.08%
23.68%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


27.78%
14.29%
0.00%
40.74%
85.71% 33.33%
31.48%
0.00%
66.67%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Wil Cardon, Justin Pierce, or Michele Reagan?
Media Market

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
16.22%
25.27%
28.99%
29.52%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
21.43%
25.71%
22.86%
30.00%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Republican
17.26%
26.14%
27.41%
29.19%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
10.91%
23.64%
27.27%
38.18%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%

Gender
Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Female
16.11%
24.64%
27.01%
32.23%
100.00%

Male
18.31%
27.70%
28.64%
25.35%
100.00%

Age
Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
28.57%
33.33%
16.67%
21.43%
100.00%

40 to 54
15.56%
23.33%
27.78%
33.33%
100.00%

55 to 65
12.40%
26.45%
30.58%
30.58%
100.00%

66 or older
18.97%
25.86%
28.16%
27.01%
100.00%

Race
Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

White
16.41%
25.26%
29.17%
29.17%
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
45.45%
36.36%
9.09%
9.09%
100.00%

Native American
Other
0.00%
26.09%
66.67%
26.09%
0.00%
13.04%
33.33%
34.78%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Yes
17.39%
31.30%
24.78%
26.52%
100.00%

No
17.81%
19.18%
42.47%
20.55%
100.00%

Not sure
17.02%
22.34%
21.28%
39.36%
100.00%

Ideology

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
17.42%
16.56%
18.18%
28.57%
0.00%
33.71%
23.84%
16.36%
0.00%
33.33%
21.91%
29.80%
40.00%
28.57%
0.00%
26.97%
29.80%
25.45%
42.86% 66.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for State Treasurer were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Jeff DeWit, Hugh Hallman, or Randy Pullen?
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
DeWit
11.36%
Hallman
16.90%
Pullen
12.74%
Not sure
59.00%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
20.29%
5.80%
14.49%
59.42%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
0.00%
0.00%
12.50%
87.50%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Republican
12.34%
14.70%
13.39%
59.58%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
13.46%
15.38%
9.62%
61.54%
100.00%

Gender
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Female
10.05%
13.88%
16.27%
59.81%
100.00%

Male
15.79%
16.75%
9.57%
57.89%
100.00%

Age
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
14.29%
11.90%
16.67%
57.14%
100.00%

40 to 54
12.09%
12.09%
12.09%
63.74%
100.00%

55 to 65
16.38%
15.52%
10.34%
57.76%
100.00%

66 or older
10.47%
17.44%
14.53%
57.56%
100.00%

Race
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

White
12.20%
15.65%
13.26%
58.89%
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
0.00%
27.27%
9.09%
63.64%
100.00%

Native American
Other
0.00%
25.00%
33.33%
4.17%
0.00%
12.50%
66.67%
58.33%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Yes
14.72%
12.55%
14.72%
58.01%
100.00%

No
9.72%
23.61%
12.50%
54.17%
100.00%

Not sure
11.70%
15.96%
9.57%
62.77%
100.00%

Ideology

DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
12.92%
15.13%
11.11%
0.00%
0.00%
12.36%
14.47%
24.07%
57.14%
0.00%
16.29%
11.18%
9.26%
0.00%
0.00%
58.43%
59.21%
55.56%
42.86% 100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were held today,
which of the following candidates would you vote for: John Huppenthal or Diane Douglas?
Media Market

Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
28.82%
39.12%
32.06%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
26.47%
38.24%
35.29%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Huppenthal
27.52%
Douglas
40.60%
Not sure
31.88%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
31.11%
26.67%
42.22%
100.00%

Gender
Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

Female
24.51%
39.71%
35.78%
100.00%

Male
31.34%
38.81%
29.85%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
12.50%
37.50%
50.00%
100.00%

Age
Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
30.00%
40.00%
30.00%
100.00%

40 to 54
25.00%
36.36%
38.64%
100.00%

55 to 65
28.45%
34.48%
37.07%
100.00%

66 or older
29.27%
43.29%
27.44%
100.00%

Race
White
Huppenthal 28.34%
Douglas
38.42%
Not sure
33.24%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
22.22%
44.44%
33.33%
100.00%

Native
American
33.33%
33.33%
33.33%
100.00%

Other
30.43%
39.13%
30.43%
100.00%

Tea Party
Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

Yes
35.22%
36.96%
27.83%
100.00%

No
15.07%
49.32%
35.62%
100.00%

Not sure
22.83%
35.87%
41.30%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Conservative
Huppenthal
35.39%
Douglas
32.02%
Not sure
32.58%
Total
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
26.85%
40.94%
32.21%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


12.73%
28.57%
0.00%
54.55%
57.14% 33.33%
32.73%
14.29% 66.67%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Corporate Commission were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Tom Forese, Doug Little, Lucy Mason, or Vernon
Parker?
Media Market

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX TUCSON (SIERRA


(PRESCOTT)
VISTA)
17.26%
17.91%
8.04%
10.45%
11.31%
14.93%
19.94%
2.99%
43.45%
53.73%
100.00%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
0.00%
12.50%
12.50%
0.00%
75.00%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Republican
16.21%
8.79%
11.81%
17.03%
46.15%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
22.73%
6.82%
11.36%
13.64%
45.45%
100.00%

Gender
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Female
16.18%
9.80%
13.24%
15.20%
45.59%
100.00%

Male
18.00%
7.00%
10.50%
19.00%
45.50%
100.00%

Age
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
10.26%
17.95%
10.26%
15.38%
46.15%
100.00%

40 to 54
11.24%
7.87%
10.11%
28.09%
42.70%
100.00%

55 to 65
18.10%
9.48%
18.10%
12.93%
41.38%
100.00%

66 or older
21.47%
6.13%
8.59%
14.11%
49.69%
100.00%

Race
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

White
16.94%
7.65%
11.20%
17.49%
46.72%
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
22.22%
22.22%
22.22%
0.00%
33.33%
100.00%

Native American
Other
33.33%
8.70%
0.00%
17.39%
0.00%
21.74%
33.33%
17.39%
33.33%
34.78%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Yes
16.81%
9.05%
11.64%
17.67%
44.83%
100.00%

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

No
16.44%
12.33%
13.70%
16.44%
41.10%
100.00%

Not sure
17.20%
4.30%
10.75%
16.13%
51.61%
100.00%

Ideology

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Very
Conservative
17.32%
8.38%
11.17%
18.44%
44.69%
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
17.22%
9.93%
10.60%
16.56%
45.70%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


16.36%
0.00%
0.00%
7.27%
0.00%
0.00%
18.18%
0.00%
0.00%
10.91%
57.14%
0.00%
47.27%
42.86% 100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: And since you can vote for two candidates, who would be your second choice?
Media Market

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
12.12%
15.15%
10.00%
5.76%
56.97%
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
5.97%
17.91%
5.97%
2.99%
67.16%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Republican
11.42%
15.88%
8.64%
4.74%
59.33%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
6.98%
11.63%
13.95%
9.30%
58.14%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
0.00%
12.50%
12.50%
0.00%
75.00%
100.00%

Gender
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Female
14.00%
15.00%
11.00%
4.50%
55.50%
100.00%

Male
8.04%
15.58%
8.04%
6.03%
62.31%
100.00%

Age
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
20.51%
5.13%
10.26%
5.13%
58.97%
100.00%

40 to 54
6.82%
10.23%
13.64%
9.09%
60.23%
100.00%

55 to 65
11.40%
18.42%
10.53%
5.26%
54.39%
100.00%

66 or older
10.56%
19.25%
6.21%
3.11%
60.87%
100.00%

Race
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

White
10.80%
14.96%
9.97%
4.16%
60.11%
100.00%

Hispanic or Latino
10.00%
30.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
100.00%

Native American
Other
0.00%
13.64%
0.00%
13.64%
33.33%
4.55%
0.00%
18.18%
66.67%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Yes
11.26%
17.75%
7.36%
5.63%
58.01%
100.00%

No
9.59%
9.59%
20.55%
6.85%
53.42%
100.00%

Not sure
11.70%
13.83%
6.38%
2.13%
65.96%
100.00%

Ideology

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
14.04%
9.87%
5.45%
14.29%
0.00%
15.17%
17.11%
12.73%
0.00%
0.00%
8.43%
8.55%
12.73%
28.57%
0.00%
4.49%
4.61%
9.09%
0.00%
0.00%
57.87%
59.87%
60.00%
57.14% 100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

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