Prospect Theory: Siti Noraein Mohd Hadi Huwaida Husna Mohd Tahir Alya Munirah Yusoff

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SI TI NORAEI N MOHD HADI

HUWAI DA HUSNA MOHD TAHI R


ALYA MUNI RAH YUSOFF
PROSPECT THEORY
DEFINITION
Theory that suggest that individuals place more
emphasizes on gains rather than losses and as
a result will try to make decisions that contribute to
gains. The prospect theory lumps risks into two
categories: those that contribute to gains and ones that
contribute to losses. Under this theory, people treat the
two sections of risk totally different in order to receive a
positive outcome. Prospect theory was developed by
Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979.


3 INTERESTING FACTS
HOW PEOPLE REACT TO GOOD AND BAD?

1. STATUS QUO
PEOPLE JUDGE GOOD THINGS AND BAD
THINGS IN RELATIVE TERMS.
Relative positioning-People tend to be most interested in their
relative gains and losses as opposed to their final income and wealth.

2. People experience both diminishing marginal
utility for gains and diminishing marginal
disutility for losses.
Each excessive unit loss hurts, but less painfully than the
previous unit.
3. Loss aversion
Losses are felt much more intensely than gains.
In fact, about 2.5 times more intense
LOSSES AND SHRINKING PACKAGES

The fact that consumers may view a price increase as a
loss explains the reason why many food producers
react to rising input cost by shrinking the sizes of
their product instead of increasing the price.


5 cents
5 cents 100 years

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