PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Page 1

MEMORANDUM
TO: INTERESTEDPARTIES
FROM: NEILNEWHOUSE&ROBERTBLIZZARDPUBLICOPINIONSTRATEGIES
DATE: SEPTEMBER10,2014
RE: RECENTKENTUCKYUSSENATEPOLLINGRESULTS

OnbehalfofAmericanCrossroads,PublicOpinionStrategiesconductedastatewidesurveyof600likely
voters(marginoferror+4.0%)September13,2014.Fully30%oftheinterviewswereconductedviacell
phone,andthepartisanbreakdownofthepollis39%Republican54%Democrat6%Independent.
Thepurposeofthismemoistoreviewthekeyfindingsfromthatsurvey.

SenatorMcConnellleadsAlisonLunderganGrimesbyfivepoints.
Inourmostrecentstatewidesurvey,McConnellleadsGrimesbya47%42%margin,withLibertarian
candidateDavidPattersongarnering4%ofthevote.McConnellleadsamongbothmenandwomen,
among1834yearoldsandseniorcitizens,andiswinningasignificantpercentageofDemocratic
voterscrossingpartylines.

McConnellhasledinTENofthelastELEVENpollsreleased.
Ofthelastelevenpollsreleased,TENhavefoundSenatorMcConnellwinningincludingoursurvey:

Organization Dates McConnell Grimes Spread

POS(R) 9/13 47% 42% +5
Magellan(R) 9/47 50% 42% +8
Mellman(D) 9/47 42% 43% 1
NBCNews/Marist 9/24 47% 39% +8
CNN/OpinionResearch 8/289/1 50% 46% +4
Rasmussen 9/19/2 46% 41% +5
CBSNews/NYT/YouGov 8/189/2 47% 42% +5
CourierJournal/SurveyUSA 8/2527 46% 42% +4
PPP(D) 8/710 47% 42% +5
CourierJournal/SurveyUSA 7/1823 47% 45% +2
CBSNews/NYT/YouGov 7/524 50% 46% +4