From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

Subject: Shaheen lead over Brown steady at 6 points after primary

Date: September 22nd, 2014

Public Policy Pollings newest survey of the New Hampshire Senate race finds that Scott
Brown has not received any bump after his victory in the Republican primary two weeks
ago, and that Jeanne Shaheen remains at 50%.
Key findings from the survey include:
-Shaheen leads Brown 50/44, the exact same numbers PPP found when it polled the race
in late August. Shaheen is winning independents 49/43 and also has her party more
unified around her, getting 82% of Democrats to Browns 76% of Republicans. Shaheen
is ahead with both women (51/43) and men (50/45), and also leads among voters within
every age group.
-Brown remains quite unpopular with only 43% of voters rating him favorably to 53%
who have an unfavorable view. Those numbers have actually gotten slightly worse since
before the primary when he stood at 42/49. Brown is in especially poor standing with
independent voters, only 40% of whom rate him positively to 55% with a negative
opinion. Shaheen meanwhile remains popular with a 50/44 favorability rating that
matches the numbers in her head to head with Brown.
-Democrats also have the clear advantage in the race for Governor. Maggie Hassan leads
Republican challenger Walt Havenstein 52/43. She is up 51/43 with independents and is
also receiving a larger than normal 23% level of support across party lines from GOP
voters.
PPP interviewed 652 likely voters on September 18th and 19th. The margin of error for
the poll is +/-3.8%. This survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation
Voters.
Public Policy Polling
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988

Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

New Hampshire Survey Results

Q1

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are

Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Scott Brown. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?

Q5

Barack Obama................................................ 51%

Mitt Romney.................................................... 44%

Jeanne Shaheen............................................. 50%

Scott Brown .................................................... 44%
Undecided....................................................... 5%

Q2

The candidates for Governor this fall are

Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
Walt Havenstein. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?

Someone else / Don't remember .................... 5%

Q6

Q4

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 53%
Man................................................................. 47%

Q7

Maggie Hassan............................................... 52%

Q3

In the last presidential election, did you vote for

Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.

Walt Havenstein.............................................. 43%

Democrat ........................................................ 32%

Undecided....................................................... 4%

Republican...................................................... 30%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Jeanne Shaheen?

Independent / Other........................................ 38%

Q8

If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

Favorable........................................................ 50%

White .............................................................. 89%

Unfavorable .................................................... 44%

Other............................................................... 11%

Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Scott Brown?

Q9

If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.

Favorable........................................................ 43%

18 to 29........................................................... 12%

Unfavorable .................................................... 53%

30 to 45........................................................... 20%

Not sure .......................................................... 4%

46 to 65........................................................... 41%
Older than 65 .................................................. 26%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

September 18-19, 2014

Survey of 652 likely voters

2012 Pres. Vote

2012 Pres. Vote

Barack
Mitt Someone else /
Base Obama Romney Don't remember
Senate

Barack
Mitt Someone else /
Base Obama Romney Don't remember
Gov

Jeanne Shaheen 50%

84%

13%

22%

Maggie Hassan 52%

86%

15%

29%

Scott Brown 44%

12%

82%

47%

Walt Havenstein 43%

12%

79%

56%

3%

5%

31%

Undecided

2%

6%

15%

Undecided

5%

4%

2012 Pres. Vote

2012 Pres. Vote

Barack
Mitt Someone else /
Base Obama Romney Don't remember
Shaheen Favorability

Barack
Mitt Someone else /
Base Obama Romney Don't remember
Brown Favorability

Favorable 50%

86%

12%

19%

Favorable 43%

20%

73%

19%

Unfavorable 44%

10%

80%

68%

Unfavorable 53%

77%

21%

77%

4%

8%

13%

3%

5%

4%

Not sure

6%

Not sure

4%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Senate

Base Woman

Man

Gov

Jeanne Shaheen 50%

51%

50%

Maggie Hassan 52%

55%

49%

Scott Brown 44%

43%

45%

Walt Havenstein 43%

41%

46%

6%

5%

Undecided

4%

5%

Undecided

5%

4%

Gender
Base Woman

Gender
Man

Shaheen Favorability

Base Woman

Man

Brown Favorability

Favorable 50%

53%

48%

Favorable 43%

41%

46%

Unfavorable 44%

41%

47%

Unfavorable 53%

54%

51%

6%

6%

5%

3%

Not sure

6%

September 18-19, 2014

survey of 652 likely voters

Not sure

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party

Party

Independent
Base Democrat Republican
/ Other
Senate

Base Democrat Republican

Independent
/ Other

Gov

Jeanne Shaheen 50%

82%

18%

49%

Maggie Hassan 52%

80%

23%

51%

Scott Brown 44%

16%

76%

43%

Walt Havenstein 43%

17%

72%

43%

3%

6%

8%

Undecided

3%

4%

6%

Undecided

5%

4%

Party

Party

Base Democrat Republican

Independent
/ Other

Shaheen Favorability

Base Democrat Republican

Independent
/ Other

Brown Favorability

Favorable 50%

84%

17%

49%

Favorable 43%

21%

72%

40%

Unfavorable 44%

14%

74%

44%

Unfavorable 53%

77%

24%

55%

2%

9%

7%

2%

5%

5%

Not sure

6%

Not sure

4%

Race
Base

Race

White Other

Senate

Base

White Other

Gov

Jeanne Shaheen 50%

50%

53%

Maggie Hassan 52%

52%

56%

Scott Brown 44%

46%

32%

Walt Havenstein 43%

44%

38%

4%

15%

Undecided

4%

7%

Undecided

5%

4%

Race
Base

Race

White Other

Shaheen Favorability

Base

White Other

Brown Favorability

Favorable 50%

51%

49%

Favorable 43%

42%

51%

Unfavorable 44%

44%

37%

Unfavorable 53%

53%

47%

5%

14%

4%

2%

Not sure

6%

September 18-19, 2014

survey of 652 likely voters

Not sure

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age
Base

Age

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Senate

Base

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Gov

Jeanne Shaheen 50%

61%

47%

50%

49%

Maggie Hassan 52%

61%

43%

54%

52%

Scott Brown 44%

36%

44%

45%

48%

Walt Havenstein 43%

39%

47%

42%

46%

3%

10%

5%

3%

Undecided

10%

4%

3%

Undecided

5%

4%

Age
Base

Age

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Shaheen Favorability

Base

18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65

Brown Favorability

Favorable 50%

57%

46%

51%

49%

Favorable 43%

40%

46%

42%

45%

Unfavorable 44%

32%

52%

42%

46%

Unfavorable 53%

60%

54%

52%

49%

11%

2%

7%

5%

6%

6%

Not sure

6%

September 18-19, 2014

survey of 652 likely voters

Not sure

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988