B0 CIA0 DUC VA A0 TA0 AP AN F THI IAN 2

TRU0NC CA0 ANC Hco. Xac saa/ //co /e.

KINH TF-C0NC NCHF TP.HCN Hcc / ll, Nam /cc ?01?-?013.
BAN KH0A H0C C0 BAN Cac /ap. C8(T13, C8(T8-9, C8TC8 /Ca 3.
T/a/ /ao. 60 p/a/.
Cau 1. 1. Coi X la bicn co co hai xa thu ban trung bia, ta co
X = ABC + ABC + ABC
1u tnh doc lap va xung khac cua cac bicn co ta co
P (X) = 0.5 0.6 0.3 + 0.5 0.4 0.7 + 0.5 0.6 0.7 = 0.44.
2.
P (X/B) =
P (XB)
P (B)
=
P

ABC + ABC

P (B)
=
0.5 0.6 0.3 + 0.5 0.6 0.7
0.6
= 0.5.
Cau 2. 1. Ro rang X B (n, p), voi n = 3, p = 0.05. Io do X nhan cac gia tr|
nguycn k, k = 0, 3 voi xac suat duoc tnh thco cong thuc crnoulli
p (X = k) = C
k
3
(0.05)
k
(0.95)
3k
.
Nhu vay luat phan phoi xac suat cua X nhu sau
X
k
0 1 2 J
p
k
0.857375 0.135375 0.007125 0.000125
2. Ky vong
M (X) = np = 3 0.05 = 0.15.
Phuong sai
D(X) = npq = 3 0.05 0.95 = 0.0425.
J. Coi M la xac suat co chon duoc khong qua 4 phc pham. \i n = 100 kha
lon va p = 0.05 kha nho ncn thco d|nh ly Poisson, ta co thc xap xi X boi ILNN
Y co phan phoi Poisson Y P (a), voi a = np = 50.
P (M) = p
0
+ p
1
+ p
2
+ p
3
+ p
4
=
1
e
50

50
0
0!
+
50
1
1!
+
50
2
2!
+
50
3
3!
+
50
4
4!

=
282551
e
50
.
1
Cau 3. 1rung binh mau

X = 127 cm;
Phuong sai mau

S
2
= 261 cm
2
.
Phuong sai mau hicu chinh S
2
= (16.2368)
2
cm
2
.
1. 1a co (z

) =

2
=
0.93
2
= 0.465. Suy ra z

= 1.81.
Khoang uoc luong la

X z

n
; X + z

= (124.06; 129.94) .
\ay voi do tin cay = 93% thi chicu cao trung binh cua mot trc cm bay
tuoi o 1p.HCN nam trong khoang tu 124.06 cm dcn 129.94 cm.
2. Io tin cay dat duoc
= 2

n
S

= 2

0.06

100
16.2368

= 2(0.037) = 2.0.16 = 32%.

----Hct----
1ruong an Khoa hoc co ban 1p.HCN, ngay 04 thang 07 nam 201J
C/ac c/eo ra de
lCS. TS. Trao Hcao Ha/ Hao/ \/e/ K/ao/
2